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UAB

UAB 21 at Georgia 49

UGA
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:52 · Patrick Foley punt for 40 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+31.9Home team on offense+22.8Score differential+15.1Garbage-time factor+4.3Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:40: Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 41 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:26: Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:08: Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +1.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:06: Carson Beck run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:38: Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 9:42UAB 4th & 14 at UAB 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:46UGA 4th & 11 at UGA 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:37UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:05UGA 4th & 2 at UAB 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:01UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:00UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:12UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:44UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:52UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:43UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:04UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 29, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at UGA 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:49UAB 4th & 5 at UGA 25, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:48UAB 4th & 3 at UGA 15, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:04UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:09UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:00UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:40UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:26UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:08UAB Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:06UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:38UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:05UGA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:08UAB Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5199% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
99.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 33 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 9 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+9
99.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 9 yds Brock Bowers fumbled, recovered by UGA for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
99.1%
EDWARDS, Daijun rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the UAB15 (EASON JR., Nikia). PENALTY UGA Holding on DELP, Oscar enforced 10 yards from the UAB23 to the UAB33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 20
OPP 33
0
99.1%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 20
OPP 33
+7
99.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 7 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
99.1%
BECK, Carson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LOVETT, Dominic thrown to the UAB0. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on SWOOPES, Keondre enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the UAB12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 12 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 7 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+11
99.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 11 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.0%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-8
99.0%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Warren Brinson for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
98.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
98.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.9%
Andrew Paul run for 4 yds to the UGA 34Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
98.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-5
98.8%
Carson Beck sacked by Tyrique Howard and Desmond Little for a loss of 5 yards to the UGA 29Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
98.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
98.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 3 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
98.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 8 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
98.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
98.7%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+1
98.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
98.6%
Patrick Foley punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:3299% → 98%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.6%
Dillon Bell run for 7 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+26
98.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 26 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.6%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
98.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 6 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+7
98.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
98.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
98.6%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+2
98.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 2 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 2
OPP 23
0
98.2%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:042% → 2%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Jacob Zeno run for no gain to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Patrick Foley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:512% → 3%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
97.9%
T.J. Jones run for 14 yds to the UGA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
97.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+7
97.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 7 yds to the UGA 16Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
97.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 16 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:0497% → 98%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
97.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 10 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.5%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
97.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+7
97.5%
Carson Beck run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
50
+19
97.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 19 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
97.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 15 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
97.6%
Cash Jones run for no gain to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+12
97.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 12 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
13 plays · 23 yds · 4:483% → 3%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for no gain to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
97.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
97.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.3%
Georgia Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 5
OWN 40
0
97.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
97.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
97.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 4 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
97.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+8
97.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 8 yds to the UGA 47Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-5
97.2%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
97.3%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 44 yds, downed at the UGA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:3297% → 98%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+18
96.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 18 yds to the UGA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
96.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
96.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+19
96.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 19 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
97.0%
Dillon Bell run for 7 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+7
97.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 7 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
97.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 41 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.6%
Jacob Zeno pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:0298% → 99%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
97.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 9 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+3
97.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
97.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 1:081% → 3%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
98.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 8 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 5 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+19
98.7%
Jacob Zeno run for 19 yds to the UGA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
98.6%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+10
98.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 10 yds to the UGA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+19
98.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 19 yds to the UGA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:113% → 3%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-4
97.4%
Jacob Zeno run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 10Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+2
97.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 2 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 12
0
97.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 12
OWN 12
0
97.4%
Patrick Foley punt for 47 yds, downed at the UGA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:3898% → 99%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
97.6%
Carson Beck run for 4 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
97.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+6
97.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.6%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+16
97.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 16 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.6%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
97.6%
Dillon Bell run for 8 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+4
97.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
97.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 13 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.6%
Cash Jones run for 2 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.6%
Cash Jones run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Carson Beck run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
98.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+21
98.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 21 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
98.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
98.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
98.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 2:1499% → 100%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+50
99.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 50 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for no gain to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the UAB 10Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 8 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 8
OWN 44
-5
99.8%
UAB Penalty, Delay Of Game (Keondre Swoopes) to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 41 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for no gain to the UGA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 6 yds to the UGA 26Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Oscar Delp for no gain to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Brett Thorson punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
15 plays · 55 yds · 4:150% → 0%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 17 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 1 yd to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+10
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 10 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the UGA 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 7 yds to the UGA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Georgia Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the UGA 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 4 yds fumbled, forced by Dan Jackson, recovered by UAB Amare ThomasSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
99.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 2 yds to the UGA 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Lee Beebe run for 3 yds to the UGA 25Similar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 5
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:44100% → 100%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to C.J. Smith for 21 yds to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Oscar Delp for 9 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 4 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 9 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+18
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff run for 18 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Andrew Paul for 7 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 10 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 8 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+32
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 32 yds to the UGA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 14 yds to the UGA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Lee Beebe run for 1 yd to the UGA 6Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for 3 yds to the UGA 3Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24INT
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
99.9%
Gunner Stockton run for 9 yds to the UGA 22Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+16
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 16 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Gunner Stockton pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 7 yds to the UGA 15Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the UGA 15Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 3
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 2 yds to the UGA 17Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
100.0%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Tyler Williams for 4 yds to the UGA 21Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
UAB Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the UGA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
100.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 7 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 1 yd to the UGA 34Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+15
100.0%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 15 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
100.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:08
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
-1.8
TD · Q3 9:06
Carson Beck run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 1:26
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com