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UTSA

UTSA 14 at Tennessee 45

TENN
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:27 · Lucas Dean punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the TENN 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Pregame prior+34.4Home team on offense+10.3Score differential+7.9Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Garbage-time factor+1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:03: Dylan Sampson run for 10 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — TENN win probability +0.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:23: Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 18 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — TENN win probability +2.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:23: Timeout Tennessee, clock 14:23 — UTSA win probability +0.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:10: Timeout Tennessee, clock 11:10 — TENN win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 3:21: Charles Campbell 29 Yd Field Goal — TENN win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UTSA made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 12:59UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:41UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27UTSA 4th & 1 at TENN 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:53UTSA 4th & 3 at TENN 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:59TENN 4th & 7 at UTSA 34, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.6%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:49UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:27UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:33UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:54TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 41, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:21TENN 4th & 11 at UTSA 11, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:46UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:02TENN 4th & 8 at midfield, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:29TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 14, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:39TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 35, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:22UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 21, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:50UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:51TENN 4th & 9 at UTSA 49, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:00TENN 4th & 18 at UTSA 42, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:40TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:03TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:23TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
93.0%
Joe Milton III run for 81 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:417% → 7%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 24Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
93.0%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q1 14:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
93.0%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
92.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds , Dee Williams returns for 4 yds to the TENN 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:5693% → 93%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
92.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 5 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+8
92.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 8 yds to the UTSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
92.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+11
92.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 11 yds to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
92.8%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the UTSA 25Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+11
92.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 11 yds to the UTSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
92.8%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
92.8%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the UTSA 10Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
93.0%
Dylan Sampson run for 10 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:227% → 7%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Oscar CardenasSimilar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 1 yd to the UTSA 24Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
93.0%
punt for 18 yds , Cameron Seldon returns for no gain to the UTSA 45 Cameron Seldon fumbled, recovered by UTSA Kelechi NwachukuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5DOWNS
13 plays · 36 yds · 4:487% → 8%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
92.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 44Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+2
92.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 2 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+8
92.8%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Willie McCoy for 8 yds to the TENN 46Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+6
92.6%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 6 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
92.6%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
92.6%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Willie McCoySimilar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+14
92.7%
Robert Henry run for 14 yds to the TENN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
92.5%
Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the TENN 21Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
92.5%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Oscar CardenasSimilar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+2
92.4%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the TENN 19Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 3
OPP 19
0
92.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Houston ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:5494% → 94%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
93.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 8 yds to the TENN 27Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+7
93.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 7 yds to the TENN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
93.9%
Joe Milton III run for 7 yds to the TENN 41Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+9
94.1%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
50
+13
94.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 13 yds to the UTSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
94.2%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
94.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 1 yd to the UTSA 38Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+4
94.1%
Joe Milton III run for 4 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+52
93.6%
Charles Campbell 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:108% → 8%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
92.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
92.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+3
92.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 3 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+3
92.3%
Oscar Cardenas run for 3 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+3
92.3%
Oscar Cardenas run for 3 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:2694% → 96%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
93.9%
PENALTY TENN Personal Foul (Telander,Jeremiah) 15 yards from UTSA43 to TENN42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 25
OWN 42
+40
93.8%
Jabari Small run for 40 yds to the UTSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
96.1%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 18 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:565% → 4%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
95.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 7 yards to the UTSA 18Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+1
95.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 19Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
95.4%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Devin McCuin for 6 yds to the UTSA 25Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the TENN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.7%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 1 yd to the TENN 39Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+2
96.7%
Joe Milton III run for 2 yds to the TENN 41Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+11
96.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 11 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:372% → 1%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 27Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
98.4%
Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
98.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 3 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger run for no gain to the UTSA 35Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.4%
Willie McCoy run for 8 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
98.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the UTSA 38Similar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3999% → 99%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
98.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 41Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
98.6%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
98.6%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
98.6%
Jackson Ross punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the UTSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:501% → 1%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the UTSA 15Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
98.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 7 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+13
98.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 13 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:4399% → 99%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
50
+44
98.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 44 yds to the UTSA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.9%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.0%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the UTSA 6Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
99.0%
Joe Milton III sacked by Brandon Matterson for a loss of 5 yards to the UTSA 11 Joe Milton III fumbled, recovered by UTSA Jeremiah Crawford , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
99.0%
Charles Campbell 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Robert HenrySimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 26Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.4%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Robert Henry for 5 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the TENN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:4499% → 99%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the TENN 29Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the TENN 33Similar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 8
50
0
99.2%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Chas NimrodSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 8
50
0
99.2%
Jackson Ross punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.5%
Kneel down by Texas San Antonio at UTSA18 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:281% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 8 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.3%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the UTSA 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 3 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+21
99.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 21 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the TENN 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
99.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry for 1 yd to the TENN 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+7
99.3%
Owen McCown run for 7 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
99.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the TENN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
99.4%
Owen McCown sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 22Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+6
99.4%
Robert Henry run for 6 yds to the TENN 16Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+8
99.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the TENN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-9
99.4%
Joshua Cephus sacked by Tamarion McDonald for a loss of 9 yards to the TENN 17Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+14
99.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry for 14 yds to the TENN 3Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Joshua Cephus 3 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.7%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb WebbSimilar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.7%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the TENN 14Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
99.7%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb WebbSimilar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
99.7%
Jackson Ross punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+10
99.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 10 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+43
99.7%
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg 43 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 10 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TENN 26Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.7%
PENALTY TENN False Start (Lane,Ollie) 5 yards from TENN26 to TENN21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+14
99.7%
Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 14 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Jackson Ross punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the UTSA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.8%
Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the UTSA 25Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Owen McCown run for 4 yds to the UTSA 21Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:40100% → 100%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 4 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
99.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 48Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
99.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the TENN 49Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+20
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 20 yds to the UTSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to for 15 yds to the UTSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
99.9%
Jabari Small run for 9 yds to the UTSA 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the UTSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the UTSA 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the UTSA 1Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jabari Small 1 Yd Run (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the UTSA 30Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Owen McCown run for 2 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 4 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:33100% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+29
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 29 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.9%
Dylan Sampson 41 Yd Run (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26INT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 7 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Owen McCown run for 7 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 10 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 3 yds to the TENN 40Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Owen McCown pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 10
50
+1
99.9%
Cameron Seldon run for 1 yd to the UTSA 49Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Jackson Ross punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the UTSA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 28FUMBLE
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador for no gain to the UTSA 10Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
99.9%
PENALTY TENN Offside (Herring,Caleb) 5 yards from UTSA10 to UTSA15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Robert Henry run for no gain to the UTSA 15Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+19
100.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 19 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 7 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-7
100.0%
Owen McCown sacked by Caleb Herring for a loss of 7 yards to the UTSA 34 Owen McCown fumbled, recovered by UTSA Austin Lewis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 2 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+1
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 1 yd to the UTSA 33Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-4
100.0%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Asyrus Simon for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 37Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 13
OPP 37
-5
99.9%
PENALTY TENN False Start (Salmon,Hunter) 5 yards from UTSA37 to UTSA42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Jackson Ross punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
100.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 9Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+9
100.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 9 yds to the UTSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
100.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the UTSA 24Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:23
Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 18 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 11:10
Timeout Tennessee, clock 11:10
+1.8
TD · Q2 14:23
Timeout Tennessee, clock 14:23
-0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com