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WIS

Wisconsin 38 at Purdue 17

PUR
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2023 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-9PUR 10.4%Nathanial Vakos 48 yd FG GOODAWAY 30 - HOME 17 · Q4 12:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:52 · Nathanial Vakos 48 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense−29.7Pregame prior−3.9Score differential−14.2Garbage-time factor−8.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:36: Braelon Allen run for 14 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +12.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:44: Nathanial Vakos 38 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +6.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:42: Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK) — PUR win probability +6.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Hudson Card run for 6 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK) — PUR win probability +9.1 pts (now 25%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:52: Nathanial Vakos 48 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +9.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 6WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:30PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:10PUR 4th & 22 at PUR 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:17PUR 4th & 7 at WIS 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:39PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 33, down 18
    Close callPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:02WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:44WIS 4th & 20 at PUR 20, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−2.8
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−6.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:54WIS 4th & 4 at PUR 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−8.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:52WIS 4th & 14 at PUR 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−2.4
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:27PUR 4th & 14 at WIS 33, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:18WIS 4th & 11 at PUR 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:23PUR 4th & 10 at WIS 16, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:05WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:26WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:36WIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:42PUR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:00PUR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:35WIS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2432% → 33%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
32.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 1 yd to the PUR 15Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
32.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+6
32.1%
Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
32.6%
Jack Ansell punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:2567% → 68%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
32.6%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
32.6%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
32.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for no gain to the WIS 48Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
32.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
32.5%
Purdue Penalty, Personal Foul (Markevious Brown) to the PUR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
32.5%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 25Similar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+11
32.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 11 yds to the PUR 14Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
32.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
32.6%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
32.6%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
32.1%
Tanner Mordecai run for 14 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · -1 yds · 3:5033% → 32%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
32.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 5 yds to the PUR 24Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+6
32.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 6 yds to the PUR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
32.6%
MOCKOBEE, Devin rush to the left for a gain of 24 yards to the WIS46 (PETERSON, Darryl). PENALTY PUR Holding on GRANT, Jalen enforced 10 yards from the PUR30 to the PUR20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+6
32.5%
Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 14
OWN 26
-3
32.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 23Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 17
OWN 23
-10
32.3%
CARD, Hudson scrambles up the middle for a gain of 15 yards to the PUR38 (WOHLER, Hunter). PENALTY PUR Holding on MBOW, Marcus enforced 10 yards from the PUR23 to the PUR13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 27
OWN 13
+5
32.3%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the PUR 18Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 17
OWN 23
-10
32.3%
CARD, Hudson scrambles up the middle for a gain of 15 yards to the PUR38 (WOHLER, Hunter). PENALTY PUR Holding on MBOW, Marcus enforced 10 yards from the PUR23 to the PUR13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 27
OWN 13
+5
32.3%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the PUR 18Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 22
OWN 18
0
32.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:4468% → 72%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
31.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+1
31.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 1 yd to the PUR 33Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+7
31.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 7 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
31.6%
Will Pauling pass complete to Tanner Mordecai for 19 yds to the PUR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
31.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the PUR 6Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
31.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
27.9%
Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:0929% → 31%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
28.6%
Hudson Card run for 12 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
29.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 18 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
29.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+25
29.5%
Dylan Downing run for 25 yds to the WIS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
29.8%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 23Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
29.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for no gain to the WIS 23Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 13
OPP 23
-5
29.4%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 28Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+11
29.2%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 11 yds to the WIS 17Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
30.8%
Julio Macias 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 8:2470% → 83%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
30.5%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
30.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
30.1%
QB Keeper MORDECAI, Tanner rush to the right for no gain to the WIS36, out of bounds. PENALTY WIS Holding on BORTOLINI, Tanor enforced 10 yards from the WIS36 to the WIS26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+3
30.6%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+9
30.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 9 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+15
30.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 15 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
29.6%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
29.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+13
29.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 13 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
29.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+7
29.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 7 yds to the PUR 20Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
29.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the PUR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
29.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the PUR 10Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
29.5%
Tanner Mordecai run for 1 yd to the PUR 9Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
29.7%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the PUR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
29.5%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 12Similar
Q2 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
-10
29.6%
ALLEN, Braelon rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the PUR9 (BROTHERS, O.C.). PENALTY WIS Holding on RUCCI, Hayden enforced 10 yards from the PUR12 to the PUR22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 22
+8
29.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 8 yds to the PUR 14Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
17.1%
Braelon Allen run for 14 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5721% → 20%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
20.8%
Hudson Card sacked by James Thompson Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the PUR 17Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+8
20.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 8 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
20.6%
Hudson Card run for 8 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
19.7%
Jack Ansell punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 12 yds · 2:3783% → 85%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
16.9%
Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
16.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 4 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
17.1%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 27Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
17.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
16.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
16.6%
Wisconsin Penalty, Delay Of Game (Tanner Mordecai) to the WIS 31Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-1
16.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chez Mellusi for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 30Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+12
16.0%
Tanner Mordecai run for 12 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 4
OWN 42
-5
15.7%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 37Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
15.2%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 60 yds, downed at the PUR 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9INT
13 plays · 61 yds · 2:0217% → 19%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
16.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+6
16.5%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds to the PUR 9Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+16
16.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 16 yds to the PUR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
22.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 8 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
18.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
18.2%
Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
23.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Dylan Downing for 5 yds to the PUR 41Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+14
19.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 14 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
24.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
24.2%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (Deion Burks) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 15
50
+14
22.7%
Hudson Card run for 14 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
18.6%
Hudson Card pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:0786% → 92%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
14.0%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 35Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+4
14.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 4 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+52
13.6%
Braelon Allen run for 52 yds to the PUR 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
12.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 3 yds to the PUR 6Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
12.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the PUR 2Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
12.8%
Wisconsin Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on MORDECAI, Tanner enforced a result of a ( Yards) to the PUR 14Similar
Q3 14:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
-5
14.4%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 20Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+38
8.3%
Nathanial Vakos 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0212% → 20%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
12.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 10 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
12.4%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the PUR 35Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
12.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 10 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
13.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 12 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
13.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 19 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
14.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
13.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the WIS 19Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+19
20.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:4884% → 89%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
15.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 18 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
14.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 7 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+4
14.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
14.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-1
14.8%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 42Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+34
15.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 34 yds to the PUR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
14.5%
Tanner Mordecai run for no gain to the PUR 8Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
14.5%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the PUR 4Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
14.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
11.0%
Nathanial Vakos 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5413% → 25%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.0%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
13.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 13 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
14.3%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
14.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 4 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+9
14.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 9 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
14.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 15 yds to the WIS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
15.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 24 yds to the WIS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
16.1%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 6Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
25.2%
Hudson Card run for 6 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0181% → 90%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
18.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 20 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
18.0%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the PUR 22Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-5
18.0%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Jack Nelson) to the PUR 27Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-3
18.2%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 30Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 14
OPP 30
0
19.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+48
10.4%
Nathanial Vakos 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:1116% → 18%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
16.4%
Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the PUR 39Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
17.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 12 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
17.8%
Hudson Card pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:1692% → 93%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
8.0%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 45Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+2
8.1%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the PUR 43Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
7.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5815% → 10%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
50
+3
15.1%
Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+18
15.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 18 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
17.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-4
16.7%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 4 yards to the WIS 33Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 14
OPP 33
0
11.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 14
OPP 33
0
10.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:0994% → 95%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
6.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
6.5%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+15
6.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 15 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
5.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-1
5.2%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 49Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
5.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
5.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:167% → 4%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
6.7%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 19Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
6.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+17
6.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 17 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
7.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
6.7%
Hudson Card sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the PUR 26 fumbled, recovered by WIS Darian Varner , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
4.4%
Purdue Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jeffrey M'Ba) to the PUR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:2796% → 99%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
4.4%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the PUR 7Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
4.4%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the PUR 4Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
0.8%
Braelon Allen 4 Yd Run (Will Pauling Pass to Tanner Mordecai for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 59 yds · 2:121% → 0%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
0.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 17 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
0.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 17 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
1.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
1.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+15
1.0%
Wisconsin Penalty, Personal Foul (Jake Chaney) to the WIS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
0.4%
Hudson Card run for no gain to the WIS 16Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
0.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 10
OPP 16
0
0.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -4 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
0.4%
[NH] Kneel down by MORDECAI, Tanner at WIS14 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
0.4%
[NH] Kneel down by MORDECAI, Tanner at WIS12 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:36
Braelon Allen run for 14 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q3 0:00
Hudson Card run for 6 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)
+9.1
FG · Q4 12:52
Nathanial Vakos 48 yd FG GOOD
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com