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Louisiana Tech 14 at Nebraska 28

NEB
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:44 · Blake Ochsendorf punt for 50 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 8 yds to the LT 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+13.3Home team on offense+9.6Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:07: Jacob Fields run for 14 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +8.0 pts (now 21%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:53: Buck Buchanan kickoff for 65 yds , Tommi Hill return for 25 yds to the NEB 15 Tommi Hill fumbled, recovered by NEB Tommi Hill — LT win probability +6.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:57: Anthony Grant run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +5.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:52: Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 29 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +5.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:17: Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 20 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +5.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 10LT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:08LT 4th & 6 at LT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:08LT 4th & 6 at LT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:18NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:08NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:29LT 4th & 3 at LT 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:53NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:54LT 4th & 7 at LT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00NEB 4th & 4 at LT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:14NEB 4th & 22 at LT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:14NEB 4th & 22 at LT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:05LT 4th & 6 at LT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:53NEB 4th & 1 at LT 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−1.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−5.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:50LT 4th & 1 at NEB 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%−2.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−7.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:57NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:44LT 4th & 11 at LT 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−2.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:48LT 4th & 11 at LT 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:49LT 4th & 10 at LT 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:39NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:36NEB 4th & 13 at NEB 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 11:31NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:07LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:57NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:52NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:13NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:17LT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:529% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Ryan RiveraSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Tru EdwardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 10 yds to the LT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Keldric Moody for 3 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
90.6%
Keldric Moody run for 1 yd to the LT 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
90.6%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Tru EdwardsSimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+21
90.1%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 40 Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javier Morton) to the NEB 40Similar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+31
90.1%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 40 Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javier Morton) to the NEB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:0090% → 89%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
90.1%
Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Brevin Randle for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 23Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+3
90.1%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NEB 26Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+14
90.1%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 14 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
90.2%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
90.2%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Nate BoerkircherSimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
90.1%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
89.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+7
89.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 7 yds to the LT 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3911% → 12%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
89.2%
Smoke Harris run for 1 yd to the LT 18Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+13
89.3%
Jack Turner run for 3 yds to the LT 21 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Holding (Malcolm Hartzog) to the LT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
89.2%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the LT 31Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
89.2%
Jack Turner pass complete to Jacob Fields for 7 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
88.3%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
88.4%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:3689% → 87%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
88.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 7 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+8
88.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
88.5%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+13
88.5%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 13 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
88.8%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 47Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
88.8%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
88.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+6
87.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 6 yds to the LT 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:5913% → 14%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
87.3%
Jacob Fields run for 3 yds to the LT 18Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
87.2%
Jack Turner pass complete to Jacob Fields for 5 yds to the LT 23Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+5
87.3%
Jack Turner run for 5 yds to the LT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
87.2%
Dakota Williams run for 3 yds to the LT 25Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 13
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+6
87.4%
Dakota Williams run for 6 yds to the LT 31Similar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
86.2%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:2387% → 89%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+43
86.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 43 yds to the LT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
87.2%
Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the LT 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+3
87.2%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the LT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
87.2%
Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the LT 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+1
87.2%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the LT 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+1
86.9%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the LT 19Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+10
86.5%
Timmy Bleekrode run for 10 yds to the LT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
87.2%
Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the LT 9Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
88.9%
Billy Kemp IV run for 9 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 5:1112% → 21%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
87.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds Smoke Harris fumbled, recovered by LT Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+7
87.8%
Jack Turner pass complete to Decoldest Crawford for 7 yds to the LT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
87.8%
Keldric Moody run for no gain to the LT 26Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+19
87.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Jacob Fields for 19 yds to the LT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
87.3%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 1 yd to the LT 46Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
87.4%
Dakota Williams run for 2 yds to the LT 48Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+28
87.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 28 yds to the NEB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
86.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the NEB 15Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+1
86.6%
Jacob Fields run for 1 yd to the NEB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
78.6%
Jacob Fields run for 14 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:5383% → 81%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
83.0%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 32 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Billy Kemp IV) to the LT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
84.4%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the LT 48Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
84.3%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Alex Bullock for 14 yds to the LT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
84.9%
Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Zach Zimos for a loss of 10 yards to the LT 44Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+2
83.8%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the LT 46Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 22
OPP 46
0
83.1%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 22
OPP 46
+6
81.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 36 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 6 yds to the LT 16Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 22
OPP 46
+6
81.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 36 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 6 yds to the LT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0921% → 19%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
79.5%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Tru EdwardsSimilar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
79.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 4 yds to the LT 25Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
80.8%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:0581% → 83%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
81.3%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
82.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 5 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
82.2%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
81.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+22
80.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 22 yds to the LT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
82.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Emmett JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
82.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Alex BullockSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+41
82.5%
Tristan Alvano 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 4:5679% → 87%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
78.8%
Anthony Grant run for 14 yds to the NEB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
79.1%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+1
80.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 36Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+34
79.4%
Anthony Grant run for 34 yds to the LT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
81.5%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the LT 23Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
80.8%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the LT 21Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+19
79.8%
Anthony Grant run for 19 yds to the LT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
81.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the LT 23 Heinrich Haarberg fumbled, recovered by NEB Heinrich HaarbergSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.2%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:0715% → 18%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 9 yds to the LT 34Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
83.3%
Jacob Fields run for 2 yds to the LT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
84.0%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 16 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
82.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+8
82.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 8 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
82.6%
Dakota Williams run for 1 yd to the NEB 38Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
82.7%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Ryan RiveraSimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+10
83.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Decoldest Crawford for 10 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
82.1%
Jack Turner run for no gain to the NEB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:5387% → 86%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
86.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Anthony Grant for 2 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-10
86.5%
Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NEB 37Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+3
87.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
87.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+6
86.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the NEB 47Similar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
87.7%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 41 Heinrich Haarberg fumbled, recovered by NEB Nate BoerkircherSimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
85.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:1316% → 14%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
83.8%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+2
84.1%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the LT 1Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 14
OWN 1
+3
84.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LT 4Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 11
OWN 4
+8
86.2%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 50 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 8 yds to the LT 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:0890% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
90.3%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the LT 29Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+29
95.7%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 29 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:586% → 6%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
93.6%
Keldric Moody run for 1 yd to the LT 13Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+35
93.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 35 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
92.8%
Keldric Moody run for 1 yd to the LT 47Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Dakota WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
93.1%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
93.7%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 1:3595% → 99%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
95.4%
Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+3
95.5%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the NEB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
98.9%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 72 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Jack Turner pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.0%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1099% → 99%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
98.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 17Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-7
98.9%
Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Jesse Evans for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 10Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 14
OWN 10
+7
98.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the NEB 17Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 7
OWN 17
+9
98.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LT 49 , Smoke Harris returns for 9 yds to the LT 49 Smoke Harris fumbled, recovered by NEBSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 3:221% → 7%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 25
OWN 34
+24
99.1%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 24 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+2
99.0%
Jacob Fields run for 2 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+10
99.0%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 10 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+9
98.9%
Jack Turner run for 9 yds to the NEB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
98.9%
Jacob Fields run for 6 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+20
93.5%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 20 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:3697% → 98%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.9%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
97.0%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 32Similar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
97.1%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 38Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+2
97.1%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
98.1%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Tommi HillSimilar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+4
98.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 58 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 4 yds to the LT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:492% → 3%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
97.6%
run for 5 yds to the LT 5 fumbled, recovered by LT Jack TurnerSimilar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+19
97.8%
Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 19 yds to the LT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
97.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Jacob Fields for 7 yds to the LT 31Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+16
97.4%
Jack Turner pass complete to Nate Jones for 16 yds to the LT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+15
97.6%
Jack Turner pass complete to Nate Jones for 15 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
97.4%
Jack Turner run for no gain to the NEB 48Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
97.5%
Jack Turner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4799% → 99%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
98.6%
Kneel down by Nebraska at NEB39 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-2
98.6%
Kneel down by Nebraska at NEB37 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:07
Jacob Fields run for 14 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-8
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:53
Buck Buchanan kickoff for 65 yds , Tommi Hill return for 25 yds to the NEB 15 Tommi Hill fumbled, recovered by NEB Tommi Hill
-6.7
TD · Q3 9:57
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com