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PUR

Purdue 14 at Iowa 20

IOWA
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:52 · Jack Ansell punt for 32 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Home team on offense+6.5Pregame prior+2.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:32: Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 43 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK) — PUR win probability +12.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:46: Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the PUR 45 — IOWA win probability +6.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:24: Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 22 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +11.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:54: Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK) — PUR win probability +19.9 pts (now 24%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:54: Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 30 — IOWA win probability +16.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 14:15IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00PUR 4th & 18 at IOWA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    42.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:17PUR 4th & 10 at IOWA 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:03PUR 4th & 14 at IOWA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:03PUR 4th & 14 at IOWA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:18IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:57IOWA 4th & 9 at PUR 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:59PUR 4th & 12 at IOWA 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:04IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:27PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 48, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:43IOWA 4th & 2 at PUR 31, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−1.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:54PUR 4th & 14 at PUR 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−3.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:58IOWA 4th & 5 at PUR 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−9.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:26PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 43, down 6
    Close callPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:55IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:52PUR 4th & 30 at PUR 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−6.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:19IOWA 4th & 9 at midfield, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:53IOWA 4th & 9 at PUR 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:04IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 32, up 6
    Close callPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:25PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:15IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:32PUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:24IOWA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:54PUR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.2 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4559% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
58.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 34Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
58.8%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
58.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
58.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:5141% → 41%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
58.7%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
58.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+12
58.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 12 yds to the IOWA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
58.5%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 35Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+5
58.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 5 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-11
58.5%
Hudson Card sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 11 yards to the IOWA 41Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
58.9%
Jack Ansell punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:4259% → 61%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
58.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 13 yds to the IOWA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
60.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 67 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:5740% → 38%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
60.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for no gain to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
61.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 9 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
61.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 7 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+13
60.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 13 yds to the IOWA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
60.9%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-4
60.9%
Hudson Card run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 41 Hudson Card fumbled, recovered by PUR Hudson CardSimilar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
61.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
62.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:2162% → 63%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
62.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 22Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
62.5%
Purdue Penalty, Personal Foul (Mo Omonode) to the IOWA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
62.9%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 38Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
63.2%
Deacon Hill pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6MISSED FG
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:3339% → 36%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
61.2%
(04:36) CARD, Hudson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BURKS, Deion thrown to the UI0, clock 04:32. PENALTY UI Pass Interference on DEJEAN, Cooper enforced 15 yards to the UI20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
61.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 1 yd to the IOWA 19Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
61.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 5 yds to the IOWA 14Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
61.9%
Purdue Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on CARD, Hudson enforced a result of a (Yards) to the IOWA 23Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
63.7%
Julio Macias 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
63.7%
Julio Macias 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4564% → 63%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
63.5%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
63.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
63.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
62.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0537% → 37%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
62.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
62.7%
Hudson Card pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5365% → 64%
Q1 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
64.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the PUR 3Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
65.1%
Deacon Hill run for a loss of 15 yards to the PUR 18 Deacon Hill fumbled, recovered by IOWA Deacon HillSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+9
64.1%
Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the PUR 9Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
64.3%
Drew Stevens 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:5735% → 32%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
64.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 6 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
64.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
64.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for no gain to the PUR 45Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+9
64.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-8
64.3%
Hudson Card sacked by Aaron Graves for a loss of 8 yards to the PUR 46Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 18
OWN 46
-10
65.8%
(11:29) DOWNING, Dylan rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the UI47 (HIGGINS, Jay;JACKSON, Nick), clock 11:23. PENALTY PUR Holding enforced 10 yards from the PUR46 to the PUR36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 28
OWN 36
+3
66.6%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the PUR 39Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 25
OWN 39
+13
66.9%
Dylan Downing run for 13 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
67.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4666% → 65%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
65.8%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
65.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 15Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
65.2%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
64.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:3033% → 32%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
67.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 32Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
67.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
67.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
67.3%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 38Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+9
68.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 9 yds to the PUR 47Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
67.4%
Hudson Card run for 1 yd to the PUR 48Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
68.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 36 yds, downed at the IOWA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:3769% → 71%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+33
68.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 33 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
70.6%
Leshon Williams run for 12 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
71.1%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
72.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+4
71.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 4 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+49
71.1%
Drew Stevens 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 1:5929% → 41%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
70.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 4 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
70.5%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 37Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+8
71.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 8 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
70.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
71.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
70.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the IOWA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
58.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 43 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:1663% → 65%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
63.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
62.5%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+11
61.2%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 11 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
65.4%
Deacon Hill sacked by Mo Omonode for a loss of 10 yards to the IOWA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:0638% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
62.2%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 23Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
62.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 10 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+14
62.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 14 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
59.5%
Hudson Card sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 42Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+1
61.9%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the PUR 43Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
62.8%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
64.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17FG
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4564% → 72%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
63.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 22Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+27
63.5%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 27 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
66.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
67.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+33
67.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 33 yds to the PUR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
68.9%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
68.9%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the PUR 5Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
67.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
71.7%
Drew Stevens 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3131% → 31%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
68.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
67.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
68.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the PUR 43Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
66.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
69.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1972% → 72%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
72.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 38Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
73.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 41Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
73.4%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
71.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 3:0331% → 28%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
69.3%
Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+13
68.7%
Dylan Downing run for 13 yds to the PUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
68.4%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 32Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-10
69.7%
QB Keeper CARD, Hudson rush to the right for no gain to the PUR32 (BLACK, Yahya), out of bounds, clock 03:17. PENALTY PUR Holding on MBOW, Marcus enforced 10 yards from the PUR32 to the PUR22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 22
OWN 22
-10
70.1%
(02:55) CARD, Hudson pass short to the left incomplete intended for MOCKOBEE, Devin thrown to the PUR25; QB hurried by HIGGINS, Jay, clock 02:48. PENALTY PUR Holding on MOUSSA, Mahamane enforced 10 yards from the PUR22 to the PUR12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 32
OWN 12
+2
70.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 14Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 30
OWN 14
0
71.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 30
OWN 14
0
72.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:2279% → 92%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
79.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the PUR 45Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
79.4%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+15
78.1%
Leshon Williams run for 15 yds to the PUR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
80.2%
Seth Anderson run for 4 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+4
80.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the PUR 22Similar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+22
91.7%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 22 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:4611% → 10%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
89.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 16 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
87.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
87.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
87.9%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the IOWA 48 Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by PUR Hudson Card for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
88.8%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
88.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-1
89.1%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 47Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
89.9%
Purdue Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on CARD, Hudson enforced a result of a (Yards) to the IOWA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:1094% → 94%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
93.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 48Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-2
93.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 46Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+4
93.5%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 9
50
0
93.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 39 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:548% → 8%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
92.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 6 yds to the PUR 17Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+7
92.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 7 yds to the PUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
92.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
92.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the PUR 32Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+3
91.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.2%
Hudson Card pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25MISSED FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:1996% → 97%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
95.5%
Leshon Williams run for 17 yds to the PUR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
95.7%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the PUR 26Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+2
96.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the PUR 24Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+3
96.8%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 4
OPP 21
-5
96.6%
Iowa Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the PUR 26Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+44
96.9%
Drew Stevens 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:584% → 24%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
96.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
50
+11
95.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 11 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+25
96.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 25 yds to the IOWA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
96.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 3 yds to the IOWA 11Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+9
96.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the IOWA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5092% → 93%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.2%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
93.8%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
94.1%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 32Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
93.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3413% → 11%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
87.0%
Hudson Card sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 18Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
88.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 7 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
89.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
89.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:3996% → 97%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.2%
(01:19) Kneel down by UI at PUR26 (team loss of 1), clock 01:09.Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
96.9%
(00:40) Kneel down by UI at PUR31 (team loss of 5), clock 00:32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:54
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)
-19.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:54
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 30
+16
TD · Q2 0:32
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 43 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)
-12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com