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GASO

Georgia Southern 14 at Wisconsin 35

WIS
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:47 · Atticus Bertrams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Pregame prior+25.6Home team on offense+1.7Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:11: OJ Arnold run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +4.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:33: Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 25 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +15.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:53: Braelon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +11.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:40: Tanner Mordecai run for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +8.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:39: Braelon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +7.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:43GASO 4th & 24 at GASO 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:59WIS 4th & 12 at WIS 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01WIS 4th & 7 at GASO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:58GASO 4th & 5 at WIS 26, tied
    Close callWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:09WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:25GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:42WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:02WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:47WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00GASO 4th & 2 at WIS 30, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%−1.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:47WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:14GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:18WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:11GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:33GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:53WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:40WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:39WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:51WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 3:179% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.2%
Jalen White run for 10 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
91.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+16
91.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
91.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
50
-10
91.2%
WHITE, Jalen rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the WIS37 (WOHLER, Hunter). PENALTY GAS Holding on WIMBLEY, Pichon enforced 10 yards from the GAS50 to the GAS40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+4
91.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 44
-8
91.2%
Davis Brin sacked by Jake Chaney for a loss of 8 yards to the GASO 36Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 24
OWN 36
0
90.4%
Alex Smith punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4490% → 90%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
90.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the WIS 38Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+1
90.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the WIS 39Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-4
90.4%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Davion Rhodes for a loss of 4 yards to the WIS 35Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
89.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3INT
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:2510% → 11%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
89.8%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
89.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 4 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-5
89.8%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (Keaton Upshaw) to the GASO 26Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+27
89.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 27 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
89.6%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 48Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+14
89.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 14 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
88.6%
Davis Brin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:3389% → 88%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
89.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 38 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
89.4%
MORDECAI, Tanner pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to ASHCRAFT, Tucker caught at the GAS36 and advanced to the GAS33, End of Play. PENALTY Before the snap, WIS Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GAS37 to the GAS42. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+4
89.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 4 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
89.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+4
89.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
88.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
88.4%
BRIN, Davis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HOOD, Khaleb thrown to the WIS34. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on MAITRE, Jason enforced 15 yards to the GAS49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:0312% → 12%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
88.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
88.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+13
88.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 13 yds to the WIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
88.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
88.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+5
88.2%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 5
OPP 26
-4
87.6%
Davis Brin sacked by Darryl Peterson for a loss of 4 yards to the WIS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:4088% → 89%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
87.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
88.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 4 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
88.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+8
88.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
88.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 10 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
88.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 13 yds to the GASO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
88.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the GASO 18Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+11
88.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 11 yds to the GASO 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
87.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the GASO 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the GASO 1Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 2:0312% → 17%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
88.5%
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+68
88.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 68 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.4%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the WIS 4Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.4%
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0285% → 84%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the WIS 26Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
84.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
84.2%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4416% → 15%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
84.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
84.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
84.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
84.6%
Alex Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4385% → 84%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
84.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
84.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
83.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:5117% → 20%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
83.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+3
82.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+17
82.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 17 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
82.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
80.5%
Davis Brin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4984% → 82%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
83.5%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 18Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+2
83.5%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 20Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+6
82.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 6 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
81.9%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 37 yds, downed at the WIS 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:0121% → 23%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
79.3%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the WIS 47Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+6
79.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 6 yds to the WIS 41Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
79.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
79.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 12 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
78.7%
Davis Brin sacked by Hunter Wohler for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 25Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
78.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
77.5%
Davis Brin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1481% → 81%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
81.4%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+5
82.5%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
82.5%
Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
82.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
82.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
80.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15MISSED FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 1:4722% → 25%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
78.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to KD Dorsey for 6 yds to the GASO 16Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+11
78.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 11 yds to the GASO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
78.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+10
76.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to KD Dorsey for 10 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
76.2%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (Dalen Cobb) to the GASO 41Similar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
77.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+13
77.4%
OJ Arnold run for 13 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+8
74.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
74.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
74.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 5 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+3
74.0%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+48
74.9%
Michael Lantz 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1380% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
79.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
79.0%
Tanner Mordecai run for 5 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
78.7%
Wisconsin Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the WIS 29Similar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
77.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1424% → 40%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 9 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+41
74.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Joshua Thompson for 41 yds to the WIS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
59.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 25 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:3566% → 80%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
65.6%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+32
66.5%
Braelon Allen run for 32 yds to the GASO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
68.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+16
68.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 16 yds to the GASO 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
80.0%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:1427% → 28%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
73.3%
Terrance Gibbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 33Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+7
74.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
71.8%
Davis Brin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:5979% → 88%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
78.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
79.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
78.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 4 yds to the GASO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
79.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the GASO 19Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+1
79.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the GASO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
88.4%
Tanner Mordecai run for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21INT
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:5116% → 20%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
84.1%
OJ Arnold run for 13 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
83.3%
OJ Arnold run for 11 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
82.1%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (Derwin Burgess Jr.) to the GASO 41Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+9
83.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 6
50
+15
81.7%
Wisconsin Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Darryl Peterson) to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
79.7%
Davis Brin pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:0586% → 96%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
86.1%
Braelon Allen run for 15 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
86.4%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
87.7%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
87.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 7 yds to the GASO 46Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
88.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 2 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
87.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
88.1%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+19
88.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 19 yds to the GASO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
88.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 13 yds to the GASO 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.5%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23FUMBLE
13 plays · 63 yds · 6:028% → 6%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
92.5%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+15
92.6%
Wisconsin Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jason Maitre) to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
94.1%
Davis Brin sacked by C.J. Goetz for a loss of 10 yards to the GASO 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+13
94.6%
OJ Arnold run for 13 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+7
94.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 7 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
93.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
93.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
93.6%
Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+16
93.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Beau Johnson for 16 yds to the WIS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
92.9%
Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the WIS 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+6
92.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 6 yds to the WIS 11Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-3
94.3%
Davis Brin run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 14 Davis Brin fumbled, recovered by WIS Maema NjongmetaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 3:4197% → 100%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
96.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WIS 17Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-5
96.7%
MELLUSI, Chez rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the WIS22 (SMITH, TJ;STAMPLEY II, Marc). PENALTY WIS Holding on NELSON, Jack enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the WIS17 to the WIS9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+45
96.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 45 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
97.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 11 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
97.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 17 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
97.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the GASO 10Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+9
97.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:321% → 1%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.4%
JC French sacked by James Thompson Jr. and Rodas Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 22Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+5
99.4%
JC French run for 5 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+11
99.4%
JC French run for 11 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Terrance Gibbs run for no gain to the GASO 38Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.4%
Terrance Gibbs run for 1 yd to the GASO 39Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-5
99.4%
JC French sacked by Darryl Peterson for a loss of 5 yards to the GASO 34Similar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Alex Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+8
99.7%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Haakon Anderson for 8 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.7%
Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
99.7%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the WIS 49Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 2
OWN 49
-10
99.7%
ACKER, Jackson rush to the left for a gain of 14 yards to the GAS37 (ROBERTSON, Seth), out of bounds. PENALTY WIS Holding on SEAGREAVES, JT enforced 10 yards from the WIS49 to the WIS39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the WIS 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:33
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 25 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
-15.3
TD · Q3 10:53
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+11.8
TD · Q3 7:40
Tanner Mordecai run for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com