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LT

Louisiana Tech 24 at UTEP 10

UTEP
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2023 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:56 · Blake Ochsendorf punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LT 36 , Marcus Bellon returns for 22 yds to the LT 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 137Home team on offense−35.4Score differential−18.5Garbage-time factor−10.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.3Pregame prior−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 15:00: Buzz Flabiano kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — LT win probability +5.1 pts (now 54%) (top driver: 1st down).
  2. TD · Q4 14:54: Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 20 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +15.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Buck Buchanan kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — UTEP win probability +14.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:30: Buzz Flabiano 36 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +3.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q4 9:19: Joshua Sloan punt for 36 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the LT 17 — LT win probability +7.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 9 of 14LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:12LT 4th & 6 at LT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12UTEP 4th & 1 at LT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:32UTEP 4th & 4 at LT 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:28UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 10:00UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 9:51UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:45UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:26LT 4th & 10 at LT 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:18LT 4th & 6 at LT 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:28LT 4th & 2 at UTEP 15, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%−0.9
    83% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−5.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:39UTEP 4th & 15 at LT 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:50UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 21, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:30UTEP 4th & 7 at LT 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−5.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:03LT 4th & 5 at LT 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:54UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.7%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:19UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:56LT 4th & 23 at LT 4, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−3.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:02UTEP 4th & 6 at LT 32, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−1.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:57UTEP 4th & 14 at LT 21, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.0 ptsWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−3.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−3.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:51LT 4th & 5 at LT 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:51UTEP 4th & 5 at LT 20, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:47LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:54LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3953% → 52%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
47.3%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Cyrus Allen, broken up by Maurice WestmorelandSimilar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-11
47.4%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Decoldest Crawford, broken up by AJ Odums Louisiana Tech Penalty, personal foul (Carson Bruno) to the LT 11Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 21
OWN 11
+20
47.4%
Marquis Crosby run for 20 yds to the LT 31Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+6
47.2%
Jack Turner run for 6 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.2%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
47.2%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Jacob Fields, broken up by Tyrice KnightSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+4
47.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the LT 41Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
47.9%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 49 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the UTEP 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
18 plays · 93 yds · 7:5648% → 51%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
47.7%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+10
47.8%
Deion Hankins run for 10 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
47.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 16 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
48.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Torrance Burgess Jr.) to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+26
47.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 26 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
48.8%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the LT 36Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-1
48.8%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 37Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+9
48.5%
Jake McNamara pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 9 yds to the LT 28Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+21
48.3%
Deion Hankins run for 21 yds to the LT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
49.0%
Jake McNamara run for 1 yd to the LT 6Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
49.0%
Jake McNamara run for 1 yd to the LT 5Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
48.7%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the LT 4Similar
Q1 0:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
50.1%
Jake McNamara pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi for a 1ST down Louisiana Tech Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Willie Roberts) to the LT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
51.5%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, off-side (David Blay) to the LT 1Similar
Q1 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.5%
Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
51.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Elijah Boyd) to the LT 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
51.7%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the LT 2Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.3%
Jake McNamara run for 2 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1354% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.2%
Jack Turner run for 3 yds to the LT 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-14
46.2%
Jack Turner pass complete to Ryan Rivera Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Tru Edwards) to the LT 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+85
46.2%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 85 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.2%
Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1946% → 44%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
45.9%
Kevin Hurley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24 Kevin Hurley fumbled, recovered by UTEP Kevin HurleySimilar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
45.9%
Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
45.8%
pass incomplete to Marcus BellonSimilar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+67
44.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 67 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3745% → 44%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
44.5%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
44.5%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
44.5%
pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
43.6%
Joshua Sloan puntSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
43.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:3043% → 44%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
42.7%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+15
43.7%
for a 1ST down Louisiana Tech Penalty, personal foul (Jayden Gray) to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
44.0%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+11
43.9%
Jake McNamara run for 11 yds to the LT 43 Jake McNamara fumbled, recovered by LT Willie RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3342% → 39%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
41.7%
Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
41.4%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
40.7%
Kevin Hurley pass incomplete to Marcus Bellon, broken up by Jesse EvansSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+5
39.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LT 22 , Smoke Harris returns for 5 yds to the LT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5058% → 57%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the LT 30Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
42.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 10 yds to the LT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
41.4%
pass incomplete to Tru EdwardsSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
41.7%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Marlion Jackson, broken up by James NealSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
42.2%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Smoke Harris, broken up by Maurice WestmorelandSimilar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
42.7%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3860% → 59%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
40.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the LT 46Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+1
40.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the LT 47Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
40.7%
pass incomplete to Tyre SheltonSimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
41.0%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 5:1760% → 65%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
39.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the LT 27Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+11
38.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 11 yds to the LT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
38.2%
Tyre Shelton run for 14 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
37.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 25 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 21
OPP 34
+15
37.8%
Keldric Moody run for 15 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+4
37.7%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+32
34.9%
Jacob Barnes 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:4935% → 32%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
34.8%
Kevin Hurley pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 15 yds Kevin Hurley fumbled, recovered by UTEP Marcus Bellon for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
36.0%
Kevin Hurley pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 16 yds to the LT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.2%
Kevin Hurley run for 10 yds to the LT 34 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Jerome Wilson Jr.) to the LT 44Similar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
37.2%
Kevin Hurley pass incomplete to Deion Hankins UTEP Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the LT 49Similar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
36.3%
pass incomplete to Jeremiah BallardSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
36.2%
pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
35.0%
pass incomplete to Jeremiah BallardSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
32.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:3766% → 69%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
33.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 6 yds to the LT 26Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
33.3%
pass incomplete to Tru EdwardsSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
34.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the LT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
33.3%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Smoke Harris for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Torey Richardson) to the LT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
32.2%
Jack Turner pass complete to Nate Jones for 8 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
30.9%
pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1335% → 32%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
34.7%
Kevin Hurley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+2
35.4%
Kevin Hurley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 1
OWN 21
0
34.3%
Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
32.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:5670% → 89%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
29.9%
pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
30.4%
Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+15
31.6%
UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (James Neal) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
50
-5
28.0%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, personal foul (Abraham Delfin) to the LT 45Similar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+37
29.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 37 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
27.3%
Jack Turner run for 12 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
27.3%
Marlion Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 10Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
27.3%
pass incomplete to Ryan RiveraSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-15
28.4%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, personal foul (Tru Edwards) to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 25
+12
29.0%
Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Keenan Stewart) to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-7
27.3%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the UTEP 10 Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offensive holding (Cyrus Allen) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 17
OPP 20
+20
11.5%
Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 20 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:3027% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.6%
Kevin Hurley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
26.8%
pass incomplete to Emari WhiteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+25
26.1%
Deion Hankins run for 25 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
28.9%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the LT 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
28.9%
Kevin Hurley pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi, broken up by Jhamal Shelby Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+18
28.8%
Kevin Hurley run for 18 yds to the LT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
29.5%
Kevin Hurley run for 1 yd to the LT 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-2
29.5%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+4
28.6%
Kevin Hurley pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 4 yds to the LT 19Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
24.9%
Buzz Flabiano 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:2778% → 82%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
21.9%
Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 23Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
22.2%
Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 1 yd to the LT 24Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
22.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 11 yds to the LT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
21.8%
Jack Turner run for 3 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
20.6%
Keldric Moody run for 2 yds to the LT 40Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
20.8%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Smoke Harris, broken up by Josiah AllenSimilar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
17.7%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
15 plays · 22 yds · 5:3515% → 9%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.0%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
15.2%
Kelly Akharaiyi run for 7 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.5%
pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
15.2%
Kevin Hurley pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi, broken up by Willie RobertsSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
14.8%
Kevin Hurley pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 9 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
16.5%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
17.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 8 yds to the LT 46Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
17.9%
Kevin Hurley pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard, broken up by Cecil Singleton Jr. Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offensive holding (Steven Hubbard) to the LT 46Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 46
-5
17.9%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Andrew Meyer) to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-5
17.1%
UTEP Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-1
16.1%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
15.4%
pass incomplete to Marcus Bellon UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Mayers) to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
16.4%
Similar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
9.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 36 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the LT 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
3 plays · -13 yds · 1:3493% → 94%
Q4 8:30
2ND & 26
OWN 1
+3
7.0%
Keldric Moody run for 3 yds to the LT 4Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 23
OWN 4
0
7.4%
Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 23
OWN 4
+22
6.1%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LT 36 , Marcus Bellon returns for 22 yds to the LT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:598% → 5%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
8.0%
Kevin Hurley run for 2 yds to the LT 34Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
8.7%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the LT 32Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
8.3%
Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+15
6.7%
Kevin Hurley pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi for a 1ST down Louisiana Tech Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cyrus Allen) to the LT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
7.8%
Kevin Hurley pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi, broken up by Willie RobertsSimilar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
7.7%
Kevin Hurley run for 2 yds to the LT 15Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-6
7.5%
Kevin Hurley sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the LT 21Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 14
OPP 21
0
4.5%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi, broken up by Isaiah McelvaneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0696% → 98%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
4.0%
Keldric Moody run for 2 yds to the LT 23Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
4.0%
Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+3
4.1%
Keldric Moody run for 3 yds to the LT 26Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
2.5%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 66 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21Uncategorized
15 plays · 88 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
2.9%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard, broken up by Myles HeardSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+26
2.8%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 26 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
3.1%
Cade McConnell run for 6 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+12
3.3%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 12 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
3.4%
Cade McConnell run for 4 yds to the LT 44Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
3.6%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 4 yds to the LT 40Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+15
3.7%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard for a 1ST down Louisiana Tech Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Willie Roberts) to the LT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
4.2%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi, broken up by Myles HeardSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
4.0%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, delay of game (Brevin Randle) to the LT 20Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
4.2%
pass incomplete to Marcus BellonSimilar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
3.9%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Marcus Bellon, broken up by Myles HeardSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+10
3.5%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Marcus Bellon for a 1ST down Louisiana Tech Penalty, roughing passer (Isaiah Mcelvane) to the LT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
4.2%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 6 yds to the LT 4Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
4.5%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi, broken up by Jhamal Shelby Jr.Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
4.2%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard, broken up by Willie RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:54
Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 20 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-15.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Buck Buchanan kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+14.1
PUNT · Q4 9:19
Joshua Sloan punt for 36 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the LT 17
-7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com