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RUTG

Rutgers 7 at Michigan 31

MICH
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG—MICH 90.0%James Turner 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q3 7:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:00 · James Turner 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+21.9Home team on offense+11.6Score differential+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. MISSED FG · Q2 9:35: James Turner 42 yd FG MISSED — RUTG win probability +1.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:41: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 18 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +2.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:20: Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete — RUTG win probability +1.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:31: Mike Sainristil 71 Yd Interception Return (James Turner Kick) — MICH win probability +6.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:38: Blake Corum run for 5 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:27MICH 4th & 7 at MICH 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:55RUTG 4th & 6 at MICH 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.9%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:35MICH 4th & 7 at RUTG 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:25RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:33MICH 4th & 1 at RUTG 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.9%−0.9
    70% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:53MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.1%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:00MICH 4th & 15 at RUTG 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:31RUTG 4th & 2 at MICH 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:41RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:57RUTG 4th & 6 at MICH 19, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:00RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:56MICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:41MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:31MICH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:38MICH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:005% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 6 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+69
94.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 69 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2794% → 94%
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
94.3%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
94.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-2
94.3%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Tyreem Powell for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 40Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
93.8%
Tommy Doman punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
93.8%
MONANGAI, Kyle rush to the left for a gain of 27 yards to the RU48 (SAINRISTIL, Mike). PENALTY RU Holding on PIERCE, Hollin enforced 10 yards from the RU21 to the RU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 3:006% → 7%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+6
93.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 17Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+10
93.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 4
OWN 27
-5
93.8%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 22Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-3
93.8%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 19Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
92.8%
Flynn Appleby punt for 75 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 3:3193% → 93%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
92.7%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 8Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+14
92.7%
Blake Corum run for 14 yds to the MICH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
92.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
92.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 8 yds to the MICH 30Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+33
92.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 33 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+35
92.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 35 yds to the RUTG 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.7%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 6:018% → 10%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 4 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
92.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
91.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
91.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 15 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
91.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MICH 48Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+11
91.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 11 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
91.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
91.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the MICH 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+2
89.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the MICH 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
-5
89.9%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MICH 33Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+51
89.9%
Jai Patel 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 5:2091% → 89%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
90.7%
Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+8
91.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
50
+2
91.1%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
91.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 5 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+16
91.1%
J.J. McCarthy run for 16 yds to the RUTG 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
91.4%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+3
91.4%
Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the RUTG 23Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+4
91.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 4 yds to the RUTG 19Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-5
90.9%
Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 24Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
89.1%
James Turner 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1012% → 13%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
87.8%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 24Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
87.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 9 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-1
87.6%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 32Similar
Q2 7:25
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
86.7%
Flynn Appleby punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:0187% → 90%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
87.0%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 22Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+1
86.9%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 23Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+23
86.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 23 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
88.0%
J.J. McCarthy run for 22 yds to the RUTG 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
87.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
87.5%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+5
87.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 5 yds to the RUTG 23Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
86.5%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the RUTG 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
87.5%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the RUTG 18Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
87.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
89.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 18 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4110% → 9%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
89.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 8Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+3
89.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 11Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+3
90.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 14Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 14
-7
90.6%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 7:5389% → 90%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
89.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
89.1%
Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the MICH 19Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+8
88.9%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the MICH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
89.4%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 32Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
89.7%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 36Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
89.7%
Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the MICH 36Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+9
89.0%
J.J. McCarthy run for 9 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
90.2%
MCCARTHY, J.J. scrambles to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the MIC50 (LEWIS, Aaron). PENALTY Before the snap, MIC Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MIC45 to the MIC40. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+1
89.7%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 41Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+25
89.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 25 yds to the RUTG 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
90.4%
Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the RUTG 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
90.4%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the RUTG 21Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
90.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-7
90.0%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Wesley Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 28Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+46
90.0%
James Turner 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11INT TD
12 plays · 48 yds · 2:2910% → 5%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.3%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 20Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
90.4%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass short to the left incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Isaiah thrown to the RU25. PENALTY MIC Pass Interference on WALLACE, Josh enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the RU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
90.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+17
89.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 17 yds to the RUTG 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+20
89.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 20 yds to the MICH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
87.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+8
88.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 8 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 2
OPP 27
-71
94.9%
Mike Sainristil 71 Yd Interception Return (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:504% → 4%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
95.7%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 24Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
96.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 8 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
96.0%
Flynn Appleby punt for 34 yds, downed at the MICH 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 5:0397% → 100%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 4 yds to the MICH 38Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
97.1%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 39Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+5
97.0%
J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds to the MICH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.5%
Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the MICH 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
97.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 11 yds to the RUTG 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+28
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 28 yds to the RUTG 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy run for 8 yds to the RUTG 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+4
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 4 yds to the RUTG 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 56 yds · 5:411% → 1%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 10 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
99.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 18 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 7 yds to the MICH 39Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
99.0%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the MICH 37Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+14
99.0%
Aaron Young run for 14 yds to the MICH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
98.9%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the MICH 20Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
98.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the MICH 19Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
99.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 6
OPP 19
0
99.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15END OF GAME
10 plays · 59 yds · 6:57100% → 100%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 3 yds to the MICH 22Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+5
99.6%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+4
99.6%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.6%
Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the MICH 38Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+14
99.6%
Kalel Mullings run for 14 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.7%
Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
99.6%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the RUTG 40Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+9
99.6%
Kalel Mullings run for 9 yds to the RUTG 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.7%
Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
99.8%
Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the RUTG 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:31
Mike Sainristil 71 Yd Interception Return (James Turner Kick)
+6.4
TD · Q2 1:41
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 18 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q4 12:38
Blake Corum run for 5 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com