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SYR

Syracuse 35 at Purdue 20

PUR
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:29 · Hudson Card pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 182Home team on offense−42.7Pregame prior−0.2Score differential−17.2Garbage-time factor−16.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−16.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:44: Garrett Shrader run for 35 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +5.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:26: Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the SYR 2 for a 1ST down — PUR win probability +6.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:28: Hudson Card 5 Yd Run (Ben Freehill Kick) — SYR win probability +18.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:53: Garrett Shrader 1 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick) — SYR win probability +11.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:38: Tyrone Tracy Jr. 1 Yd Run (Ben Freehill PAT failed) — PUR win probability +9.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:42SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:37PUR 4th & 1 at SYR 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:36PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:23SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:23SYR 4th & 15 at PUR 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:01SYR 4th & 11 at PUR 41, tied
    Close callWent for it · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    49.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:30PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:44PUR 4th & 2 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.2%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:20SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:56PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 39, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.8%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:29PUR 4th & 14 at SYR 18, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:47SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:44SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:28SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:53SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:38PUR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:19SYR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1259% → 58%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
40.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 21Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+13
40.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 13 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
40.7%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 33Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-5
40.7%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (Enrique Cruz Jr.) to the SYR 28Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 16
OWN 28
0
40.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+9
40.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 9 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
41.6%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 20 yds, downed at the PUR 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:0542% → 43%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
41.7%
Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+1
41.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 1 yd to the PUR 47Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+11
41.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 11 yds to the SYR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
41.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the SYR 41Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+5
41.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 5 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+5
41.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 5 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
41.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 17 yds to the SYR 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
41.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 9 yds to the SYR 5Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 1
OPP 5
0
41.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for no gain to the SYR 5Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
41.7%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the SYR 5Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 1
OPP 5
-1
43.3%
Hudson Card run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 6 Hudson Card fumbled, recovered by SYR Leon LowerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 3:5057% → 62%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
42.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 7Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+9
43.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 9 yds to the SYR 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
42.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+5
42.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
42.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 6 yds to the SYR 35Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+27
42.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 27 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
42.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
42.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+15
42.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the PUR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
41.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 20 yds to the PUR 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1140% → 39%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
39.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 24Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
39.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 6 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
39.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
39.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
38.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by D'Marcus Adams at the SYR 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:1361% → 61%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 9 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-4
38.7%
Syracuse Penalty, Illegal Substitution (J'Onre Reed) to the SYR 30Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
38.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 31Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
39.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
38.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 31Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
39.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
39.3%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the PUR 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:5240% → 42%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
40.2%
Syracuse Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
40.9%
Deion Burks run for 10 yds to the SYR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
41.5%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
40.9%
Deion Burks run for 10 yds to the SYR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
41.5%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-8
41.5%
Hudson Card sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the SYR 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 1:4762% → 68%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
38.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
38.4%
SHRADER, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Donovan thrown to the PUR35. PENALTY PUR Roughing the Passer on JENKINS, Kydran enforced 15 yards from the SYR36 to the PUR49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
38.4%
SHRADER, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Donovan thrown to the PUR35. PENALTY PUR Roughing the Passer on JENKINS, Kydran enforced 15 yards from the SYR36 to the PUR49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
37.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the PUR 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
37.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 13 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
37.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for no gain to the PUR 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
37.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+35
31.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 35 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:1833% → 42%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
33.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
33.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+20
32.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 20 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
34.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the SYR 4Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
41.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the SYR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:4555% → 53%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
45.5%
SHRADER, Garrett pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Donovan thrown to the SYR30. PENALTY PUR Roughing the Passer on ANDERSON, Joe enforced 15 yards from the SYR24 to the SYR39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
44.4%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 39Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+26
44.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 26 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
43.0%
Purdue Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PUR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
42.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
43.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds to the PUR 15Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-11
43.5%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 11 yards to the PUR 26Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
43.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds to the PUR 15Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-11
43.5%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 11 yards to the PUR 26Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+44
46.8%
Brady Denaburg 44 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:1248% → 52%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
47.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 5 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
47.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+11
47.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 11 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
49.3%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 37Similar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
47.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+23
47.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 23 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
50.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 14 yds to the SYR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-6
51.5%
Hudson Card run for a loss of 6 yards to the SYR 19 Hudson Card fumbled, recovered by SYR Terry LockettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 3:1655% → 59%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
44.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 20 yds to the SYR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
43.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
43.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 2 yds to the SYR 41Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+10
44.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+34
42.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 34 yds to the PUR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
41.0%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the PUR 15Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
41.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 13 yds to the PUR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.9%
LeQuint Allen 2 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:4149% → 53%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
48.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 17 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
51.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 7 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+5
52.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 5 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
52.7%
Purdue Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Devin Mockobee) to the PUR 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:5259% → 54%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
41.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
41.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
41.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-1
42.8%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 41Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 11
OPP 41
-5
45.6%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Scotty Humpich for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:3050% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.1%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the PUR 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
49.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 11 yds Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by PUR TJ Sheffield for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
51.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-9
50.6%
Hudson Card sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the PUR 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+11
48.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Dylan Downing for 11 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
48.9%
Jack Ansell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by D'Marcus Adams at the SYR 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:0053% → 55%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
46.9%
Garrett Shrader sacked by OC Brothers for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 18Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+7
47.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 7 yds to the SYR 25Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+4
47.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
46.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
46.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 35Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+10
46.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 10 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
45.2%
Garrett Shrader pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
16 plays · 66 yds · 5:0251% → 38%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
51.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
50.8%
CARD, Hudson pass to the right complete for 0 yards to KLARE, Max caught at the PUR34 and advanced to the PUR34 (BARRON, Justin). PENALTY SYR Roughing the Passer on WAX, Marlowe enforced 15 yards from the PUR34 to the PUR49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
54.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
53.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 2 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+9
53.1%
Hudson Card run for 9 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
55.1%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the SYR 38Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
54.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the SYR 37Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+9
54.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 9 yds to the SYR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
56.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 21 yds to the SYR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
56.0%
TRACY JR., Tyrone rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the SYR3 (JOHNSON, Isaiah), out of bounds. PENALTY PUR Holding on MOUSSA, Mahamane enforced 10 yards from the SYR7 to the SYR17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+15
55.9%
CARD, Hudson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHEFFIELD, TJ thrown to the SYR0. PENALTY SYR Pass Interference on SIMMONS JR., Jason enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the SYR2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
56.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 5Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+15
55.9%
CARD, Hudson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHEFFIELD, TJ thrown to the SYR0. PENALTY SYR Pass Interference on SIMMONS JR., Jason enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the SYR2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
56.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 5Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
37.5%
Hudson Card 5 Yd Run (Ben Freehill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3572% → 90%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
28.9%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+26
29.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Donovan Brown for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
50
+8
25.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-4
24.9%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 42 Garrett Shrader fumbled, recovered by SYR Garrett ShraderSimilar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
25.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
25.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+15
24.4%
SHRADER, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ALFORD, Damien thrown to the PUR2. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on ALISANDRO, Botros enforced 15 yards to the PUR15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
24.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the PUR 13Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+11
24.3%
SHRADER, Garrett pass up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Donovan thrown to the PUR2. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on ALLEN, Cam enforced 11 yards to the PUR2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.7%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the PUR 1Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.0%
Garrett Shrader 1 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:1514% → 25%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
13.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 15 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
14.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
14.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 7 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+1
14.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 2
50
+6
14.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 6 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
15.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 18 yds to the SYR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
14.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the SYR 20 Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by PUR Deion BurksSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
14.9%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the SYR 20Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+3
14.5%
Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the SYR 17Similar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
14.9%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 22Similar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+7
14.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 7 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+10
14.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 10 yds to the SYR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
14.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the SYR 1Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 1 Yd Run (Ben Freehill PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1184% → 88%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
16.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the SYR 16Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
16.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+15
17.1%
SHRADER, Garrett pass to the left incomplete intended for ALFORD, Damien thrown to the SYR30. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on ALISANDRO, Botros enforced 15 yards to the SYR31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
15.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-3
15.2%
Donovan Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 30Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
16.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
11.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2411% → 10%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
10.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 35 Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by PURSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
11.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds to the PUR 39Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
11.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for no gain to the PUR 39Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
10.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:3793% → 98%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
7.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+5
6.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the PUR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
2.0%
Garrett Shrader 28 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 57 yds · 1:501% → 1%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
1.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 14 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
1.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 9 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
1.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+14
1.6%
Syracuse Penalty, Face mask (14 yards) (Justin Barron) to the SYR 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
1.6%
CARD, Hudson pass to the left complete for 14 yards to BURKS, Deion caught at the SYR0 and advanced to the SYR0, TOUCHDOWN PUR, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY PUR Holding on GRANT, Jalen enforced 10 yards from the SYR14 to the SYR24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
1.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 20
OPP 24
0
1.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 20
OPP 24
+6
1.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Dylan Downing for 6 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 14
OPP 18
0
1.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 65 yds · 0:3798% → 99%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
1.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+39
1.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 39 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
1.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 21 yds to the PUR 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.0%
(00:45) Kneel down by SHRADER, Garrett at PUR17 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:28
Hudson Card 5 Yd Run (Ben Freehill Kick)
-18.5
TD · Q4 14:53
Garrett Shrader 1 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)
-11.6
TD · Q4 8:38
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 1 Yd Run (Ben Freehill PAT failed)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com