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ULM

UL Monroe 3 at Texas A&M 47

TA&M
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:00 · Braxton Guilbeau punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+37.8Home team on offense+12.0Score differential+4.3Blowout margin+0.8Garbage-time factor+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:30: Randy Bond 30 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:37: Conner Weigman run for 19 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:04: Randy Bond 23 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:48: Amari Daniels run for 4 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 11:00: Randy Bond 34 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:30ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:30TA&M 4th & 7 at ULM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:04ULM 4th & 7 at TA&M 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:26ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:19ULM 4th & 6 at TA&M 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:32ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:04TA&M 4th & 6 at ULM 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:00ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:00TA&M 4th & 4 at ULM 17, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:25ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 27, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:51ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 27, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:08TA&M 4th & 25 at ULM 49, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:09ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 9, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:45ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 25, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:11TA&M 4th & 7 at ULM 34, up 41
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:47ULM 4th & 1 at TA&M 13, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 2:26TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:37TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:48TA&M Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:54TA&M Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:15TA&M Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Justin KimberSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Isaiah Woullard run for 3 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.0%
Jiya Wright run for 4 yds to the ULM 32Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
98.8%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 46 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 1 yd to the TA&M 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:0099% → 98%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.8%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.8%
Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+9
98.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jake Johnson for 9 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
98.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Max Wright for 12 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.8%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+3
98.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Rueben Owens for 3 yds to the ULM 48Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+33
98.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 33 yds to the ULM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
98.9%
Rueben Owens run for 3 yds to the ULM 12Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+4
98.9%
Ainias Smith run for 4 yds to the ULM 8Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+1
98.8%
Ainias Smith run for 1 yd to the ULM 7Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 2
OPP 7
-5
98.8%
PENALTY A&M False Start (Crownover,Dametrius) 5 yards from ULM07 to ULM12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
98.4%
Randy Bond 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:262% → 2%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
98.4%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 32 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
98.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Jiya pass incomplete short left to Kimber,Justin broken up by DeBerry,Josh PENALTY ULM Holding (Wilkins,Stacey) 10 yards from A&M43 to ULM47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+3
98.4%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Bud Tolbert for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 17
50
+10
98.4%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 10 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
98.4%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Dariyan WileySimilar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
98.1%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:3898% → 98%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
98.1%
Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the TA&M 16Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+23
98.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 23 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
98.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jake Johnson for 2 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+13
98.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 13 yds to the ULM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
98.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 14 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
98.2%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the ULM 30Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+15
98.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Weigman,Conner pass incomplete deep middle to Muhammad III,Moose PENALTY ULM Pass Interference (Watts,A.J.) 15 yards from ULM30 to ULM15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
98.2%
Rueben Owens run for 3 yds to the ULM 12Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
98.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 12 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:072% → 3%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.0%
Jiya Wright run for 3 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.0%
Isaiah Woullard run for 6 yds to the ULM 34Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+41
98.0%
Jiya Wright run for 51 yds to the TA&M 15 for a 1ST down UL Monroe Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alred Luke) to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+37
97.6%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 37 yds to the TA&M 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
97.5%
Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd to the TA&M 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
97.5%
Jiya Wright run for 3 yds to the TA&M 6Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.5%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Nolan QuinlanSimilar
Q2 13:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
97.4%
Derek McCormick 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:3298% → 98%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
97.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jake Johnson for 3 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
97.5%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+32
97.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 32 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.6%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+9
97.7%
Rueben Owens run for 9 yds to the ULM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
97.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Weigman,Conner pass complete short left to Owens,Rueben for 11 yards to the ULM13 (Randle,Travor) PENALTY A&M Holding (Robinson,Layden) 10 yards from ULM24 to ULM34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+15
97.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 15 yds to the ULM 19Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
97.7%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+19
98.1%
Conner Weigman run for 19 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:052% → 2%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Jiya rush left for 3 yards gain to the ULM28 (Diggs,Fadil), out of bounds PENALTY ULM Holding (Wilkins,Stacey) 10 yards from ULM25 to ULM15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
97.9%
Jr. Thad Franklin run for no gain to the ULM 15Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
97.9%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+10
97.9%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 10 yds to the ULM 25Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:2898% → 98%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
97.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+37
97.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 37 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
97.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the ULM 24Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
97.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the ULM 22Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+13
97.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 13 yds to the ULM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.9%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jake JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
97.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds to the ULM 6Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.9%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q2 4:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
98.2%
Randy Bond 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 2:042% → 2%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Tyrone HowellSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Jiya pass complete short middle to Howell,Tyrone for 12 yards to the ULM37 (Turner,Shemar) PENALTY ULM Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Wilkins,Stacey) 5 yards from ULM25 to ULM20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
97.9%
Hunter Smith run for 15 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
97.8%
Jiya Wright sacked by Shemar Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 30 Jiya Wright fumbled, recovered by ULM Zarian McGill , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+1
97.9%
Hunter Smith run for 1 yd to the ULM 31Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+3
97.8%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 3 yds to the ULM 34Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
97.7%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:1298% → 99%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
98.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 21 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
98.3%
Conner Weigman sacked by Carl Glass Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 46 Conner Weigman fumbled, recovered by TA&M Conner Weigman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+25
98.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 25 yds to the ULM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
98.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jake Johnson for 4 yds to the ULM 17Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+13
98.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 13 yds to the ULM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
98.7%
Isaiah Woullard run for 4 yds to the ULM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:5499% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.0%
Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the ULM 43Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
99.0%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the ULM 40Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
98.9%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the ULM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 15 yds to the ULM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 1 yd to the ULM 24Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+4
99.0%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the ULM 20Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+3
98.9%
Conner Weigman run for 3 yds to the ULM 17Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
99.7%
Randy Bond 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Isaiah Woullard run for no gain to the ULM 25Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Bugs MortimerSimilar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.8%
Rueben Owens run for 9 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-10
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Owens,Rueben rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ULM41 (Watts,Antwone) PENALTY A&M Holding (Nabou,Mark) 10 yards from A&M49 to A&M39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+8
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 8 yds to the TA&M 47Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+12
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jake Johnson for 12 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.8%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the ULM 37Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+6
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jake Johnson for 6 yds to the ULM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 10 yds to the ULM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Rueben Owens run for 21 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Jr. Thad Franklin run for 2 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Bud TolbertSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jiya Wright pass incomplete to Jaedyn McKinstrySimilar
Q3 4:51
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 37 , Moose Muhammad III returns for 3 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:43100% → 100%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
99.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 17 yds to the ULM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the ULM 40Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-5
99.9%
PENALTY A&M False Start (Nabou,Mark) 5 yards from ULM40 to ULM45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+11
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 11 yds to the ULM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Johnson,Max pass complete short middle to Cottrell,Raymond for 16 yards to the ULM18 (Volmar,Andrew; Driggers,Tristan) PENALTY A&M Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Crownover,Dametrius) 5 yards from ULM34 to ULM39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the ULM 39Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jordan AnthonySimilar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 15
OPP 39
-10
99.9%
Max Johnson sacked by Carl Glass Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the ULM 49Similar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 25
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.9%
Jr. Thad Franklin run for 5 yds to the ULM 6Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+2
99.9%
Jr. Thad Franklin run for 2 yds to the ULM 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+1
99.9%
Jr. Thad Franklin run for 1 yd to the ULM 9Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+4
99.9%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 36 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for 4 yds to the ULM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Max Wright for 16 yds to the ULM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
99.9%
PENALTY A&M False Start (Zuhn III,Trey) 5 yards from ULM25 to ULM30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 8 yds to the ULM 22Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the ULM 17Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the ULM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Raymond CottrellSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Raymond Cottrell for 13 yds for a TD (Ethan Moczulski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
Brian Garcia sacked by Malick Sylla for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 20Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Bennett Galloway run for 5 yds to the ULM 25Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Brian Garcia pass incomplete to NyNy DavisSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Brady Braun punt for 39 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for 11 yds to the TA&M 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the ULM 48Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+11
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jordan Anthony for 11 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jordan Anthony for 3 yds to the ULM 34Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jordan Anthony for no gain to the ULM 34Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+52
99.9%
Randy Bond 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21DOWNS
16 plays · 61 yds · 6:240% → 0%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Charlie Norman run for 8 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Charlie Norman run for 3 yds to the ULM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Charlie Norman run for 3 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
100.0%
Bennett Galloway run for 8 yds to the ULM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
100.0%
Bennett Galloway run for 8 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
PENALTY A&M Offside (Brownlow-Dindy,Gabriel) 5 yards from A&M45 to A&M40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Garcia,Brian pass incomplete short left to Hill,Parker PENALTY A&M Offside (Brownlow-Dindy,Gabriel) 5 yards from A&M40 to A&M35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Bennett Galloway run for 1 yd to the TA&M 34Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Charlie Norman run for no gain to the TA&M 34Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+12
99.9%
Charlie Norman run for 12 yds to the TA&M 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Brian Garcia pass incomplete to Jalen JacksonSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.9%
Bennett Galloway run for 6 yds to the TA&M 16Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Brian Garcia run for 3 yds to the TA&M 13Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+1
100.0%
Charlie Norman run for 1 yd to the TA&M 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
100.0%
Jaylen Henderson run for 7 yds to the TA&M 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:48
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+0.8
FG · Q3 11:00
Randy Bond 34 yd FG GOOD
+0.8
FG · Q1 8:30
Randy Bond 30 yd FG GOOD
-0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com