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MICH

Michigan 52 at Minnesota 10

MINN
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:10 · Tommy Doman punt for 50 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior−3.8Home team on offense−57.0Score differential−39.1Garbage-time factor−16.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:33: James Turner 31 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +1.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:08: Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +2.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:50: J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +4.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:06: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 35 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +4.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:28: J.J. McCarthy run for 7 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +6.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 12:46MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:46MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:33MICH 4th & 3 at MINN 13, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:35MINN 4th & 9 at MICH 35, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.3%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:22MICH 4th & 3 at MINN 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:26MINN 4th & 12 at MINN 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:52MINN 4th & 19 at MINN 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:00MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:22MINN 4th & 2 at MICH 40, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%
    34% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:10MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:34MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:45MINN 4th & 22 at MINN 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:25MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:41MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:10MICH 4th & 3 at MICH 26, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:48MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:08MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:50MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:06MINN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:28MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:20MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:43MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:21MICH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:129% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Corey Crooms Jr.Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-36
9.3%
Will Johnson 36 Yd Interception Return (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:029% → 10%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
9.3%
Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
9.3%
Minnesota Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the MINN 27Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
9.3%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
9.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson, broken up by Rayshaun BennySimilar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
9.8%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 5:1390% → 89%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
9.8%
Blake Corum run for 10 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
9.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 5 yds to the MICH 43Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
9.7%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 47Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
9.8%
Kalel Mullings run for no gainSimilar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+13
9.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Kalel Mullings for 13 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
9.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 20 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
9.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 7 yds to the MINN 13Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
9.7%
J.J. McCarthy run for no gainSimilar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
9.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
10.9%
James Turner 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:5811% → 13%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
11.0%
Zach Evans run for 12 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
11.1%
Zach Evans run for 14 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
11.3%
Zach Evans run for 8 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
11.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-FordSimilar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+5
11.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Bryce Williams for 5 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
12.4%
Zach Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the MICH 40Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 14
OPP 40
0
12.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson, broken up by Makari PaigeSimilar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+5
12.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the MICH 35Similar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+54
12.5%
Dragan Kesich 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:1388% → 87%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
12.4%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 28Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
12.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 17 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
12.0%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 47Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
12.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman WilsonSimilar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+5
12.1%
J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
12.8%
Tommy Doman punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5613% → 13%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
13.2%
Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Nathan Boe) to the MINN 6Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 16
OWN 6
0
13.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Corey Crooms Jr., broken up by Mike SainristilSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 6
+2
13.3%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MINN 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+2
13.0%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MINN 10Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
13.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds , Tyler Morris returns for no gain to the MICH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 3:1887% → 90%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+40
13.1%
Blake Corum run for 40 yds to the MINN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
12.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MINN 16Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+10
12.8%
Roman Wilson run for 10 yds to the MINN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
12.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MINN 1Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.8%
Blake Corum run for no gainSimilar
Q2 10:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.3%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:1611% → 11%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
11.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 34Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-1
11.1%
Zach Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 33Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-7
10.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MINN 26Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
10.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 2:0289% → 94%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
10.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 30Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+16
10.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 16 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+49
10.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 49 yds to the MINN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
5.7%
J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:447% → 13%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
7.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Zach Evans for 13 yds to the MINN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
7.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gainSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
7.5%
Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the MINN 45Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
7.7%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MINN 47Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+5
7.7%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
7.9%
Zach Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 49Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+8
7.9%
Bryce Williams run for 8 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
7.9%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the MICH 40Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+5
7.6%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the MICH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
12.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 35 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
10.0%
J.J. McCarthy run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5089% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
10.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 5 yds to the MICH 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
10.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Fredrick MooreSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
10.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Donovan EdwardsSimilar
Q3 14:10
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
11.1%
Tommy Doman punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3611% → 11%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
11.3%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the MINN 29Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
11.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Zach Evans, broken up by Braiden McGregorSimilar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+1
11.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the MINN 30Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
10.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 4:0690% → 97%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
10.5%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 25Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
10.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Blake CorumSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+17
10.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 17 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+34
9.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 34 yds to the MINN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
9.3%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the MINN 18Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
9.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Colston Loveland, broken up by Craig McDonaldSimilar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+9
9.4%
Kalel Mullings run for 9 yds to the MINN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
9.3%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MINN 7Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
3.3%
J.J. McCarthy run for 7 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:435% → 5%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.1%
Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the MINN 31Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
5.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Corey Crooms Jr. Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Brevyn Spann-Ford) to the MINN 21Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
5.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-8
5.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 13Similar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+7
4.8%
Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds , Jake Thaw returns for 7 yds to the MINN 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 3:2597% → 99%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
2.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 7 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+8
2.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 8 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
2.6%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MINN 29Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
2.2%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MINN 25Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
2.3%
Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MINN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
1.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 24 yds for a TD Minnesota Penalty, roughing passer (Anthony Smith) to the MINN 0 (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:341% → 0%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
0.9%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the MINN 25Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
0.9%
Zach Evans run for no gainSimilar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-28
0.4%
Keon Sabb 28 Yd Interception Return (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.4%
Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the MINN 26Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
0.4%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 27Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
0.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-FordSimilar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
0.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 6:04100% → 100%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.5%
Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+9
0.5%
Kalel Mullings run for 9 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
0.5%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 5 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+23
0.5%
Kalel Mullings run for 23 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
0.5%
Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+17
0.5%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to AJ Barner for 17 yds to the MINN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
0.4%
Michigan Penalty, Offensive holding (Max Bredeson) to the MINN 23Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+4
0.5%
Leon Franklin run for 4 yds to the MINN 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 19
-1
0.5%
Leon Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 20
+18
0.5%
Jack Tuttle run for 18 yds to the MINN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.2%
Leon Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:400% → 0%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the MINN 30Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
0.2%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.2%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the MINN 40Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
0.2%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 41Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-1
0.2%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 40Similar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Mark Crawford punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
0.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 7 yds to the MICH 26Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Josh BeethamSimilar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Jayden Denegal run for no gainSimilar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Tommy Doman punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22Uncategorized
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
0.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 27Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
0.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+5
0.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
0.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the MINN 41Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
0.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the MINN 43Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
0.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the MINN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:28
J.J. McCarthy run for 7 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
-6
TD · Q2 0:06
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 35 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q2 5:50
J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com