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IU

Indiana 17 at Maryland 44

MD
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by UMD at UMD24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:54: Chris Freeman 25 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +1.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 5:34: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 29 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +1.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:43: Taulia Tagovailoa run for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +2.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:36: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes PAT MISSED) — MD win probability +4.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 11:23: Jack Howes 44 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 9:54IU 4th & 3 at MD 7, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:04MD 4th & 17 at MD 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:39IU 4th & 10 at IU 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:29IU 4th & 25 at IU 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:19IU 4th & 4 at IU 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:51MD 4th & 4 at MD 44, up 18
    Close callPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:51IU 4th & 3 at MD 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:09IU 4th & 6 at MD 14, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:13MD 4th & 13 at MD 38, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:02IU 4th & 1 at MD 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−1.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:27IU 4th & 9 at IU 24, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:23MD 4th & 4 at IU 26, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:39IU 4th & 15 at IU 30, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:11IU 4th & 2 at IU 45, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:37MD 4th & 5 at IU 26, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:37IU 4th & 1 at MD 38, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:54MD 4th & 1 at IU 14, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:54IU 4th & 1 at MD 38, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 14:35MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:34MD Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:43MD Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:36MD Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:08MD Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:07IU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:54MD Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:25IU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2587% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+62
86.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 62 yds to the IU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
86.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
86.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 13 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 4:3113% → 15%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
86.6%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Trey Walker for 6 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+6
86.6%
Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the MD 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
86.6%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Trey Walker for 6 yds to the MD 21Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+7
86.6%
Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the MD 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
86.6%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the MD 9Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
86.6%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the MD 6Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-1
86.6%
Christian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 7Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
85.5%
Chris Freeman 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:5086% → 84%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
85.7%
Maryland Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MD 28Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
85.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 9 yds to the MD 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
85.6%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 38Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
85.6%
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
85.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 5 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
85.7%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the MD 48Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
85.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete Maryland Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Taulia Tagovailoa) to the MD 41Similar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
84.3%
Colton Spangler punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2515% → 15%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
84.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
84.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
85.0%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 10
OWN 10
+34
85.1%
James Evans punt for 34 yds , returns for no gain to the IU 28 , returns for no gain to the IU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
86.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 29 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 2:0514% → 14%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
85.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for a loss of 5 yards to the IU 20Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
85.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 18Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-8
86.0%
Tayven Jackson sacked by Caleb Wheatland for a loss of 8 yards to the IU 10Similar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
86.5%
James Evans punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the IU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:4687% → 89%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
86.7%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the IU 19Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
89.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2411% → 10%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Trey Walker for 2 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
89.4%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
89.4%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
89.6%
James Evans punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2890% → 90%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
89.9%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 39Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
89.8%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+1
90.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 1 yd to the MD 44Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
89.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10DOWNS
15 plays · 79 yds · 6:4210% → 10%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
89.9%
Christian Turner run for 11 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
89.7%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the IU 23Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+8
89.6%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 8 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
89.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 22 yds to the MD 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
89.2%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
89.4%
Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+6
89.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to James Bomba for 6 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
88.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the MD 31Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
88.8%
Tayven Jackson run for 2 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+1
89.1%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the MD 28Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+10
89.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 10 yds to the MD 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
88.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
88.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the MD 14Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
89.1%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 6
OPP 14
0
89.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:5691% → 91%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
90.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+14
90.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 14 yds to the MD 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
90.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 13 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
91.1%
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 38Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
91.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
90.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
90.5%
Colton Spangler punt for 43 yds, downed at the IU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 5:119% → 9%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
90.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the IU 22Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+1
90.7%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the IU 23Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+18
90.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 18 yds to the IU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
90.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Christian Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 40Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-2
90.5%
Kamryn Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 38Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+14
90.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 14 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
89.8%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the MD 44Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
89.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
91.1%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 5 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-11
91.0%
Tayven Jackson sacked by Kellan Wyatt for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:2693% → 97%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
50
0
92.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
50
0
92.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
50
+32
92.5%
Antwain Littleton II run for 32 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
92.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 9 yds to the IU 9Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
96.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:235% → 4%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 9 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
94.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 13 yds to the IU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.9%
Tayven Jackson pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
96.5%
Maryland Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MD 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:0596% → 96%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+10
96.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 10 yds to the IU 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+23
96.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 23 yds to the IU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:275% → 5%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
95.4%
Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-5
95.2%
Tayven Jackson sacked by Quashon Fuller for a loss of 5 yards to the IU 24Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
95.5%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+8
95.5%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 8 yds to the IU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0496% → 99%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
96.3%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
96.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 4 yds to the IU 26Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
96.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for no gain to the IU 26Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
99.1%
Jack Howes 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:441% → 1%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 1 yd to the IU 26Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
99.2%
Jaylin Lucas run for 9 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.2%
JACKSON, Tayven pass to the left incomplete intended for COBY, Andison thrown to the IND43. PENALTY IND Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on CARPENTER, Zach enforced 5 yards from the IND35 to the IND30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-1
99.3%
Christian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 29Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+1
99.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Christian Turner for 1 yd to the IU 30Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
99.4%
James Evans punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the MD 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:3199% → 100%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+31
99.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 31 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
99.4%
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 4 yards to the IU 44Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 14
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 14
OPP 44
-5
99.4%
Maryland Penalty, Delay Of Game (Taulia Tagovailoa) to the IU 49Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 19
OPP 49
+46
99.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 46 yds to the IU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dylan Wade for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 9 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the IU 37Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.6%
Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
99.7%
James Evans punt for 38 yds, downed at the MD 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21MISSED FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 19 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.7%
Antwain Littleton II run for 11 yds to the MD 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.7%
Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 7
50
+5
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 5 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+2
99.7%
Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the IU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
99.7%
Roman Hemby run for 12 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the IU 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
99.8%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the IU 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:37
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
99.8%
Jack Howes 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.8%
Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the MD 40Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the MD 38Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the MD 38Similar
Q4 14:37
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
99.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the MD 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+26
99.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 26 yds to the MD 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 11 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:13100% → 100%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 8 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
99.8%
Roman Hemby run for 16 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rico Walker for 6 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+22
99.9%
Roman Hemby run for 22 yds to the IU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
99.9%
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 26Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+11
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 11 yds to the IU 15Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
99.9%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the IU 14Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 14 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:290% → 0%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the IU 28Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Kamryn Perry for 6 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Trent Howland run for 6 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the IU 49Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Trent Howland run for 4 yds to the MD 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.9%
SORSBY, Brendan pass deep to the right complete for 19 yards to PERRY, Kamryn caught at the UMD28 and advanced to the UMD28 (SCRUGGS, Lavain). PENALTY IND Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SALES JR., Joshua enforced 5 yards from the UMD47 to the IND48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Kamryn Perry for 7 yds to the MD 38Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Kamryn Perry for 9 yds to the MD 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
99.9%
David Holloman run for 7 yds to the MD 22Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+6
99.9%
David Holloman run for 6 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
100.0%
Andison Coby 16 Yd pass from Brendan Sorsby (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Kneel down by UMD at UMD24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:36
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes PAT MISSED)
+4.4
FG · Q3 11:23
Jack Howes 44 yd FG GOOD
+2.9
TD · Q1 2:43
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com