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AUB

Auburn 10 at Texas A&M 27

TA&M
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:33 · Nik Constantinou punt for 39 yds , Koy Moore returns for 5 yds to the TA&M 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior+13.5Home team on offense+4.2Garbage-time factor+1.8Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:10: Timeout Auburn, clock 00:10 — TA&M win probability +5.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:05: Alex McPherson 53 yd FG GOOD — AUB win probability +5.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 9:42: Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 22 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:22: Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 37 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +9.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q4 12:16: Rueben Owens run for no gain Rueben Owens fumbled, recovered by AUB Eugene Asante , return for 67 yds (Alex McPherson KICK) — AUB win probability +7.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 6AUB made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 9:23TA&M 4th & 16 at AUB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:50AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31TA&M 4th & 13 at AUB 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:21AUB 4th & 21 at TA&M 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 40, up 6
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:16AUB 4th & 25 at AUB 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:28TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 28, up 6
    Close callPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:02AUB 4th & 9 at TA&M 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:33TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 10, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:22AUB 4th & 1 at TA&M 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%−2.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:05AUB 4th & 12 at TA&M 36, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    26.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:58AUB 4th & 19 at AUB 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−2.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:37AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:30AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:46AUB 4th & 27 at AUB 5, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−2.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:27TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:03AUB 4th & 27 at TA&M 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:43AUB 4th & 10 at TA&M 28, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 9:42TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:22TA&M Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:59TA&M Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1FG
15 plays · 41 yds · 5:2573% → 72%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Rueben Owens for 1 yd to the TA&M 26Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
73.0%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 21Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+13
73.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 13 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
72.9%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
72.8%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 36Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
72.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 8 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
72.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
50
-4
72.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 46Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+26
72.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Rueben Owens for 26 yds to the AUB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
72.8%
Rueben Owens run for no gain to the AUB 28Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
72.7%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-6
72.5%
Conner Weigman sacked by Caleb Wooden for a loss of 6 yards to the AUB 34Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 16
OPP 34
+51
72.2%
Randy Bond 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2127% → 27%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
72.6%
Payton Thorne run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 23Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
72.5%
Payton Thorne run for 1 yd to the AUB 24Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
72.7%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
72.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 34 yds, downed at the TA&M 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:0673% → 73%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
72.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 41Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+36
72.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 36 yds to the AUB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
73.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 11 yds to the AUB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
73.0%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 17Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+7
72.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 7 yds to the AUB 10Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-5
72.9%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 15Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
72.9%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
72.4%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+32
73.2%
Randy Bond 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:0127% → 27%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
73.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for 13 yds to the AUB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
72.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 15 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
72.1%
Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+10
72.0%
Damari Alston run for 10 yds to the TA&M 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
71.4%
Damari Alston run for 2 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
70.9%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-8
71.7%
Payton Thorne sacked by Walter Nolen and Chris Russell Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 38Similar
Q1 1:33
4TH & 16
OPP 38
-5
73.2%
Auburn Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 43Similar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 21
OPP 43
+17
73.2%
Oscar Chapman punt for 28 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 17 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1974% → 74%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
73.7%
Rueben Owens run for 6 yds to the TA&M 38Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
74.4%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
74.1%
Rueben Owens run for no gain to the TA&M 40Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+9
73.5%
Nik Constantinou punt for 39 yds , Koy Moore returns for 9 yds to the AUB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 19 yds · 4:2828% → 27%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
72.4%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Brian Battie for 10 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
71.8%
Payton Thorne run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 38Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
72.5%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+12
72.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Shane Hooks for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
50
+8
70.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Shane Hooks for 8 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+6
70.7%
Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-8
70.8%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the TA&M 34 Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TA&M 44Similar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 18
OPP 44
+3
71.5%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 3 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 15
OPP 41
0
71.7%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 15
OPP 41
-5
72.5%
Auburn Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 46Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 20
OPP 46
0
72.5%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 20
OPP 46
-5
73.2%
Auburn Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AUB 49Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 25
OWN 49
0
73.2%
Oscar Chapman punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4474% → 73%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
74.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 8 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
73.7%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
73.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the AUB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:0929% → 27%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
71.5%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Brian Battie for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
50
0
70.6%
Brian Battie run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 10
50
-6
71.6%
Payton Thorne run for 4 yds to the AUB 46 Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AUB 44Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 16
OWN 44
-3
73.0%
Payton Thorne sacked by Taurean York and Shemar Stewart for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 41Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 19
OWN 41
+15
73.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for 15 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 4
OPP 44
-5
71.9%
Auburn Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 49Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
73.2%
Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2275% → 74%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
74.6%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 10Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 10
-5
74.8%
Weigman, Conner pass complete to Walker, Jahdae for 5 yards to the TEXASAM15, PENALTY TEXASAM tripping 5 yards to the TEXASAM5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 14
OWN 5
+5
74.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 5 yds to the TA&M 10Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
74.2%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 9
OWN 10
+5
73.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 39 yds , Koy Moore returns for 5 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 8 yds · 4:2230% → 31%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
70.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
70.6%
Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the TA&M 35Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
70.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the TA&M 35Similar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
71.3%
Payton Thorne run for 1 yd to the TA&M 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
69.0%
Payton Thorne sacked by Chris Russell Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+5
70.8%
Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-4
69.7%
Payton Thorne sacked by McKinnley Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 36Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+53
69.0%
Alex McPherson 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:4730% → 28%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
69.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 18Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-3
70.1%
Payton Thorne sacked by Walter Nolen for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 15Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 14
OWN 15
-5
70.9%
Auburn Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 10Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 19
OWN 10
0
70.8%
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Jarquez HunterSimilar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 19
OWN 10
0
71.7%
Oscar Chapman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the AUB 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 3:0373% → 84%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
73.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the AUB 45Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+12
72.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 12 yds to the AUB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
73.6%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 38Similar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+10
72.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 10 yds to the AUB 28Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
73.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the AUB 27Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+5
72.5%
Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the AUB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
83.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 22 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:4218% → 17%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.6%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 1 yd to the AUB 26Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
81.7%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
82.4%
Auburn Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 21Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
82.8%
Robby Ashford run for 4 yds to the AUB 25Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
83.3%
Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:5682% → 94%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
82.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
83.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
84.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+14
84.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 14 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
93.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 37 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:408% → 7%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.2%
Robby Ashford run for 4 yds to the AUB 29Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
91.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 28Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
92.6%
Robby Ashford sacked by Edgerrin Cooper for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 26Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+3
93.2%
Oscar Chapman punt for 52 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 3 yds to the TA&M 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 3:5694% → 95%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
93.9%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+28
93.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 28 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
94.5%
Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TA&M 48Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 20
OWN 48
-15
94.6%
Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the TA&M 33Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 35
OWN 33
-5
94.4%
Max Johnson sacked by Cam Riley for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 28Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 40
OWN 28
+2
94.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q3 0:37
3RD & 38
OWN 30
0
94.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for no gain to the TA&M 30Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 38
OWN 30
0
94.5%
Nik Constantinou punt for 48 yds, downed at the AUB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 1:156% → 4%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
94.5%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
94.6%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the AUB 24Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-15
95.3%
Payton Thorne run for a loss of 15 yards to the AUB 9 Payton Thorne fumbled, recovered by AUB Dillon WadeSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 23
OWN 9
-4
95.5%
Auburn Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the AUB 5Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 27
OWN 5
+10
95.6%
Oscar Chapman punt for 50 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 10 yds to the AUB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:1796% → 89%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
96.3%
Rueben Owens run for 6 yds to the AUB 39Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+6
96.4%
Rueben Owens run for 6 yds to the AUB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+67
88.6%
Rueben Owens run for no gain Rueben Owens fumbled, recovered by AUB Eugene Asante , return for 67 yds (Alex McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:3788% → 87%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
87.7%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
87.1%
Max Johnson run for 14 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
88.4%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
88.3%
Max Johnson run for 1 yd to the TA&M 44Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
87.6%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
86.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the AUB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21PUNT
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:1711% → 8%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
88.8%
Robby Ashford run for 11 yds to the AUB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
88.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the AUB 25Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+24
89.1%
Brian Battie run for 24 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
87.3%
Brian Battie run for 8 yds to the TA&M 43Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
86.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 4 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
87.2%
Robby Ashford run for 5 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+6
86.2%
Robby Ashford run for 6 yds to the TA&M 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
88.1%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-5
89.2%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 33Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 15
OPP 33
-10
91.2%
Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TA&M 43Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 25
OPP 43
-2
91.2%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 45Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 27
OPP 45
0
92.0%
Oscar Chapman punt for 31 yds, downed at the TA&M 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 0:5692% → 99%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
92.1%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 17Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+79
92.2%
Amari Daniels run for 79 yds to the AUB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:122% → 2%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Holden Geriner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Holden Geriner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.0%
Holden Geriner pass complete to Jay Fair for 10 yds to the AUB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
97.8%
Brian Battie run for 8 yds to the AUB 43Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-2
97.8%
Holden Geriner pass complete to Shane Hooks for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 41Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+31
97.9%
Sean Jackson run for 31 yds to the TA&M 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
97.4%
Holden Geriner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
97.5%
Holden Geriner pass incomplete to Shane HooksSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
97.7%
Holden Geriner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 10
OPP 28
-3
97.7%
Holden Geriner sacked by Edgerrin Cooper for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:0099% → 100%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
99.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 14 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the AUB 49Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-2
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:42
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 22 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q3 6:22
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 37 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+9.1
FUMBLE · Q4 12:16
Rueben Owens run for no gain Rueben Owens fumbled, recovered by AUB Eugene Asante , return for 67 yds (Alex McPherson KICK)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com