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IOWA

Iowa 0 at Penn State 31

PSU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:19 · Tory Taylor punt for 56 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior+24.2Home team on offense+6.5Score differential+1.5Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 1:35: Alex Felkins 46 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +2.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:19: Kaytron Allen run for 7 yds to the PSU 28 — IOWA win probability +2.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:56: Timeout Penn State, clock 00:56 — PSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:20: Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — PSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:01: Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — PSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:50IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:03PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35PSU 4th & 13 at IOWA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    77.4%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:02IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:11PSU 4th & 8 at PSU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:11PSU 4th & 1 at IOWA 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.5%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:17PSU 4th & 1 at IOWA 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−1.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:19IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:58PSU 4th & 12 at IOWA 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:35IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:31PSU 4th & 14 at PSU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:46IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:51IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00PSU 4th & 1 at IOWA 10, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:53IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:11PSU 4th & 17 at IOWA 26, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 9:17PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:20PSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:01PSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:19PSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:1015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.2%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
85.2%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+20
85.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 20 yds to the IOWA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
85.2%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 49Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
84.6%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
84.6%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
84.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4985% → 84%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
84.6%
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 3Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 12
OWN 3
-2
84.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 1Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 14
OWN 1
+5
84.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 5 yds to the PSU 6Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 9
OWN 6
0
83.8%
Riley Thompson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the PSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:5816% → 17%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
83.8%
Cade McNamara run for 18 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
83.7%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the PSU 25Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-5
83.0%
Iowa Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PSU 30Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
83.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 12 yds Erick All fumbled, recovered by PSU Curtis JacobsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4FG
17 plays · 53 yds · 7:2884% → 81%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
83.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 8 yds to the PSU 26Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+13
83.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 13 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
83.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 45Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-3
83.9%
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 42Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+6
83.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 6 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+6
83.6%
Drew Allar run for 6 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 11
OPP 47
+3
83.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the IOWA 44Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
83.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the IOWA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
83.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+8
84.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 8 yds to the IOWA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
84.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-10
84.0%
Penn State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Hunter Nourzad) to the IOWA 30Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+1
83.8%
Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the IOWA 29Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 13
OPP 29
0
83.7%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
83.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 5 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
83.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 14 yds to the IOWA 32 Penn State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (KeAndre Lambert-Smith) to the IOWA 47Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+46
81.3%
Alex Felkins 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3318% → 18%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 4 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
81.7%
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the IOWA 32Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
81.9%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:02
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
81.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4981% → 80%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
81.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
81.1%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
80.6%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
80.1%
Riley Thompson punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the IOWA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:5482% → 84%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
81.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
82.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the IOWA 32Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
81.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
81.3%
Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the IOWA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
82.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 9 yds to the IOWA 20Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+2
82.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the IOWA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
82.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 17Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
82.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 5 yds to the IOWA 12Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+3
81.8%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the IOWA 9Similar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+9
83.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 9 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5815% → 14%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 3 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
85.8%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
86.1%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
86.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:2184% → 84%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
84.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 7 yds to the PSU 28Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+3
84.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
84.4%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
84.4%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+11
84.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 11 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
85.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 7 yds to the PSU 49Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
85.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
85.2%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-2
85.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 48Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
84.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
84.4%
Riley Thompson punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2314% → 13%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
85.8%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 29Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-1
85.9%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 28Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
86.2%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
86.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 52 yds , returns for no gain to the PSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0485% → 85%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
84.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 11 yds to the PSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
84.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 25Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-5
84.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 20Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
84.4%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
84.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:4515% → 13%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
85.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Leshon Williams for 3 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
84.9%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-9
85.7%
Cade McNamara sacked by Adisa Isaac for a loss of 9 yards to the IOWA 37Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 16
OWN 37
0
87.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 62 yds, downed at the PSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3486% → 86%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
86.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 3Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
86.0%
Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the PSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:4085% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 4 yds to the PSU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+19
85.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 19 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
86.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the IOWA 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
86.3%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+8
85.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 8 yds to the IOWA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
86.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+9
86.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 9 yds to the IOWA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
86.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
86.5%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+9
85.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds to the IOWA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
86.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the IOWA 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+14
86.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 14 yds to the IOWA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
86.5%
Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the IOWA 2Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:297% → 6%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.7%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the IOWA 25Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
93.0%
Cade McNamara run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 22 Cade McNamara fumbled, recovered by IOWA Cade McNamaraSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
93.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kaden Saunders at the PSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:5095% → 99%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
94.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 35Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
94.7%
Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
94.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 45Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+26
94.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 11 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST down Iowa Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Cooper DeJean) to the IOWA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
95.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 5 yds to the IOWA 24Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
95.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the IOWA 21Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+3
94.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the IOWA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
95.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the IOWA 12Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+4
95.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the IOWA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
95.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the IOWA 7Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.0%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
98.4%
Cade McNamara sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the IOWA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:3799% → 100%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
98.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 3 yds to the IOWA 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
98.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the IOWA 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+4
98.6%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the IOWA 10Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
98.5%
Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the IOWA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
98.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.7%
Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the IOWA 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.6%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kamari Moulton run for no gain to the IOWA 25Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Kamari Moulton run for 7 yds to the IOWA 32Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 56 yds, downed at the PSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:42100% → 100%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+18
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 18 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 12 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 5 yds to the PSU 47Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the PSU 49Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+11
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 11 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Iowa Penalty, Offsides (Aaron Graves) to the IOWA 35Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+16
99.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Trey Potts for 16 yds to the IOWA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
99.9%
POTTS, Trey rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the IOW10 (SCHULTE, Quinn;HURKETT, Ethan). PENALTY PSU Personal Foul on DONKOH, Anthony enforced 15 yards from the IOW19 to the IOW34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 25
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 25
OPP 34
+8
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 8 yds to the IOWA 26Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 17
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+43
99.9%
Alex Felkins 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
MOULTON, Kamari rush up the middle for a loss of 4 yards to the IOW22 (ELSDON, Tyler). PENALTY PSU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the IOW26 to the IOW31. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 5
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the IOWA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
99.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Diante Vines for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.9%
Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-1
99.9%
Kamari Moulton run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 47 Kamari Moulton fumbled, recovered by IOWA Erick AllSimilar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-7
99.9%
Deacon Hill sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 16 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 3 yds to the IOWA 43Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 3 yds to the IOWA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 3 yds to the IOWA 33Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
100.0%
Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:20
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q3 1:01
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)
+3.5
FG · Q1 1:35
Alex Felkins 46 yd FG GOOD
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com