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EMU

Eastern Michigan 0 at Jacksonville State 21

JXST
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:36 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 54 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Home team on offense+9.2Score differential+3.0Pregame prior+6.1Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:36: Logan Smothers pass complete to Quinton Lane for 16 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +4.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:02: Logan Smothers run for 41 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +5.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:54: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 00:54 — JXST win probability +5.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:09: Timeout Jacksonville State, clock 00:09 — JXST win probability +3.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:57: J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +9.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 10EMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:48EMU 4th & 10 at JXST 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:21JXST 4th & 10 at EMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:03EMU 4th & 2 at JXST 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−0.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:08EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:39JXST 4th & 12 at EMU 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:17EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:15JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 30, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:36EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:18JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 27, up 14
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02EMU 4th & 25 at JXST 46, down 14
    Numbers favored punt by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%−1.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    16.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:58JXST 4th & 7 at JXST 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:16EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−2.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:09JXST 4th & 5 at EMU 45, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:39EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:39JXST 4th & 9 at JXST 37, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:40JXST 4th & 7 at EMU 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:30EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 28, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:09JXST 4th & 2 at EMU 2, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−1.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:30EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 6, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:45JXST 4th & 12 at JXST 42, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:38EMU 4th & 18 at EMU 6, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:36JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:02JXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:57JXST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:1239% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
60.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 12 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
60.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 18 yds to the JVST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
60.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
60.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+2
60.8%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
60.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:2761% → 61%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
60.8%
Logan Smothers run for 11 yds to the JVST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
60.8%
Malik Jackson run for 11 yds to the JVST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
60.9%
Malik Jackson run for 9 yds to the JVST 35Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
61.0%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
61.0%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Quinton Lane for 24 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
61.2%
Logan Smothers run for 7 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
61.3%
Reggion Bennett run for 2 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+5
61.2%
Reggion Bennett run for 5 yds to the EMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
61.3%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
61.3%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
61.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Malik Jackson for no gain to the EMU 22Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
60.8%
Alen Karajic 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:1840% → 40%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
60.5%
Austin Smith sacked by Jackson Luttrell and Chris Hardie for a loss of 5 yards to the EMU 17Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+15
60.6%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Personal Foul (Kekoura Tarnue) to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
60.3%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+7
60.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 7 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
59.9%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 9
50
+2
59.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 2 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+5
59.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 5 yds to the JVST 43Similar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 2
OPP 43
-7
59.6%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:2762% → 66%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
50
+11
61.5%
Malik Jackson run for 11 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
61.6%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the EMU 39Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
61.6%
Malik Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+5
61.5%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the EMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
61.9%
Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the EMU 20Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+1
61.9%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 19Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
61.4%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the EMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
61.9%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 16Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
66.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Quinton Lane for 16 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2835% → 34%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
64.6%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to JB Mitchell III for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 22Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
64.8%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
65.3%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Samson Evans for 8 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
65.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 0:5866% → 73%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
65.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Perry Carter for 10 yds to the JVST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
66.5%
Reggion Bennett run for 13 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
66.8%
Reggion Bennett run for 5 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+41
72.6%
Logan Smothers run for 41 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:5130% → 29%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.0%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
71.1%
Ike Udengwu III pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:3273% → 72%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
73.2%
Reggion Bennett run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 44Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
73.0%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
72.4%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
71.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:2228% → 27%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
71.6%
Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the EMU 11Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+13
71.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Von Swinton for 13 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
71.0%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
71.2%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-4
71.4%
Austin Smith sacked by Larry Worth and Kamari Stephens for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 20Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
72.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 72 yds, downed at the JVST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0273% → 75%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
73.1%
Logan Smothers run for 13 yds to the JVST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
73.7%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
75.5%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+6
75.1%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Sean Brown for 6 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
75.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 50 yds, downed at the EMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:3925% → 23%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
74.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
74.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+1
75.0%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the EMU 26Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+5
76.5%
TOMASEK, Mitchell punt 74 yards to the JSU0, Touchback, clock 06:15. PENALTY JSU Running Into the kicker enforced 5 yards from the EMU26 to the EMU31 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
75.6%
SMITH, Austin pass to the left incomplete intended for SWINTON, Von broken up by TARNUE, Kekoura at the EMU31. PENALTY EMU Holding on DOOLEY, Brian enforced 10 yards from the EMU31 to the EMU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 20
OWN 21
0
76.2%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 20
OWN 21
-1
76.4%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 20Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 21
OWN 20
+13
76.6%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Samson Evans for 13 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
77.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1878% → 78%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
77.5%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the JVST 23Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
77.2%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the JVST 26Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+1
76.6%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the JVST 27Similar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
77.5%
Jack Dawson punt for 30 yds, downed at the EMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 25 yds · 3:1623% → 20%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
76.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMU 49Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
75.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the JVST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
75.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
74.9%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
75.0%
Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the JVST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
74.8%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
76.5%
Austin Smith sacked by Laletia Hale for a loss of 10 yards to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 20
OPP 41
-5
79.8%
Austin Smith sacked by Chris Hardie for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 46Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 25
OPP 46
+14
80.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 14 yds to the JVST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.9%
[NH] Kneel down by SMOTHERS, Logan at JSU31 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:0282% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.0%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
82.0%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Sterling Galban for 11 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
82.6%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
82.5%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+1
81.8%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the JVST 43Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
82.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:4218% → 16%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
82.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 12Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+3
82.4%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-9
82.7%
Austin Smith sacked by Marco Baker for a loss of 9 yards to the EMU 6Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 17
OWN 6
0
84.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:1985% → 95%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
85.0%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Quinton Lane for 20 yds to the EMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
85.0%
Malik Jackson run for 27 yds to the EMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.0%
J'Wan Evans run for no gain to the EMU 1Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.6%
J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:326% → 6%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.6%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
93.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 15 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
93.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 46Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-2
93.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 44Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
94.5%
Austin Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:1695% → 95%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
95.0%
Logan Smothers run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
50
+2
95.2%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
95.3%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+3
95.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 3 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
95.1%
Logan Smothers punt for 41 yds, downed at the EMU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:305% → 4%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
95.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the EMU 13Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+3
95.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
95.1%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
95.2%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Von Swinton for 5 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+2
95.2%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 2 yds to the EMU 23Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
96.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:5997% → 98%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
96.5%
Logan Smothers run for 10 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
96.5%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
96.6%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+3
96.6%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 3 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 4
OWN 42
-5
96.3%
Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (Will O'Steen) to the JVST 37Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+12
96.2%
Jack Dawson run for 12 yds to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
96.7%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 9
50
0
96.6%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 9
50
+2
96.6%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
97.6%
Logan Smothers punt for 38 yds, downed at the EMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:103% → 2%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
97.5%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+13
97.5%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 13 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.9%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
97.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-2
97.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 28Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Ike Udengwu III pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2198% → 98%
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
98.4%
Reggion Bennett run for 8 yds to the EMU 1Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Reggion Bennett run for no gain to the EMU 1Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
98.3%
Logan Smothers run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 2Similar
Q4 12:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.4%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the EMU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
98.6%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the EMU 1Similar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
98.6%
Ike Udengwu III run for 1 yd to the EMU 2Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+4
98.6%
Ike Udengwu III pass complete to Von Swinton for 4 yds to the EMU 6Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
98.6%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:30
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
98.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
98.8%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
98.8%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMU 48Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-10
98.8%
QB Keeper SMOTHERS, Logan rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU50 (SHINE, Kempton). PENALTY JSU Holding on BROWN, Sean enforced 10 yards from the EMU48 to the JSU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 12
OWN 42
0
98.7%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
98.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
98.9%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-8
98.9%
Ike Udengwu III sacked by Darrell Prater for a loss of 8 yards to the EMU 6Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 18
OWN 6
0
98.9%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 18
OWN 6
0
99.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 48 yds, downed at the JVST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 27END OF GAME
15 plays · 42 yds · 7:3899% → 100%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.1%
Malik Jackson run for 7 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
99.1%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.1%
Malik Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMU 36Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
99.1%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+4
99.4%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.5%
Logan Smothers run for 4 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
99.5%
Reggion Bennett run for 7 yds to the EMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.5%
Reggion Bennett run for 4 yds to the EMU 14Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+6
99.7%
Logan Smothers run for 6 yds to the EMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
[NH] Kneel down by SMOTHERS, Logan at EMU10 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.8%
[NH] Kneel down by SMOTHERS, Logan at EMU11 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.8%
[NH] Kneel down by SMOTHERS, Logan at EMU12 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:57
J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
+9.6
TD · Q2 14:02
Logan Smothers run for 41 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
+5.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:54
Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 00:54
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com