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Kentucky 13 at Georgia 51

UGA
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:02 · Wilson Berry punt for 32 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 2 yds to the UGA 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior+19.3Home team on offense+26.0Score differential+17.2Garbage-time factor−1.5Blowout margin+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:03: Oscar Delp 5 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick) — UGA win probability +4.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:44: Devin Leary pass complete to Josh Kattus for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +6.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:15: Peyton Woodring 36 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +2.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:01: Kendall Milton run for 5 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +3.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:34: Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 26 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UK win probability +3.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UK made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 8:06UK 4th & 15 at UK 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:01UK 4th & 26 at UK 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:35UK 4th & 3 at UGA 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:15UGA 4th & 6 at UK 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:40UK 4th & 23 at UK 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:23UK 4th & 8 at UK 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:02UK 4th & 5 at UK 30, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:27UGA 4th & 5 at UK 14, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:58UK 4th & 16 at UK 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:24UK 4th & 8 at UK 37, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:20UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 28, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:16UK 4th & 14 at UK 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:38UGA 4th & 7 at UK 7, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:26UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:25UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:03UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:44UK Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:01UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:34UK Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:39UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:38UGA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2986% → 86%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 7 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
85.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 8 yds to the UGA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
85.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-2
85.5%
Dillon Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 47Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+6
85.3%
Carson Beck run for 6 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
85.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the UK 40Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+40
85.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 40 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:0515% → 15%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
85.4%
Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the UK 39Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
85.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
85.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 3 yds to the UK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
85.2%
Ray Davis run for 11 yds to the UGA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-9
85.0%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 46 Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UK 44Similar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 19
OWN 44
0
85.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 19
OWN 44
+4
85.2%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 48Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 15
OWN 48
0
85.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 15
OWN 48
+4
85.3%
Wilson Berry punt for 38 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 4 yds to the UGA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 3:2285% → 88%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
85.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 12 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
85.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 2 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
85.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 7 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+25
85.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 25 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
85.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 11 yds to the UK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
85.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 10 yds to the UK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
87.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:1513% → 13%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.7%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+36
86.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 36 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-8
86.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds to the UGA 29 Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UGA 44Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 18
OPP 44
-3
86.8%
Ray Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the UGA 47Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 21
OPP 47
-5
86.8%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 48Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 26
OWN 48
0
86.8%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 26
OWN 48
0
86.9%
Wilson Berry punt for 47 yds, downed at the UGA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
14 plays · 95 yds · 5:4288% → 93%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
87.5%
Dillon Bell run for 11 yds to the UGA 16 Georgia Penalty, Illegal Block (-8 Yards) to the UGA 8Similar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 7
OWN 8
+9
87.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 9 yds to the UGA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
87.7%
Georgia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-8 Yards) to the UGA 9Similar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 18
OWN 9
+6
87.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the UGA 15Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+5
87.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 5 yds to the UGA 20Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+15
87.6%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Rara Thomas for a 1ST down Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UGA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
87.9%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the UGA 42Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+7
88.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 7 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.5%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
88.5%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+30
88.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 30 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
88.7%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+11
88.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 11 yds to the UK 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.9%
Oscar Delp 5 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:117% → 14%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 10 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
92.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 16 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
92.5%
Leary, Devin pass incomplete to Key, Dane, PENALTY GEORGIA roughing passer 15 yards to the GEORGIA34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
92.3%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
92.4%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
92.8%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+5
93.0%
Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the UGA 27Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+6
92.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the UGA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
92.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Josh Kattus for 7 yds to the UGA 14Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 3
OPP 14
0
92.3%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+10
92.6%
Ray Davis run for 10 yds to the UGA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Josh Kattus for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:2088% → 91%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+49
88.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 49 yds to the UK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
88.9%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Rara ThomasSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
88.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the UK 17Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
88.7%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+36
91.2%
Peyton Woodring 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1810% → 9%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
90.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 13 yds to the UK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.0%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
90.1%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-13
90.5%
Devin Leary sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson and Kamari Lassiter for a loss of 13 yards to the UK 25Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 23
OWN 25
0
90.8%
Wilson Berry punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:3292% → 96%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
92.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 13 yds to the UK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
92.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 21 yds to the UK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
92.3%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the UK 15Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+10
92.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds to the UK 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.1%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:225% → 5%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.1%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.1%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
95.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
95.1%
Wilson Berry punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:1796% → 99%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
96.0%
Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the UK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
96.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 11 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
96.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 12 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+42
98.6%
Peyton Woodring 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:483% → 3%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.0%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the UK 30Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
97.3%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
96.8%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
97.0%
Wilson Berry punt for 32 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 2 yds to the UGA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:2199% → 99%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
98.9%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the UGA 46Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+11
99.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 11 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 4 yds to the UK 39Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
99.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 5 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-15
99.1%
Beck, Carson pass complete to Rosemy-Jacksaint, Marcus for 17 yards to the KENTUCKY17, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference 15 yards to the KENTUCKY49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 16
OPP 49
-48
99.2%
Carson Beck pass intercepted Maxwell Hairston return for 48 yds to the UGA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:371% → 5%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.1%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UGA 26Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+26
95.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 26 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 6:5797% → 98%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
96.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the UGA 34Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
96.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
96.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 7 yds to the UGA 48Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+9
96.8%
Kendall Milton run for 9 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
97.1%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the UK 36Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+2
97.1%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+1
97.1%
Carson Beck run for 1 yd to the UK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
97.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 14 yds to the UK 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
97.3%
Dillon Bell run for 2 yds to the UK 17Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
97.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the UK 14Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
96.9%
Brock Bowers run for no gain to the UK 14Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
98.1%
Peyton Woodring 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:172% → 2%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.9%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.0%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
98.2%
Devin Leary sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the UK 19Similar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
98.4%
Wilson Berry punt for 23 yds, downed at the UK 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 0:5199% → 100%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
98.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the UK 41Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+20
98.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 20 yds to the UK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 21 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Wilson Berry punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dillon Bell for 2 yds to the UGA 22Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-2
99.8%
Mekhi Mews run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 20Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 8 yds to the UGA 28Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Brett Thorson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the UK 35Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-7
99.9%
Devin Leary sacked by Jalon Walker and Raylen Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 28Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 14
OWN 28
-2
99.9%
Wilson Berry punt for 54 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 26 Georgia Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the UGA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 6:07100% → 100%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+19
99.9%
Cash Jones run for 19 yds to the UGA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff run for 16 yds to the UGA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 13 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 45Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+25
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Pearce Spurlin III for 25 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 21Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+11
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff run for 11 yds to the UK 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 11Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 4 yds to the UK 7Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Andrew Paul for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
100.0%
JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
JuTahn McClain run for 7 yds to the UK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
100.0%
JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the UK 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:44
Devin Leary pass complete to Josh Kattus for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q2 11:03
Oscar Delp 5 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick)
+4.1
TD · Q3 10:34
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 26 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com