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SHSU

Sam Houston 7 at Houston 38

HOU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadSHSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreSHSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.8HOU 77.2%Jack Martin 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 9:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:05 · Jack Martin 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+25.4Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:02: Trapper Pannell 2 Yd Run (Colby Sessums Kick) — SHSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:22: Parker Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +5.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:49: Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +6.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:41: Donovan Smith pass complete to Matt Byrnes for 18 yds to the SHSU 13 for a 1ST down — HOU win probability +3.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:59: Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +6.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SHSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:05HOU 4th & 6 at SHSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:03SHSU 4th & 8 at SHSU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:56HOU 4th & 4 at SHSU 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:35SHSU 4th & 11 at SHSU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:27SHSU 4th & 11 at SHSU 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:06HOU 4th & 3 at SHSU 34, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.2%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:06SHSU 4th & 27 at SHSU 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−2.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:41SHSU 4th & 4 at SHSU 43, down 17
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:15HOU 4th & 19 at SHSU 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:39SHSU 4th & 7 at SHSU 5, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:10HOU 4th & 9 at HOU 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:16SHSU 4th & 4 at SHSU 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:06SHSU 4th & 2 at SHSU 43, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:11SHSU 4th & 22 at HOU 36, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SHSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:02SHSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:47HOU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:22HOU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:49HOU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:59HOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:06HOU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:5578% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
77.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 10 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
77.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 12 yds to the HOU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
77.9%
Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
50
0
77.9%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
50
+11
77.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 11 yds to the SHSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
77.9%
Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+15
77.9%
Stacy Sneed run for 15 yds to the SHSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
77.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 6 yds to the SHSU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
77.9%
Parker Jenkins run for 5 yds to the SHSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
77.9%
Parker Jenkins run for 6 yds to the SHSU 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
77.9%
Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds to the SHSU 1Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
77.9%
Houston Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SHSU 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
77.9%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
77.2%
Jack Martin 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 2:5823% → 27%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
77.0%
GUNNELL, Grant pass to the right incomplete dropped by SMITH, Noah thrown to the SHS16. PENALTY HOU Roughing the Passer on UGWOEGBU, David enforced 15 yards from the SHS17 to the SHS32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
76.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 26 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
76.5%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
76.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Noah Smith for 3 yds to the HOU 39Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
76.6%
Houston Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the HOU 34Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+4
76.5%
Noah Smith run for 4 yds to the HOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+26
76.4%
Noah Smith pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 26 yds to the HOU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
76.3%
Zach Hrbacek run for 2 yds to the HOU 2Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.5%
Trapper Pannell 2 Yd Run (Colby Sessums Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:0874% → 77%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
74.3%
Parker Jenkins run for 1 yd to the HOU 29Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+34
74.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 34 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
74.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 2 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+11
75.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 11 yds to the SHSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
75.2%
Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the SHSU 20Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+3
75.2%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the SHSU 17Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+9
74.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 9 yds to the SHSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
75.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 4 yds to the SHSU 4Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
77.0%
Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4424% → 24%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.8%
Zach Hrbacek run for 2 yds to the SHSU 27Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
75.7%
Grant Gunnell sacked by Anthony Holmes Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 20Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+7
76.3%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to John Gentry for 7 yds to the SHSU 27Similar
Q1 0:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
76.3%
Jadon Cardell punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:0476% → 75%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
76.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 17 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
76.5%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the SHSU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
76.5%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+4
76.3%
Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
75.7%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
74.9%
GENTRY, John rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the SHS46 (HAULCY, A.J.;GASTON, Juwon). PENALTY SHS Holding on SHERRARD, Jax enforced 10 yards from the SHS37 to the SHS27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:2125% → 24%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+3
75.3%
Zach Hrbacek run for 3 yds to the SHSU 30Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+5
75.4%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Zach Hrbacek for 5 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+1
75.7%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Simeon Evans for 1 yd to the SHSU 36Similar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
75.6%
Jadon Cardell punt for 42 yds, downed at the HOU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:1375% → 82%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
74.7%
Parker Jenkins run for 9 yds to the HOU 31Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+12
75.5%
Parker Jenkins run for 12 yds to the HOU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
75.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 9 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+8
76.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Anthony Holmes Jr. for 8 yds to the SHSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
76.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 1 yd to the SHSU 39Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-10
76.1%
SMITH, Donovan pass to the right incomplete dropped by CARNES, Dalton thrown to the SHS33. PENALTY HOU Holding on PAUL, Patrick enforced 10 yards from the SHS39 to the SHS49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 19
OPP 49
+17
75.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 17 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+31
76.0%
Parker Jenkins run for 31 yds to the SHSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.6%
Parker Jenkins run for no gain to the SHSU 1Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.2%
Parker Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:5019% → 18%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
80.9%
Sam Houston Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SHSU 12Similar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 15
OWN 12
-1
81.0%
Grant Gunnell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 11Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 16
OWN 11
+6
81.0%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Malik Phillips for 6 yds to the SHSU 17Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-1
81.4%
Grant Gunnell sacked by Nelson Ceaser and David Ugwoegbu for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 16Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
82.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the HOU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:2181% → 82%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
81.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the HOU 30Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+29
81.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 29 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
82.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 6 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
83.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matt Byrnes for 1 yd to the SHSU 34Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
82.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+51
81.7%
Jack Martin 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -17 yds · 1:0018% → 16%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.3%
John Gentry run for no gain to the SHSU 34Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
82.5%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-15
82.7%
Sam Houston Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the SHSU 21Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 23
OWN 21
0
83.4%
Sam Houston Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the SHSU 11Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 33
OWN 11
+6
83.9%
John Gentry run for 6 yds to the SHSU 17Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 27
OWN 17
0
84.2%
Jadon Cardell punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:1783% → 91%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
82.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 7 yds to the SHSU 49Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-1
82.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Parker Jenkins for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 4
50
+10
82.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 10 yds to the SHSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
82.7%
Parker Jenkins run for 1 yd to the SHSU 39Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+14
82.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 14 yds to the SHSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+23
83.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 23 yds to the SHSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
83.6%
Stacy Sneed run for no gain to the SHSU 2Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.5%
Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.2%
Zach Hrbacek run for 6 yds to the SHSU 31 Zach Hrbacek fumbled, recovered by HOU Jamal MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:4192% → 89%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
91.8%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matt Byrnes for 18 yds to the SHSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
91.4%
Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the SHSU 9Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
91.2%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
88.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:1911% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.9%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
89.0%
GUNNELL, Grant pass short to the left complete for 7 yards to GENTRY, John caught at the SHS30 and advanced to the SHS35 (HAMILTON, Isaiah). PENALTY SHS Holding on JACKSON-SMITH, Graceson enforced 10 yards from the SHS28 to the SHS18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+14
89.1%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to John Gentry for 14 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
89.9%
CARDELL, Jadon punt 40 yards to the HOU28 downed by WEAVER, Caleb, clock 13:05. PENALTY HOU Running Into the kicker on BROWN, Samuel enforced 5 yards from the SHS32 to the SHS37 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
89.4%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
89.5%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to John Gentry for 5 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+1
89.4%
Charles Crawford III run for 1 yd to the SHSU 43Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
90.2%
Jadon Cardell punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15TD
17 plays · 86 yds · 8:4291% → 98%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
90.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 7 yds to the HOU 21Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+15
90.6%
Sam Houston Penalty, Chop Block (Dakerric Hobbs) to the HOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
91.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 2 yds to the HOU 47Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+10
91.2%
Parker Jenkins run for 10 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
91.3%
Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the SHSU 40Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
91.2%
Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+5
91.0%
Donovan Smith run for 5 yds to the SHSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
91.3%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the SHSU 30Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+11
91.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 11 yds to the SHSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
91.3%
Stacy Sneed run for 6 yds to the SHSU 13Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+7
91.3%
Parker Jenkins run for 7 yds to the SHSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
91.3%
Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the SHSU 3Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.3%
SMITH, Donovan pass short to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON JR., Stephon broken up by ARMSTEAD, Da'Veawn at the SHS0. PENALTY SHS Pass Interference on ARMSTEAD, Da'Veawn enforced at the spot of the foul for 1 yards to the SHS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
91.3%
Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 4Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
91.3%
SMITH, Donovan pass short to the left incomplete intended for GOLDEN, Matthew thrown to the SHS0. PENALTY HOU Holding on DUNN, Peyton enforced 10 yards from the SHS4 to the SHS14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+8
91.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Samuel Brown for 8 yds to the SHSU 6Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.6%
Grant Gunnell pass intercepted for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (Juwon Gaston) to the SHSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.6%
Grant Gunnell pass intercepted for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (Juwon Gaston) to the SHSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:3498% → 98%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.1%
Ui Ale pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.1%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-10
98.0%
SMITH, Donovan scrambles to the right for a gain of 15 yards to the SHS15 (DOWNES, Isaiah). PENALTY HOU Holding on DUNN, Peyton enforced 10 yards from the SHS30 to the SHS40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 20
OPP 40
+1
97.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 1 yd to the SHSU 39Similar
Q3 1:15
4TH & 19
OPP 39
0
98.0%
Laine Wilkins punt for 37 yds, downed at the SHSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:362% → 2%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
98.1%
Charles Crawford III run for 4 yds to the SHSU 6Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 6
-1
98.5%
Charles Crawford III run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
98.5%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:39
4TH & 7
OWN 5
0
98.5%
Jadon Cardell punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2999% → 99%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.5%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-2
98.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 43Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+3
98.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 3 yds to the HOU 46Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Laine Wilkins punt for 47 yds , returns for no gain to the SHSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:541% → 1%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
98.7%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+5
98.7%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 5 yds to the SHSU 12Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+5
98.7%
Grant Gunnell run for 5 yds to the SHSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.7%
John Gentry run for no gain to the SHSU 17Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
98.7%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to John Gentry for 3 yds to the SHSU 20Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+3
98.7%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to John Gentry for 3 yds to the SHSU 23Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Jadon Cardell punt for 35 yds , returns for no gain to the HOU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
99.9%
Ui Ale pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 58 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 22PUNT
16 plays · 29 yds · 6:550% → 0%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Charles Crawford III run for 4 yds to the SHSU 39Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Tobias Weaver run for 3 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
Sam Houston Penalty, False Start (Orion Irving) to the SHSU 37Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Shane Johnson for 6 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+8
99.9%
Tobias Weaver run for 8 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Tobias Weaver run for 2 yds to the HOU 47Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+12
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Jay Rockwell for 12 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Tobias Weaver run for 3 yds to the HOU 32Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
Houston Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the HOU 27Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Tobias Weaver run for 3 yds to the HOU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.9%
Tobias Weaver run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 25Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-15
99.9%
GUNNELL, Grant pass to the left incomplete intended for SHERRARD, Jax thrown to the HOU30. PENALTY SHS Chop Block on WEAVER, Tobias enforced 15 yards from the HOU25 to the HOU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 26
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Malik Phillips for 4 yds to the HOU 36Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 22
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Grant Gunnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 22
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Peyton Sawyer at the HOU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 24 yds · 3:11100% → 100%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.9%
Brandon Campbell run for 5 yds to the HOU 11Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 5
OWN 11
-2
99.9%
Ui Ale run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 9Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+9
99.9%
Ui Ale run for 9 yds to the HOU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.9%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the HOU 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+11
100.0%
Brandon Campbell run for 11 yds to the HOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:49
Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q3 2:59
Donovan Smith pass complete to Matthew Golden for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 7:22
Parker Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)
+5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com