Try the model
UNLV

UNLV 45 at UTEP 28

UTEP
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Sun Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:17 · Joshua Sloan punt for 49 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 91Home team on offense−10.4Score differential−3.1Garbage-time factor−3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Pregame prior+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:14: Jai'Den Thomas run for 17 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +4.9 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:11: Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +8.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:18: Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +12.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:01: Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +9.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:30: Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +14.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:04UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:34UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:07UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:46UTEP 4th & 26 at UTEP 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−2.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:46UNLV 4th & 3 at UTEP 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%−1.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:14UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:17UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:16UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:45UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 48, up 14
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:30UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:56UNLV 4th & 3 at UTEP 13, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:56UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:27UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:20UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:14UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:11UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:18UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:01UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:30UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
51.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 12 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 3:5646% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
53.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-5
53.6%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Alani Makihele) to the UNLV 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+11
53.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 11 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
53.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
53.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 2 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
53.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Timothy Conerly for 10 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
53.6%
Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
53.6%
Jayden Maiava run for 2 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
53.6%
pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
52.5%
Marshall Nichols punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3053% → 52%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
52.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
52.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
52.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Torrance Burgess Jr., broken up by Jackson WoodardSimilar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
51.8%
punt for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0752% → 56%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
52.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 26 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
52.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ricky Johnson) to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
53.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 38Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 14
OPP 38
-4
52.5%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 42Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 18
OPP 42
+20
52.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 20 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
53.0%
pass incomplete to Marcus BellonSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
53.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 6 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+3
52.8%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+5
52.6%
UNLV Penalty, off-side (Zavier Carter) to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
53.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
53.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.9%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0646% → 52%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
54.5%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 56 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
52.8%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
47.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 17 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:0349% → 48%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
49.4%
Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
49.3%
pass incomplete to Julian LopezSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-5
48.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi UTEP Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 10Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+15
48.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Zach Fryar, broken up by Jackson Woodard for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Jackson Woodard) to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.5%
pass incomplete to Marcus BellonSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.4%
Gavin Hardison run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
48.5%
Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
48.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 1 yd to the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:3549% → 59%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
48.7%
pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
48.2%
Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 20
OWN 33
-6
46.5%
Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 26
OWN 27
0
46.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
48.7%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+26
47.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 26 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
49.7%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 18 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
50.5%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 12 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
50.5%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UNLV 5Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
50.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Julian Lopez for 4 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.5%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:2146% → 46%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
54.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De Jesus UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Tiger Shanks) to the UNLV 17Similar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+1
54.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 19
OWN 18
-5
54.5%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Alani Makihele) to the UNLV 13Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 24
OWN 13
+9
54.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 9 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+21
55.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Senika McKie for 21 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
53.0%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky White for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive holding (Torey Richardson) to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
52.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+3
52.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
52.6%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky White, broken up by Torey RichardsonSimilar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 3
OPP 40
-3
53.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5347% → 62%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.0%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
52.8%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 12 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
51.5%
Jayden Maiava run for 6 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+53
50.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 53 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.5%
Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:0043% → 41%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.2%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
43.6%
Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
41.2%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:1762% → 72%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
37.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 9 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 1
OPP 23
-1
37.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+15
38.0%
Jayden Maiava run for 6 yds to the UTEP 18 UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Praise Amaewhule) to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
37.4%
Jordan Younge-Humphrey run for 4 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
37.4%
pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
27.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:4730% → 29%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
30.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-8
29.7%
Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 22
OWN 13
-5
28.8%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 27
OWN 8
+15
28.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 15 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
28.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
27.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 5 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
26.7%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky White, broken up by Tyler WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2336% → 33%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
35.5%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 6 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
36.4%
Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
35.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard, broken up by Cameron OliverSimilar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
32.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:4769% → 90%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
30.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
31.3%
pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+24
32.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 9 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Amier Boyd-Matthews) to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+46
28.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 46 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
25.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4830% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
29.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 11 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
30.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 11 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
31.9%
Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
31.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard, broken up by Jerrae Williams for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ricky Johnson) to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
32.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 5 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-6
32.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+22
31.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 22 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
32.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cameron Oliver) to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
29.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17INT
20 plays · 77 yds · 8:2675% → 86%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
24.7%
Jayden Maiava run for 7 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 3
OWN 24
0
24.5%
Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+9
25.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Vincent Davis Jr. for 9 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
24.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Amani Trigg-Wright) to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
24.7%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky White, broken up by AJ OdumsSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+5
25.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+12
25.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Senika McKie for 12 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
22.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 5
50
+2
22.8%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+5
23.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 5 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
22.8%
Jordan Younge-Humphrey run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
22.8%
pass incomplete to Senika McKieSimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+9
23.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Vincent Davis Jr. for 9 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
22.5%
Jayden Maiava run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
22.6%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Kaleo Ballungay, broken up by Tyler WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+23
22.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Timothy Conerly for 23 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
22.4%
Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
22.4%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
14.0%
Jayden Maiava pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:296% → 6%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
6.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard, broken up by Cameron OliverSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
6.0%
pass incomplete to Marcus BellonSimilar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
5.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard, broken up by Quentin MotenSimilar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
5.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:1616% → 17%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
15.7%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+17
15.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 17 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
17.7%
Ezell Jolly run for 3 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-5
17.6%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Otis Pitts III) to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+29
16.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 29 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
19.1%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+27
17.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 27 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:2291% → 94%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
8.9%
Donavyn Lester run for 6 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
8.3%
Donavyn Lester run for 6 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
8.2%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+9
8.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 9 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
8.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 8 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+1
7.9%
Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+1
8.1%
Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
7.9%
pass incomplete to Jai'Den ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
6.3%
Courtney Reese run for 32 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:488% → 7%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+25
7.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 25 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
8.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard, broken up by Jett EladSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-10
8.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Torrance Burgess Jr. UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Mayers) to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 20
OWN 32
0
6.8%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0094% → 95%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
5.8%
pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
5.9%
Jayden Maiava run for 6 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
5.8%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Shelton Zeon III, broken up by Maurice WestmorelandSimilar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
5.3%
Marshall Nichols punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4695% → 95%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
5.1%
Donavyn Lester run for 2 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
5.0%
Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
4.5%
Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
4.6%
Marshall Nichols punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.7%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25FG
5 plays · -16 yds · 4:3096% → 98%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
4.3%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+3
4.3%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+1
4.3%
Courtney Reese run for 1 yd to the UTEP 13Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
2.1%
Jose Pizano 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 11
OPP 36
+16
1.7%
Courtney Reese run for 16 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26Uncategorized
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Marcus Bellon, broken up by Cameren JenkinsSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
2.4%
Gavin Hardison run for 6 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
2.5%
pass incomplete to Jostein ClarkeSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+14
2.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 14 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
2.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
3.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Marcus Bellon, broken up by Jett EladSimilar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
3.0%
pass incomplete to Emari White UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Zuri Henry) to the UNLV 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:30
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q2 3:18
Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q2 1:01
Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com