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USU

Utah State 34 at UConn 33

CONN
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+7.1CONN 38.4%Joe McFadden 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 27 · Q4 10:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:29 · Joe McFadden 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense−5.1Pregame prior−2.3Garbage-time factor−4.6Score differential−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:21: Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 15 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +12.7 pts (now 52%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:52: Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 71 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +20.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:17: Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 28 yds for a TD Utah State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on WARD, John of (15 Yards) to the USU 0 (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +27.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:36: Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 52 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +24.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:40: Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Joe McFadden PAT BLOCKED) — CONN win probability +27.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:11USU 4th & 6 at CONN 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:10CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:12CONN 4th & 2 at USU 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−4.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:13USU 4th & 5 at USU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:40CONN 4th & 1 at USU 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−2.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−10.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:04USU 4th & 9 at USU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:04CONN 4th & 1 at USU 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−3.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:37CONN 4th & 5 at USU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:43CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−1.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:56USU 4th & 5 at CONN 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−9.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:48CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:29CONN 4th & 13 at USU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−4.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−12.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:19USU 4th & 1 at CONN 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    62.5%−9.0
    23% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−5.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:20USU 4th & 5 at CONN 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−16.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:40CONN 4th & 25 at CONN 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−2.7
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:41USU 4th & 6 at CONN 41, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−1.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:14CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:12CONN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:14USU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:21USU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:52USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:17CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:36USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:40CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−6.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:3337% → 38%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
36.9%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the CONN 9Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+16
36.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 16 yds to the CONN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.9%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the CONN 28Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
36.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 10 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
38.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1163% → 62%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
37.5%
Davon Booth run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 49Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
37.6%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+5
37.7%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Davon Booth for 5 yds to the CONN 44Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
38.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds, downed at the CONN 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0138% → 39%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
38.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 2 yds to the CONN 3Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
38.2%
Jelani Stafford run for 4 yds to the CONN 7Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
38.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for no gain to the CONN 7Similar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
38.6%
George Caratan punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
38.3%
McCae Hillstead pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 7:4939% → 48%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+34
39.1%
Geordon Porter run for 34 yds to the USU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
39.8%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 47Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+6
39.6%
Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+11
39.7%
Camryn Edwards run for 11 yds to the USU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
40.0%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+6
40.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 6 yds to the USU 22Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+4
39.8%
Jelani Stafford run for 4 yds to the USU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
40.0%
UConn Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 23Similar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+6
39.9%
Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the USU 17Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+7
40.0%
Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the USU 10Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+2
39.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 2 yds to the USU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
40.0%
Utah State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Hale Motu'apuaka) to the USU 4Similar
Q1 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
40.0%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the USU 1Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.4%
Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:2453% → 51%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
46.6%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 20Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
46.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the USU 21Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
47.1%
McCae Hillstead pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
48.7%
ROBERSON, Ta'Quan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CLERCIUS, Kevens thrown to the USU0. PENALTY UCO Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WALKER, Yakiri USU Pass Interference on DREW, JD , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:3849% → 58%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
48.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 15 yds to the USU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
49.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 1 yd to the USU 11Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+6
49.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 11 yds UConn Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Ta'Quan Roberson) to the USU 13Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+9
50.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 9 yds to the USU 4Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+4
57.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Nick Harris for 4 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5945% → 43%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
55.1%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
55.2%
McCae Hillstead run for 1 yd to the USU 30Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
57.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 45 yds, downed at the CONN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:3359% → 65%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
58.7%
Victor Rosa run for 15 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
59.6%
Victor Rosa run for 11 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
59.8%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the USU 48Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+15
59.8%
ROBERSON, Ta'Quan pass to the right incomplete intended for JOLY, Justin thrown to the USU38. PENALTY USU Personal Foul on WARD, John enforced 15 yards from the USU48 to the USU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
60.0%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+9
60.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 9 yds to the USU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
60.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for no gain to the USU 22Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
59.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+9
59.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 9 yds to the USU 13Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
64.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for no gain to the USU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:3638% → 34%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
62.5%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 3 yds to the USU 16Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
62.5%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the USU 16Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+8
62.8%
McCae Hillstead run for 8 yds to the USU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
62.3%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for no gain to the USU 24Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-6
62.4%
McCae Hillstead sacked by Durante Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the USU 18Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 16
OWN 18
+7
62.9%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jalen Royals for 7 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
65.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brett Buckman at the CONN 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 5:2767% → 80%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
66.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 5 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-10
67.4%
ROSA, Victor rush to the left for no gain to the UCO39 (LARSEN, Ike;TAFISI, MJ). PENALTY UCO Holding on FORTIN, Christopher enforced 10 yards from the UCO39 to the UCO29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+19
66.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 19 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
67.5%
Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
67.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+3
66.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 3 yds to the USU 43Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+1
66.1%
Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd to the USU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
67.6%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the USU 41Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+8
68.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Rosa for 8 yds to the USU 33Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+10
67.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Jelani Stafford for 10 yds to the USU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
68.4%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the USU 19Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+1
68.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 1 yd to the USU 18Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
67.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
79.9%
Joe McFadden 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:2324% → 34%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
75.8%
McCae Hillstead run for 12 yds to the USU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
65.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Colby Bowman for 63 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Kneel down by ROBERSON, Ta'Quan at UCO24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 2:3936% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
63.6%
McCae Hillstead run for 5 yds to the USU 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+1
63.6%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the USU 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+5
64.6%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Davon Booth for 5 yds to the USU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
63.4%
McCae Hillstead run for 6 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
62.4%
McCae Hillstead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+15
63.5%
UConn Penalty, Roughing the Passer on WATTS, Eric enforced (Eric Watts) to the CONN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
59.2%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Bryce Radford) to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+15
60.3%
UConn Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Chris Shearin) to the CONN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
47.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 15 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3854% → 52%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
54.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 23Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
53.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Rosa for 4 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
52.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
52.3%
George Caratan punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:4747% → 54%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
52.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Broc Lane for 9 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+8
50.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Broc Lane for 8 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
50.0%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+11
49.8%
Davon Booth run for 11 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
48.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 10 yds to the CONN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
48.2%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the CONN 24Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
50.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Davon Booth for 5 yds to the CONN 19Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-1
52.2%
Davon Booth run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 20Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
46.3%
Elliott Nimrod 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0352% → 50%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
51.7%
Camryn Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 25Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
52.3%
Camryn Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
51.3%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 28Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
50.4%
George Caratan punt for 49 yds , Micah Davis returns for no gain to the USU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 88 yds · 0:5652% → 72%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
48.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 12 yds to the USU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
47.8%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+71
27.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 71 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 4:3032% → 62%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
32.1%
Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the CONN 18Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+15
32.4%
Camryn Edwards run for 15 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
33.1%
Camryn Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 38Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+8
35.3%
Camryn Edwards run for 8 yds to the CONN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
35.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 10 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
34.6%
Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the USU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+16
34.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Rosa for 16 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
61.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 28 yds for a TD Utah State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on WARD, John of (15 Yards) to the USU 0 (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4151% → 78%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
49.5%
Cooper Legas run for 11 yds to the USU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
48.1%
Rahsul Faison run for 7 yds to the USU 43Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
45.5%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the USU 44Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
45.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
21.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 52 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:0729% → 38%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
29.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
50
+33
33.4%
Victor Rosa run for 33 yds to the USU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
36.3%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the USU 20 fumbled, recovered by CONN Ta'Quan RobersonSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
35.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
31.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 13
OPP 20
+38
38.4%
Joe McFadden 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:0469% → 85%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
30.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
31.5%
UConn Penalty, Personal Foul (Eric Watts) to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
27.8%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the USU 45Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
28.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 9 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
25.4%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the CONN 46Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+9
27.7%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 9 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
25.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Broc Lane for 7 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+6
24.2%
UConn Penalty, Personal Foul (D'Mon Brinson) to the CONN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
24.1%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 1 yd to the CONN 11Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+1
24.1%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 1 yd to the CONN 10Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+3
25.0%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 3 yds to the CONN 7Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
15.1%
Elliott Nimrod 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:3622% → 19%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
22.0%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 14 fumbled, recovered by CONN Ta'Quan RobersonSimilar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 13
OWN 14
0
21.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 13
OWN 14
-12
20.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson sacked by Anthony Switzer for a loss of 12 yards to the CONN 2Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 25
OWN 2
0
18.9%
George Caratan punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5988% → 89%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
12.2%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the CONN 45Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
9.5%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the CONN 45Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+4
9.7%
Cooper Legas run for 4 yds to the CONN 41Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
10.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 26 yds, downed at the CONN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 2:0120% → 47%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+35
20.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 35 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
50
-3
24.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 47Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+12
21.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 12 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
26.5%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
26.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
25.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 13 yds to the USU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+25
28.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 25 yds to the USU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
20.0%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the USU 1Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.2%
Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Joe McFadden PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
5.8%
Kneel down by USU at UCO48 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:17
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 28 yds for a TD Utah State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on WARD, John of (15 Yards) to the USU 0 (Joe McFadden KICK)
+27.6
TD · Q4 0:40
Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Joe McFadden PAT BLOCKED)
+27.1
TD · Q4 12:36
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 52 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)
-24.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com