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VT

Virginia Tech 16 at Rutgers 35

RUTG
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:32 · Peter Moore punt for 13 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Home team on offense+7.9Pregame prior+8.1Score differential+3.2Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:50: Gavin Wimsatt run for 34 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +6.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:04: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 4 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +3.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:39: Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 39 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +11.2 pts (now 19%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:18: Bhayshul Tuten 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — VT win probability +19.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 10:41: Kyle Monangai run for 55 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +14.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 7VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:11VT 4th & 9 at VT 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:53RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:47VT 4th & 8 at RUTG 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:21VT 4th & 3 at RUTG 19, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:45RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:23VT 4th & 7 at VT 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:55RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 26, up 7
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:01VT 4th & 1 at RUTG 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.9%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:29VT 4th & 7 at RUTG 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:13RUTG 4th & 5 at VT 49, up 11
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:32VT 4th & 1 at VT 37, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:53RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 39, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:22VT 4th & 17 at VT 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−2.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:46RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 36, up 18
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:48RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:48VT 4th & 12 at VT 46, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:34VT 4th & 10 at VT 25, down 19
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 5VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:17RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:50RUTG Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:04RUTG Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:39VT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:18VT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:41RUTG Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:20RUTG Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2735% → 35%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
65.1%
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 24
-5
65.0%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 5 yards to the VT 19 Kyron Drones fumbled, recovered by RUTG Wesley BaileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
65.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 19 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:0035% → 34%
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
65.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 31Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
65.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 4 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
65.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the VT 36Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
65.6%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
65.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:11
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
65.9%
Peter Moore punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1866% → 66%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
65.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-1
65.9%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 9Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 11
OWN 9
-1
65.8%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 8Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 12
OWN 8
0
65.9%
Flynn Appleby punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:2534% → 33%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
65.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 15 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
65.8%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
65.8%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the RUTG 36Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
66.1%
Kyron Drones run for no gain to the RUTG 36Similar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+10
66.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 10 yds to the RUTG 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
65.8%
Kyron Drones sacked by Mayan Ahanotu for 0 yards to the RUTG 26Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-1
66.0%
Malachi Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 27Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+8
66.5%
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the RUTG 19Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+36
66.8%
John Love 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3168% → 67%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
67.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 2 yds to the RUTG 22Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
67.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+7
67.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 7 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
67.3%
Flynn Appleby punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:1933% → 32%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
67.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 13 yds to the VT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
67.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-3
66.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 49Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-2
67.1%
Kyron Drones sacked by Robert Longerbeam for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 47Similar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
68.0%
Peter Moore punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2368% → 68%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
68.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 6 yds to the RUTG 24Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
68.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+2
68.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
67.7%
Flynn Appleby punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 6:1932% → 35%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
68.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
67.8%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
67.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
67.8%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
68.0%
Kyron Drones run for 7 yds to the VT 49Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
67.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 2 yds to the RUTG 49Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+8
68.0%
Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the RUTG 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
67.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw for 9 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+5
66.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the RUTG 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
66.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 8 yds to the RUTG 19Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+3
66.4%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the RUTG 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
66.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 3 yds to the RUTG 13Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
66.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
67.8%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
64.6%
John Love 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3566% → 75%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
65.7%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass short to the left incomplete intended for MONANGAI, Kyle thrown to the RU30, clock 09:25. PENALTY VT Roughing the Passer on JENKINS, Keonta enforced 15 yards from the RU25 to the RU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
66.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 23 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
67.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
68.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+34
74.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 34 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.8%
Kyron Drones pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1176% → 75%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
76.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the RUTG 49Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
76.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Samuel Brown V for 2 yds to the VT 49Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
75.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
75.0%
Flynn Appleby punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:3325% → 23%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
74.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 8 yds to the VT 16Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 2
OWN 16
0
74.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the VT 16Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+12
75.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 12 yds to the VT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
75.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the VT 36Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
75.3%
Kyron Drones sacked by Tyreem Powell for 0 yards to the VT 36Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
76.2%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the VT 37Similar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
77.5%
Peter Moore punt for 13 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14TD
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:1279% → 85%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
50
0
79.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
50
+8
79.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the VT 42Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+5
79.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
80.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the VT 33Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
80.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+7
78.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 7 yds to the VT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
79.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 7 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
79.9%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for STRONG, Ian thrown to the VT0, clock 00:07. PENALTY VT Pass Interference on CANTEEN, Derrick enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the VT5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 4 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
84.9%
(00:03) Kneel down by DRONES, Kyron at VT25 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 3:0786% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
85.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-1
85.9%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+8
85.4%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 8 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-5
85.0%
Rutgers Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the RUTG 39Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
90.5%
Flynn Appleby punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:2912% → 9%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
87.7%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (Da'Quan Felton) to the VT 14Similar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+12
87.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 12 yds to the VT 26Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+3
87.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
87.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
88.4%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-10
90.0%
(09:55) DRONES, Kyron pass short to the right complete for 28 yards to TUTEN, Bhayshul caught at the VT36 and advanced to the RU40 (MELTON, Max), out of bounds, clock 09:54. PENALTY VT Holding on MOORE, Kaden enforced 10 yards from the VT32 to the VT22. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 17
OWN 22
0
90.6%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 17
OWN 22
0
90.7%
Peter Moore punt for 62 yds, downed at the RUTG 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:2692% → 93%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
92.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the RUTG 21Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+7
92.6%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 7 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
92.9%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
93.1%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+3
93.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 36Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
93.1%
Flynn Appleby punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:568% → 19%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
92.2%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+13
92.2%
Kyron Drones run for 13 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
92.6%
Kyron Drones run for 11 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
92.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 9 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+39
81.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 39 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4686% → 85%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
84.7%
Flynn Appleby punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:2118% → 38%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
82.0%
(02:39) DRONES, Kyron pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for FELTON, Da'Quan thrown to the RU1, clock 02:33. PENALTY RU Pass Interference on IGBINOSUN, Desmond enforced 15 yards to the RU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
81.1%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
81.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 9 yds to the RUTG 21Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
82.1%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the RUTG 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
80.9%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+13
81.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 13 yds to the RUTG 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
81.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the RUTG 1Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.0%
Bhayshul Tuten 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:3272% → 93%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
72.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 5 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
72.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
76.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 3 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
78.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 6 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+55
93.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 55 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 21 yds · 3:479% → 5%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 11 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
90.3%
TUTEN, Bhayshul rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the VT38 (JENNINGS, Deion;ROGERS, Eric), clock 10:04. PENALTY VT Holding on FRADY, Clayton enforced 10 yards from the VT36 to the VT26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+12
91.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 12 yds to the VT 38Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
90.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 3 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
90.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 7 yds to the VT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
90.3%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
90.6%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the VT 49Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+5
90.8%
(07:33) DRONES, Kyron pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GREENE, Ayden thrown to the RU34, clock 07:32. PENALTY RU Offsides on TOURE, Mohamed enforced 5 yards from the VT49 to the RU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-5
90.8%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw) to the VT 49Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-3
93.7%
Kyron Drones sacked by Aaron Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 46Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
94.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 3:2296% → 99%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
95.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 18 yds to the VT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
96.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the VT 22Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
96.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+7
96.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the VT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 12 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:422% → 2%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 5 yds to the VT 30Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-15
98.1%
(02:58) DRONES, Kyron pass up the middle complete for 2 yards to WRIGHT, Dae'Quan caught at the VT30 and advanced to the VT32 (LONGERBEAM, Robert), clock 02:56. PENALTY VT Personal Foul on CLEMENTS, Parker enforced 15 yards from the VT30 to the VT15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+3
98.3%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the VT 18Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
98.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Tucker Holloway for 7 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Peter Moore punt for 50 yds , returns for no gain to the RUTG 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
99.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the RUTG 16Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+2
99.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the RUTG 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:18
Bhayshul Tuten 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-19.2
TD · Q4 10:41
Kyle Monangai run for 55 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+14.3
TD · Q3 3:39
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 39 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com