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LIB

Liberty 38 at Florida International 6

FIU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:41 · Daton Montiel punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense−5.2Score differential−2.0Pregame prior−15.9Garbage-time factor−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:40: Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Gabriel PAT MISSED) — FIU win probability +2.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:56: Billy Lucas run for 18 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +7.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:50: Nick Brown 41 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +1.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:15: Kaidon Salter pass incomplete — LIB win probability +9.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:09: Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +8.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:05FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:17FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 26, down 14
    Close callPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:41LIB 4th & 8 at midfield, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:41FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 9, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:54FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 28, down 8
    Close callPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:50LIB 4th & 7 at FIU 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:23FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 46, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:40FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:45FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 26, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:45LIB 4th & 15 at LIB 34, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:17FIU 4th & 2 at LIB 33, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:58FIU 4th & 13 at LIB 37, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:21LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:04LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:40FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:56LIB Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:09LIB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:48LIB Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3572% → 72%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
27.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 9 yds to the LIB 34Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+24
27.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 24 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
27.8%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+10
27.8%
Quinton Cooley run for 10 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
27.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
28.7%
Billy Lucas run for 6 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+15
28.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 15 yds to the FIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
28.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 9 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1629% → 28%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
28.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 7 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-5
28.7%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Tyren Dupree for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 37Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
28.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
28.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:5472% → 73%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
28.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
28.5%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 4 yds to the LIB 32Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+68
27.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 68 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4627% → 27%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
27.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 20Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+8
27.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-2
27.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 26Similar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
26.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:4774% → 75%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
26.0%
Billy Lucas run for 15 yds to the LIB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
25.5%
Kaidon Salter pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 4:5027% → 30%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
26.5%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 9Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
26.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+7
26.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 7 yds to the FIU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
26.6%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 19Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+15
26.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 15 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
26.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
26.7%
Kejon Owens run for 15 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+48
27.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 48 yds to the LIB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
27.7%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the LIB 1Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Gabriel PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:5372% → 72%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
28.5%
Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the LIB 27Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
28.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 4 yds to the LIB 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
28.3%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the LIB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
28.1%
Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the LIB 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
27.6%
Billy Lucas run for 9 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
27.6%
Liberty Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the LIB 39Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 19
OWN 39
+11
28.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
50
0
27.4%
Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
50
0
27.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 8
50
0
27.9%
Max Morgan punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
28.1%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FIU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:0028% → 27%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 15
OWN 9
0
28.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+8
28.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the FIU 17Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
27.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
27.2%
Florida International Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the FIU 9Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 15
OWN 9
0
27.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:4773% → 75%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
26.7%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+19
26.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 19 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
26.5%
Billy Lucas run for 14 yds to the FIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
26.4%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the FIU 12Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-10
26.4%
SALTER, Kaidon scrambles to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the FIU5 (PETERSON, Reggie), out of bounds. PENALTY LIB Holding on GRAY, Xavior enforced 10 yards from the FIU12 to the FIU22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+22
25.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 22 yds Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by FIU Hezekiah MassesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0027% → 25%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
26.8%
Kejon Owens run for 8 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
27.7%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
25.9%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
25.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:5275% → 83%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
24.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the LIB 44Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+18
24.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 18 yds to the FIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
24.2%
Kylen Austin run for 4 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
23.9%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+12
24.4%
Billy Lucas run for 12 yds to the FIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
16.6%
Billy Lucas run for 18 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0083% → 85%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
16.9%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
16.4%
Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
16.7%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
14.9%
Nick Brown 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:1721% → 22%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
21.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 4 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+8
20.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 8 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
21.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
21.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 8 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+2
17.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
22.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-6
21.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 6 yards to the FIU 32 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by LIB Kendy CharlesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15MISSED FG
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1288% → 88%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
11.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
12.0%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+49
11.9%
Nick Brown 49 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:3715% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
14.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 16 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
16.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 6 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
16.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-1
15.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 46Similar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
14.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 3:1488% → 98%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
11.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 1 yd to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
11.7%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+5
11.9%
Florida International Penalty, Offsides (Alex Nobles) to the FIU 40Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+14
11.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 14 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
11.2%
Kaidon Salter run for 7 yds to the FIU 19Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+17
11.2%
Billy Lucas run for 17 yds to the FIU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.4%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
2.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
2.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
2.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 49 yds , returns for no gain to the LIB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 4:5298% → 99%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
2.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 10 yds to the LIB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
2.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 12 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
2.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
2.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the FIU 38Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+11
2.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Quinton Cooley for 11 yds to the FIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
2.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 26 yds to the FIU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
1.2%
Mike Jackson run for 2 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-8
1.1%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by CJ Bazile Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 21Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+5
1.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 5 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
1.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brylan Green at the LIB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
0.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 13 yds to the LIB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
0.8%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 43Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
0.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-9
0.7%
(00:21) SALTER, Kaidon pass to the right complete for 12 yards to HENDERSON, Austin caught at the FIU47 and advanced to the FIU45 (DANIEL, D'Verik), clock 00:00. PENALTY LIB Holding on TUCKER, Jack enforced 9 yards from the LIB43 to the LIB34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 34
0
0.7%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 15
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Max Morgan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:281% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
0.5%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+15
0.5%
JENKINS, Keyone pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Kris thrown to the LIB35. PENALTY LIB Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the FIU25 to the FIU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
0.6%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
0.6%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 44Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+15
0.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 15 yds to the LIB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
0.6%
JENKINS, Keyone pass to the right complete for 6 yards to BRACEY, Jalen caught at the LIB35 and advanced to the LIB35, out of bounds. PENALTY FIU Holding on HOUSTON, Phillip enforced 10 yards from the LIB41 to the FIU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+4
0.6%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the LIB 47Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 16
OPP 47
0
0.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 16
OPP 47
+14
0.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 14 yds to the LIB 33Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 2
OPP 33
-10
0.3%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Kendy Charles for a loss of 10 yards to the LIB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 22 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
0.4%
Jr. James Jointer run for 5 yds to the LIB 48Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+6
0.4%
Jr. James Jointer run for 6 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
0.3%
Jr. James Jointer run for 5 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
0.3%
Jr. James Jointer run for 4 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
0.2%
Johnathan Bennett run for 2 yds to the FIU 35 Johnathan Bennett fumbled, recovered by FIUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 4:150% → 0%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Eric Rivers for 4 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
0.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 10 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
0.2%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
0.2%
Grayson James run for 17 yds to the LIB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
0.2%
Grayson James sacked by Tysheik Galloway for a loss of 10 yards to the LIB 44Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 20
OPP 44
-1
0.2%
Antonio Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 45Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 21
OPP 45
+8
0.2%
Grayson James run for 8 yds to the LIB 37Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 13
OPP 37
-4
0.1%
Grayson James sacked by Eliyt Nairne for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
0.2%
Victor Venn run for 12 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
0.2%
Victor Venn run for 4 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+10
0.1%
Jr. James Jointer run for 10 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
0.1%
Victor Venn run for 3 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+6
0.1%
Victor Venn run for 6 yds to the FIU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:15
Kaidon Salter pass incomplete
-9.7
TD · Q3 10:09
Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q2 2:56
Billy Lucas run for 18 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)
-7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com