Try the model
AKR

Akron 27 at Indiana 29

IU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Dante Jackson 32 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Pregame prior+0.0Home team on offense−5.4Score differential−4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:33: DJ Irons run for 14 yds for a TD (Dante Jackson KICK) — AKR win probability +16.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:56: Louis Moore 22 Yd Interception Return (Chris Freeman Kick) — IU win probability +18.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:05: Chris Freeman 19 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +8.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:34: Lorenzo Lingard run for 71 yds for a TD (Dante Jackson KICK) — AKR win probability +38.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:08: DJ Irons run for 5 yds to the IU 20 — AKR win probability +7.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:51IU 4th & 9 at IU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:27IU 4th & 9 at AKR 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:57AKR 4th & 20 at AKR 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53IU 4th & 2 at AKR 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:30AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:34IU 4th & 1 at AKR 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:49AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 20, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:51AKR 4th & 7 at IU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−4.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:47IU 4th & 20 at IU 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:49IU 4th & 7 at IU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:58AKR 4th & 4 at IU 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%−1.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:51IU 4th & 8 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:13AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 28, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:05IU 4th & 1 at AKR 1, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.5%−5.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−19.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:55AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 14, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:17IU 4th & 4 at IU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:25IU 4th & 10 at IU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−13.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00AKR 4th & 10 at IU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−17.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−33.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:01IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:33AKR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:56IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:34AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0185% → 85%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.4%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
85.2%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
85.0%
Tayven Jackson sacked by Antavious Fish for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 26Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
84.7%
James Evans punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2INT
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:3815% → 17%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
84.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 21 yds to the AKR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
84.5%
DJ Irons run for 11 yds to the IU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
84.3%
(11:53) PENALTY AKR False Start (Williams,Tyhler) 5 yards from IND47 to AKR48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+4
84.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 4 yds to the IU 48Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+9
83.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 9 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+8
83.7%
Tahj Bullock run for 8 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
83.5%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
83.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Bobby Golden for no gain to the IU 31Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+15
83.4%
Indiana Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the IU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:1984% → 83%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+40
83.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 40 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
83.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the AKR 43Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
83.6%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to DeQuece CarterSimilar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
83.5%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
83.0%
James Evans punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:2217% → 18%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
83.0%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Alex AdamsSimilar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
83.0%
DJ Irons run for 12 yds to the AKR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.7%
DJ Irons run for 15 yds to the AKR 47 for a 1ST down Akron Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jake Newell) to the AKR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
82.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 26 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
81.8%
DJ Irons run for no gain to the IU 42Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-10
81.5%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Irons,DJ rush left for 3 yards gain to the IND39 (Minor,Kobee) PENALTY AKR Holding (George,Daniel) 10 yards from IND42 to AKR48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 20
OWN 48
+1
81.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Drake Anderson for 1 yd to the AKR 49Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 19
OWN 49
-1
81.6%
DJ Irons sacked by Noah Pierre for a loss of 1 yard to the AKR 48Similar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 20
OWN 48
0
81.8%
Dante Jackson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:0482% → 81%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
81.5%
PENALTY IND False Start (Benson,Kahlil) 5 yards from IND15 to IND10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+14
81.5%
Jaylin Lucas run for 14 yds to the IU 24Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+7
81.6%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 7 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
81.6%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
81.4%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+24
80.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Bradley Archer for 9 yds to the AKR 43 for a 1ST down Akron Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (CJ Nunnally IV) to the AKR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
81.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
81.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 5 yds to the AKR 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+3
81.5%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the AKR 34Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
81.0%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Trey WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2320% → 20%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
79.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
79.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 4 yds to the AKR 40Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
78.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
79.6%
Dante Jackson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 3:2080% → 84%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
80.0%
Christian Turner run for 12 yds to the IU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+40
80.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 40 yds to the AKR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
81.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Trey Walker for 20 yds to the AKR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
81.0%
Tayven Jackson run for 1 yd to the AKR 7Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
80.8%
Tayven Jackson run for 1 yd to the AKR 6Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
84.1%
Christian Turner run for 6 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8INT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:2617% → 16%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
83.1%
(10:01) Shotgun Anderson,Drake rush right for 2 yards gain to the AKR27 (Mangum-Farrar,Jacob), out of bounds PENALTY AKR Holding (Banks,TJ) 10 yards from AKR25 to AKR15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-5
83.1%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Williams,Nate) 5 yards from AKR15 to AKR10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 25
OWN 10
+6
83.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Drake Anderson for 6 yds to the AKR 16Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
83.2%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Alex AdamsSimilar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
83.6%
DJ Irons pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4884% → 84%
Q2 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
84.4%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the AKR 5Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
84.8%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the AKR 2Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.4%
Donaven McCulley run for 1 yd to the AKR 1Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.7%
Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the AKR 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:4517% → 16%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
83.2%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Alex AdamsSimilar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+12
83.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 12 yds to the AKR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
83.0%
DJ Irons run for no gain to the AKR 13Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
83.1%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+7
83.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 7 yds to the AKR 20 Akron Penalty, personal foul (DJ Irons) to the AKR 20Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
83.8%
Dante Jackson punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.1%
Tayven Jackson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4320% → 22%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
80.1%
DJ Irons run for 6 yds to the IU 18Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+9
80.0%
DJ Irons run for 9 yds to the IU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
79.9%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the IU 8Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
79.5%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the IU 7Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
78.3%
Dante Jackson 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:4980% → 78%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
80.4%
Jaylin Lucas run for 6 yds to the IU 46Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+8
80.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 8 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
81.1%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Kamryn PerrySimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
81.0%
Indiana Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tayven Jackson) to the IU 44Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 20
OWN 44
0
78.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 20
OWN 44
0
78.1%
James Evans punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bobby Golden at the AKR 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:3921% → 19%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
79.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jake Newell for 14 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
79.0%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Williams,Nate) 5 yards from AKR35 to AKR30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+9
81.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 9 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-10
79.5%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Irons,DJ pass incomplete deep left to George,Daniel PENALTY AKR Holding (Chambers,Ronan) 10 yards from AKR39 to AKR29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 29
-1
81.4%
D. Irons takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:2122% → 40%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
77.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 5 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+7
76.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 7 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
76.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 5 yds to the AKR 43Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
75.0%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the AKR 47Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
74.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
50
+1
73.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 1 yd to the AKR 49Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
75.8%
Akron Penalty, Offensive Holding (DJ Irons) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+37
76.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Bobby Golden for 22 yds to the IU 29 for a 1ST down Indiana Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Andre Carter) to the IU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
60.5%
DJ Irons run for 14 yds for a TD (Dante Jackson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:2838% → 39%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
62.4%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
62.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jake Newell for 7 yds to the IU 49Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+28
60.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 28 yds to the IU 21 for a 1ST down Akron Penalty, Offside UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jasaiah Gathings) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
59.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 3 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
57.4%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Adrian NortonSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
59.4%
Drake Anderson run for no gain to the IU 33Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 7
OPP 33
0
61.3%
Akron Penalty, Defensive Holding (DJ Irons) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0265% → 62%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
65.0%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
64.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the IU 36Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
63.6%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
62.3%
James Evans punt for 51 yds , Bobby Golden returns for no gain to the AKR 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4639% → 21%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
61.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for no gain to the AKR 12Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-22
79.2%
Louis Moore 22 Yd Interception Return (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:4721% → 20%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
78.8%
Drake Anderson run for 8 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
77.8%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the AKR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
77.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to TJ BanksSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+10
78.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 10 yds to the AKR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
80.4%
(03:44) Shotgun Undercuffler,Jeff pass incomplete deep left to Gathings,Jasaiah PENALTY IND Pass Interference (Pierre,Noah) 15 yards from AKR42 to IND43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
78.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Myles Walker for 3 yds to the IU 40Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
78.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Drake AndersonSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+3
78.9%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the IU 37Similar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-11
80.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. sacked by Andre Carter for a loss of 11 yards to the IU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:0781% → 79%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
81.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 7 yds to the IU 41Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+7
79.4%
Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the IU 48Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+2
79.5%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 8
50
0
79.0%
James Evans punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2518% → 17%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
81.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Bobby Golden for 4 yds to the AKR 24Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
81.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
81.4%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Lorenzo LingardSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
82.7%
Dante Jackson punt for 45 yds , Jaylin Lucas returns for no gain to the IU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:0280% → 91%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
79.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 11 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
80.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to DeQuece CarterSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
79.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the IU 42Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+12
79.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Trey Walker for 12 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
81.8%
Christian Turner run for 17 yds to the AKR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
83.1%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+20
82.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 20 yds to the AKR 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
83.1%
Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the AKR 2Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.3%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the AKR 1Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.3%
Tayven Jackson run for no gain to the AKR 1Similar
Q4 8:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
91.2%
Chris Freeman 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4811% → 8%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
89.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Drake Anderson for 5 yds to the AKR 13Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+3
90.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 3 yds to the AKR 16Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+2
91.0%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds to the AKR 14Similar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
91.8%
Dante Jackson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3293% → 94%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
93.2%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the IU 41Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
93.4%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
94.2%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to DeQuece CarterSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
93.5%
James Evans punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bobby Golden at the AKR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:319% → 48%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
91.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Bobby Golden for 9 yds to the AKR 29Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+71
52.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 71 yds for a TD (Dante Jackson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:5562% → 55%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
62.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for no gain to the IU 14Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-8
61.2%
Tayven Jackson sacked by Antonio Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the IU 6Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 18
OWN 6
+8
58.7%
Jaylin Lucas run for 8 yds to the IU 14Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
55.1%
James Evans punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:1352% → 53%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+34
47.6%
DJ Irons run for 34 yds to the IU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
39.9%
DJ Irons run for 5 yds to the IU 20Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+6
39.6%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 6 yds to the IU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
38.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the IU 13Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+1
37.9%
DJ Irons run for 1 yd to the IU 14Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
41.4%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
46.6%
Dante Jackson 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+53.4
TD · Q4 3:34
Lorenzo Lingard run for 71 yds for a TD (Dante Jackson KICK)
-38.7
TD · Q3 5:56
Louis Moore 22 Yd Interception Return (Chris Freeman Kick)
+18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com