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ARMY

Army 16 at Syracuse 29

SYR
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:49 · punt for 40 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+10.2Home team on offense+6.6Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:29: Quinn Maretzki 38 yd FG GOOD — ARMY win probability +6.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:59: LeQuint Allen run for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +14.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:01: Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg PAT MISSED) — SYR win probability +10.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:36: Brady Denaburg 30 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +3.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:46: Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +7.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:35SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:16ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 25, up 7
    Close callPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:29SYR 4th & 10 at ARMY 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:09ARMY 4th & 13 at ARMY 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:49SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:49ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:04ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.5%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:29ARMY 4th & 9 at SYR 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:51SYR 4th & 1 at ARMY 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.1%−4.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−6.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:43ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:42ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:49ARMY 4th & 15 at ARMY 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−3.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:36SYR 4th & 5 at ARMY 12, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−8.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:17ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 27, down 9
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:05SYR 4th & 8 at ARMY 13, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−1.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:43SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 25, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:57SYR 4th & 4 at ARMY 39, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:35ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:59SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:01SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:46SYR Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:32ARMY Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 9:2516% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.2%
Markel Johnson run for no gain to the ARMY 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
84.2%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 8 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
84.2%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 7 yds to the ARMY 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-2
84.2%
Bryson Daily run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARMY 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+4
84.2%
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+4
84.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
84.2%
Noah Short run for 6 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
84.2%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 3 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
84.2%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
84.2%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
84.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
84.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
84.2%
Markel Johnson run for 5 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+8
84.2%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 8 yds to the SYR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
84.2%
Syracuse Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the SYR 5Similar
Q1 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
80.5%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the SYR 1Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0079% → 78%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the SYR 29Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
79.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the SYR 32Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
79.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
78.2%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1922% → 23%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
78.2%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 2 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+4
77.5%
Markel Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARMY 23Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+2
77.5%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 25Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
77.2%
Cooper Allan punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:4777% → 78%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
77.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the SYR 38Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+6
77.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to D'Marcus Adams for 6 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
77.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 12 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
78.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 3 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+13
76.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 13 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
77.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the ARMY 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
77.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 2 yds to the ARMY 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-5
76.7%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Kalib Fortner for a loss of 5 yards to the ARMY 28Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
77.5%
Brady Denaburg 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:2023% → 24%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
77.0%
DAILY, Bryson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ALSTON, Isaiah thrown to the ARM50. PENALTY ARM Holding enforced 10 yards from the ARM26 to the ARM16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-6
77.3%
Bryson Daily sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ARMY 10Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+12
77.5%
Bryson Daily run for 12 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
76.5%
Cooper Allan punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the SYR 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2076% → 75%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
76.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 36Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
76.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
76.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
74.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds, downed at the ARMY 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7FG
21 plays · 64 yds · 9:2025% → 43%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
74.9%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
74.6%
Miles Stewart run for 3 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+2
74.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+2
75.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the ARMY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
74.5%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
74.4%
Markel Johnson run for 2 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+5
71.2%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+4
71.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
69.7%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
70.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
69.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
50
+15
68.9%
Bryson Daily run for 15 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
68.5%
Markel Johnson run for 1 yd to the SYR 34Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
63.2%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+8
63.3%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the SYR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
62.8%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the SYR 21Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
62.8%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
63.7%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
57.0%
Quinn Maretzki 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8INT
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:2961% → 62%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
61.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 23 yds to the SYR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
63.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
62.3%
Garrett Shrader pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:0960% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 6 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
61.3%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
59.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 14 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
62.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 14 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
63.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 6 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
64.7%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the ARMY 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+3
63.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
58.7%
Juwaun Price run for no gain to the ARMY 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0846% → 46%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
53.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-1
53.8%
Kanye Udoh run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 33Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+2
55.2%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
53.7%
Cooper Allan punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:4455% → 74%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+31
54.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 31 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
59.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+19
60.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 19 yds to the ARMY 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
74.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:1733% → 34%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
67.3%
Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ARMY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
64.9%
Markel Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 41Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+3
65.8%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 3 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+2
66.0%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
66.4%
Cooper Allan punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:4169% → 84%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
68.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 7 yds to the SYR 16Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+5
68.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
68.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Dan Villari for 11 yds to the SYR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
69.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 11 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+26
71.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 26 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
73.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 7 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+10
73.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 10 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
73.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 1 yd to the ARMY 13Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
73.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+13
84.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0624% → 21%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.2%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
76.7%
Zach Mundell run for a loss of 5 yards to the ARMY 27Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
78.5%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:49
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
79.0%
punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:1384% → 88%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
84.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 7 yds to the SYR 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+15
84.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 15 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
84.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 7 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
-1
85.1%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+14
84.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 14 yds to the ARMY 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
85.1%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the ARMY 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
85.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the ARMY 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+4
84.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the ARMY 12Similar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
87.7%
Brady Denaburg 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1912% → 10%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.3%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.4%
Aidan Casuccio run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
88.0%
Bryson Daily sacked by Caleb Okechukwu and Leon Lowery for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 27Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
90.1%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:3190% → 97%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
89.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the ARMY 21Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
96.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18INT
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:365% → 4%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.3%
Bryson Daily sacked by Anwar Sparrow for a loss of 10 yards to the ARMY 15Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
95.7%
Bryson Daily pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 3:0597% → 99%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
96.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the ARMY 18Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+3
96.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the ARMY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
96.7%
Juwaun Price run for no gain to the ARMY 15Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
96.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the ARMY 8Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-5
96.6%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Jimmy Ciarlo for a loss of 5 yards to the ARMY 13Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
98.6%
Brady Denaburg 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20INT
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:132% → 2%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.1%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 5 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
98.0%
Markel Johnson run for 3 yds to the ARMY 33Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+16
98.0%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 16 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
98.0%
Bryson Daily sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. and Braylen Ingraham for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 45Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+21
98.1%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Joshua Lingenfelter for 21 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
97.7%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+15
97.5%
DAILY, Bryson pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for ALSTON, Isaiah thrown to the SYR0. PENALTY SYR Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the SYR15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.5%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
97.5%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
98.0%
Bryson Daily pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
98.9%
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson run for 4 yds to the SYR 21Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+5
98.9%
Juwaun Price run for 5 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-1
99.2%
Juwaun Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 25Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 55 yds, downed at the ARMY 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
97.6%
Noah Short 80 Yd pass from Bryson Daily (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:2698% → 99%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
98.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the ARMY 42Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
98.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
98.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the ARMY 39Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+29
98.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 29 yds to the ARMY 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by SHRADER, Garrett at ARM12 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
98.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by SHRADER, Garrett at ARM14 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:59
LeQuint Allen run for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+14.4
TD · Q3 2:01
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg PAT MISSED)
+10.4
TD · Q4 9:46
Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com