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SC

South Carolina 20 at Tennessee 41

TENN
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.5TENN 99.8%Dylan Sampson 6 Yd Run (CharlesCampbell Kick)AWAY 20 - HOME 41 · Q4 4:09
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:09 · Dylan Sampson 6 Yd Run (Charles Campbell Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 176Pregame prior+2.3Home team on offense+33.9Score differential+23.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+21.8Garbage-time factor+14.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+10.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:03: Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +3.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:47: Kamal Hadden 28 Yd Interception Return (Charles Campbell Kick) — TENN win probability +4.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:41: Jacob Warren 6 Yd pass from Joe Milton III (Charles Campbell Kick) — TENN win probability +8.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:28: Mario Anderson 75 Yd Run (Mitch Jeter Kick) — SC win probability +8.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 8:35: Timeout Tennessee, clock 08:35 — TENN win probability +4.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 12:30SC 4th & 4 at SC 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:47SC 4th & 7 at TENN 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 7 at SC 28, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:04SC 4th & 2 at TENN 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.5%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:50TENN 4th & 5 at SC 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:29SC 4th & 10 at SC 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:57TENN 4th & 17 at TENN 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:15SC 4th & 2 at SC 16, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:23TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:17SC 4th & 11 at SC 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:33TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:03SC 4th & 1 at TENN 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−2.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:45SC 4th & 10 at SC 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:42TENN 4th & 3 at SC 15, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−5.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:50SC 4th & 2 at SC 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:35SC 4th & 4 at TENN 30, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.4%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:37SC 4th & 9 at SC 27, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00TENN 4th & 3 at SC 25, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:28TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:03SC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:42TENN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:47TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:41TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:28SC Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:09TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3020% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
80.2%
Spencer Rattler run for 17 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
80.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario AndersonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
80.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
80.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for no gain to the SC 48Similar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
79.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 3:0280% → 81%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
79.6%
Squirrel White run for 5 yds to the TENN 11Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+3
79.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the TENN 14Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+4
79.5%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the TENN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
79.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 10 yds to the TENN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
79.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 11 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
79.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 10 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
79.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 6 yds to the SC 45Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
79.8%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+42
80.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 42 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:4120% → 22%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+44
80.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 44 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
79.5%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the TENN 28Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+7
79.4%
Xavier Legette run for 7 yds to the TENN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
79.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd to the TENN 20Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
79.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Trey KnoxSimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+2
79.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 2 yds to the TENN 18Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
78.3%
Mitch Jeter 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4279% → 78%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
78.7%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
78.6%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the TENN 24Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
78.2%
Joe Milton III pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:5222% → 26%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
77.7%
Tennessee Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (Aaron Beasley) to the TENN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
77.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+10
77.6%
Mario Anderson run for 10 yds to the TENN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
77.6%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the TENN 1Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for no gain to the TENN 1Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
73.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2175% → 79%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
74.7%
Jabari Small run for 21 yds to the TENN 46 Jabari Small fumbled, recovered by SC Bru Mccoy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+50
75.7%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 50 yds to the SC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
76.3%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the SC 2Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.8%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:5622% → 22%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 6 yds to the SC 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
77.2%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-3
77.7%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Joshua Josephs for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+32
78.5%
Kai Kroeger pass complete to Xavier Legette for 32 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
76.4%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the TENN 38Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
76.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Tyshawn Russell for 7 yds to the TENN 31Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+1
76.5%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the TENN 32Similar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+1
78.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 1 yd to the TENN 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 2:1478% → 82%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
78.0%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 8 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+37
78.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 37 yds to the SC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
79.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Milton III,Joe pass incomplete deep middle to McCoy,Bru PENALTY TENN Ineligible Downfield on Pass (White,Squirrel) 5 yards from SCAR24 to SCAR29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+11
79.3%
Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 11 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+7
79.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 7 yds to the SC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
79.4%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
79.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 5 yds to the SC 6Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
79.0%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 5
OPP 6
0
78.3%
Tennessee Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+24
81.9%
Charles Campbell 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:2119% → 18%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 7 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
81.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 3 yds to the SC 25Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
81.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for no gain to the SC 25Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
82.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 46 yds , Dee Williams returns for no gain to the TENN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:3283% → 83%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
83.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 17 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
84.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 6
50
-6
84.6%
Joe Milton III sacked by Bam Martin-Scott for a loss of 6 yards to the TENN 44Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
83.6%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Jaylen WrightSimilar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 12
OWN 44
-5
83.0%
Ross,Jackson punt 50 yards to the SCAR06 fair catch by Lewis,Eddie at SCAR06 PENALTY TENN Illegal Formation 5 yards from TENN44 to TENN39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
83.0%
Jackson Ross punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4217% → 16%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
83.5%
Spencer Rattler sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 4Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 14
OWN 4
0
83.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+12
84.1%
Spencer Rattler run for 12 yds to the SC 16Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 2
OWN 16
+6
84.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds , Dee Williams returns for 6 yds to the TENN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5285% → 83%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.0%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb WebbSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
84.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 4 yds to the TENN 46Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
84.4%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
83.4%
Jackson Ross punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:3617% → 11%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
83.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 8 yds to the SC 28Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
82.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 3 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
82.8%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Omari Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 28Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+4
83.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 4 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 22
OWN 19
-28
89.5%
Kamal Hadden 28 Yd Interception Return (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:3012% → 9%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
50
+8
87.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 8 yds to the TENN 42Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-9
87.1%
Spencer Rattler sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the SC 49Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
90.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
90.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
91.6%
Kneel down by Tennessee at TENN04 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:1988% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
88.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 17 yds to the TENN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
88.5%
Joe Milton III run for 10 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
88.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
88.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the SC 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+6
88.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
88.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the SC 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+6
88.5%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 6 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+5
88.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the SC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
88.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 12 yds to the SC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
88.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the SC 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.6%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Dylan SampsonSimilar
Q3 10:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.7%
Jacob Warren 6 Yd pass from Joe Milton III (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
87.4%
Mario Anderson 75 Yd Run (Mitch Jeter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5589% → 89%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.1%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TENN 26Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
88.9%
Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
88.5%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Chas NimrodSimilar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
88.7%
Jackson Ross punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the SC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:3013% → 13%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
86.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the SC 39Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
86.1%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+15
86.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 15 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
85.3%
Mario Anderson run for 8 yds to the TENN 36Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
84.9%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the TENN 35Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
85.4%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the TENN 35Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
86.7%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the TENN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20INT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:1592% → 95%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.9%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Jabari SmallSimilar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
91.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for no gain to the TENN 35Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+16
91.8%
Jabari Small run for 16 yds to the SC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
92.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 10 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
92.6%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the SC 30Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
92.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the SC 29Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
95.4%
Joe Milton III pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0310% → 9%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
90.0%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 2Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
90.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
90.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to O'Mega BlakeSimilar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+2
91.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 44 yds , Dee Williams returns for 2 yds to the SC 38 Dee Williams fumbled, recovered by SC Debo Williams Tennessee Penalty, Illegal Block (Cristian Conyer) to the SC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22FG
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:0396% → 98%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
96.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
95.9%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the SC 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+13
97.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 13 yds to the SC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.3%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the SC 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
97.3%
Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for no gain to the SC 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-5
97.3%
PENALTY TENN False Start (Castles,McCallan) 5 yards from SCAR22 to SCAR27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+12
97.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 12 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
98.4%
Charles Campbell 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:074% → 6%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.2%
Spencer Rattler run for 11 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
96.5%
Spencer Rattler sacked by James Pearce Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 29Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+13
96.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 13 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+2
96.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 2 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+20
97.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 20 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
97.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Kurott Garland for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 37Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+7
97.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 7 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
96.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
94.1%
Mitch Jeter 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2699% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
98.7%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 19 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
98.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 8 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+11
98.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 11 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
98.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+10
98.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 10 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
98.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the SC 24Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+10
99.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 10 yds to the SC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
99.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 8 yds to the SC 6Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Dylan Sampson 6 Yd Run (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 5 yds to the SC 31Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+6
99.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 6 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Luke DotySimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+5
99.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 5 yds to the SC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the SC 31Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+1
99.9%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the SC 30Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the SC 25Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+6
99.8%
Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the SC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:28
Mario Anderson 75 Yd Run (Mitch Jeter Kick)
-8.5
TD · Q3 10:41
Jacob Warren 6 Yd pass from Joe Milton III (Charles Campbell Kick)
+8
FG · Q4 8:35
Timeout Tennessee, clock 08:35
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com