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FIU

Florida International 24 at UConn 17

CONN
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:41 · Daton Montiel punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brett Buckman at the FIU 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense−27.8Pregame prior+0.7Score differential−4.3Garbage-time factor−13.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:46: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 45 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +8.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:47: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 64 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +16.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:32: Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +8.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:04: Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Devontae Houston for 37 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +18.4 pts (now 39%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:41: Devontae Houston run for 14 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST down — CONN win probability +13.3 pts (now 26%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 10 of 11FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 5:49CONN 4th & 8 at FIU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−1.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:36FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:33CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:58FIU 4th & 4 at CONN 9, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.8%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:23CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:45CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:06FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:36CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:53FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−2.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:12CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:40FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−2.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:33CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:08FIU 4th & 10 at CONN 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:53CONN 4th & 6 at FIU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:17FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−3.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:44FIU 4th & 3 at CONN 15, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%−1.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−12.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:20CONN 4th & 18 at CONN 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−4.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:54FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−4.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:08CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 45, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.2 ptsPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−5.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:41FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−4.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:51CONN 4th & 14 at FIU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−1.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:27FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:46FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:47FIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:32CONN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:04CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3335% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
65.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 12 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
65.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 23 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
65.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 21 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
65.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 14 yds to the CONN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
65.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the CONN 1Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 6:3264% → 63%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
64.2%
Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the CONN 23Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+7
64.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 7 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
64.3%
Jelani Stafford run for 3 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
64.3%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
64.4%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+8
64.3%
Victor Rosa run for 8 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
64.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+16
64.4%
Devontae Houston run for 16 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
64.5%
Devontae Houston run for 27 yds to the FIU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.6%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the FIU 10Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
64.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 2 yds to the FIU 8Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
64.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
63.4%
Joe McFadden 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:1337% → 38%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 9 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
62.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 9 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
62.4%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Tui Faumuina-Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 35Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+9
63.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 9 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+1
62.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 45Similar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
62.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 yds, downed at the CONN 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0362% → 61%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
61.9%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 14Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
61.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
61.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
60.7%
George Caratan punt for 64 yds , returns for no gain to the FIU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5FG
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:3539% → 43%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+48
61.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 48 yds to the CONN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
60.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
60.1%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the CONN 12Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+3
60.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the CONN 9Similar
Q2 14:58
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
57.0%
Chase Gabriel 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3558% → 56%
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
57.9%
James Burns run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 23Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
57.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 22Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
57.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
56.0%
George Caratan punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:3745% → 53%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
55.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 7 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
54.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-10
55.1%
LAWRENCE, Shomari rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the UCO27 (PLACK, Noah). PENALTY FIU Holding on MITCHELL, Kris enforced 10 yards from the UCO35 to the UCO45 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+45
46.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 45 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:5248% → 46%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
48.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 18 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
49.5%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the CONN 42Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
49.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+1
48.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 1 yd to the CONN 43Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
46.4%
George Caratan punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3955% → 55%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
45.0%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 15 fumbled, recovered by FIU Keyone JenkinsSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 15
OWN 15
-2
45.6%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 13Similar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
45.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3045% → 43%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
44.6%
Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the CONN 38Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
45.1%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the CONN 41Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
45.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
42.9%
George Caratan punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:4358% → 61%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
41.9%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
42.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+13
42.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 13 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
40.8%
Florida International Penalty, Offensive Holding (Naeer Jackson) to the FIU 35Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-2
42.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 17
OWN 33
-2
42.2%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 31Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 19
OWN 31
+3
42.8%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
39.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the CONN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4138% → 36%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
38.2%
Devontae Houston run for 19 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
38.5%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the CONN 35Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
38.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
35.5%
George Caratan punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:2565% → 81%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
35.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 8 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
34.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 8 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
18.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 64 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:4025% → 26%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
25.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 9 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
25.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+10
25.4%
Victor Rosa run for 10 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-9
26.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson sacked by Jeramy Passmore for a loss of 9 yards to the CONN 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 3:2324% → 35%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
23.8%
Devontae Houston run for 13 yds to the CONN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
24.2%
Devontae Houston run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-1
23.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 29Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+15
23.6%
Florida International Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HUFF, Avery enforced (Avery Huff) to the FIU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
27.2%
Devontae Houston run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 18Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 12
OPP 18
0
26.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.8%
Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:5270% → 73%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.6%
Jalen Bracey run for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
29.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 7 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
28.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 35Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
29.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
30.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
26.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 32 yds, downed at the CONN 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0729% → 27%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
28.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
28.4%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the CONN 33Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
27.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
26.7%
George Caratan punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:2577% → 78%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
23.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Artez Hooker for 13 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
22.7%
Kejon Owens run for 11 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
22.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
22.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
23.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
22.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Brett Buckman at the CONN 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 5:1525% → 21%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
25.1%
Victor Rosa run for 10 yds to the CONN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
25.3%
ROBERSON, Ta'Quan pass short to the left incomplete thrown to the UCO25. PENALTY FIU Roughing the Passer UCO Intentional Grounding on ROBERSON, Ta'Quan , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
25.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
25.1%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the CONN 25Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+11
24.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 11 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
26.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Rosa for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 35Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+9
25.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 9 yds to the CONN 44Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
27.6%
Jelani Stafford run for 3 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
27.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
27.6%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the CONN 48Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+3
27.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 3 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
20.9%
George Caratan punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3683% → 83%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
17.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 19Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
17.4%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Dal'mont Gourdine for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 18Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
17.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
16.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brett Buckman at the CONN 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:5620% → 39%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
20.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
50
+9
20.4%
Devontae Houston run for 9 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
20.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 4 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+37
39.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Devontae Houston for 37 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:1174% → 77%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
26.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 40Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+9
26.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 9 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
26.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
26.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+14
26.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 14 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
25.6%
JENKINS, Keyone sacked for a loss of 5 yards at the UCO42 (WATTS, Eric). PENALTY UCO Face mask on WATTS, Eric enforced 15 yards from the UCO37 to the UCO22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
24.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 7 yds to the CONN 15Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
24.7%
LAWRENCE, Shomari rush to the right for no gain to the UCO15 (BIN-WAHAD, Mumu). PENALTY FIU Holding on LEE, JaDarious UCO Targeting on BIN-WAHAD, Mumu , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
24.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the CONN 15Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
25.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
22.8%
Chase Gabriel 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:2429% → 20%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
29.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
29.2%
HOUSTON, Devontae rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the UCO22 (GUERAD, Jordan). PENALTY UCO Holding on HAYNES, Christian enforced 10 yards from the UCO20 to the UCO10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 20
OWN 10
0
28.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+2
27.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 2 yds to the CONN 12Similar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
25.3%
George Caratan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
19.9%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FIU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:2679% → 81%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+2
21.1%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 13
OWN 43
-8
21.0%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Pryce Yates for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 21
OWN 35
-5
24.1%
Florida International Penalty, Delay Of Game (Keyone Jenkins) to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 26
OWN 30
+11
24.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 11 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
19.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brett Buckman at the CONN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4624% → 23%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
23.9%
Devontae Houston run for 6 yds to the CONN 28Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+10
24.8%
Devontae Houston run for 10 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
25.8%
Devontae Houston run for 5 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-1
28.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 42Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+3
25.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 3 yds to the CONN 45Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
23.0%
George Caratan punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:1887% → 88%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
13.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 5Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+10
13.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 10 yds to the FIU 15Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 2
OWN 15
-5
13.3%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (Jackson McDonald) to the FIU 10Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 7
OWN 10
-4
11.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 6 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU Keyone JenkinsSimilar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 11
OWN 6
0
12.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brett Buckman at the FIU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 1:5026% → 12%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
25.7%
Devontae Houston run for 14 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
28.5%
Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+15
28.6%
ROBERSON, Ta'Quan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BUCKMAN, Brett thrown to the FIU0. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on BLADES, Brian enforced 15 yards to the FIU17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
29.0%
UConn Penalty, False Start (Noel Ofori-Nyadu) to the FIU 22Similar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+1
26.7%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the FIU 21Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+6
26.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 6 yds to the FIU 15Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+4
27.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 4 yds to the FIU 11Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 4
OPP 11
-10
19.2%
ROBERSON, Ta'Quan pass to the right complete for 11 yards to JOLY, Justin caught at the FIU0 and advanced to the FIU0, TOUCHDOWN UCO, score nullified by penalty, clock 00:58 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UCO Holding on LUNDT, Chase enforced 10 yards from the FIU11 to the FIU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+12
12.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 12 yds to the FIU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:5194% → 95%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
6.0%
Kneel down by JENKINS, Keyone at FIU8 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 8
0
5.3%
Kneel down by JENKINS, Keyone at FIU7 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:04
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Devontae Houston for 37 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)
+18.4
TD · Q2 0:47
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 64 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
-16.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:41
Devontae Houston run for 14 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST down
+13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com