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WKU

Western Kentucky 10 at Ohio State 63

OSU
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:20 · Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi Corley
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+36.0Home team on offense+8.5Score differential+3.0Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 1:07: Lucas Carneiro 43 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +0.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:10: Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +1.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 8:00: Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 75 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:13: Chip Trayanum run for 40 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:55: Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 14:52OSU 4th & 5 at WKU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:37WKU 4th & 2 at OSU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:58WKU 4th & 2 at OSU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:07WKU 4th & 4 at OSU 25, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:00WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:20WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 40, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28WKU 4th & 10 at OSU 42, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    30% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:30WKU 4th & 4 at midfield, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:55OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 23, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:55WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 47, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:45OSU 4th & 6 at WKU 42, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:38WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 44, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00OSU 4th & 1 at WKU 46, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:18WKU 4th & 18 at WKU 27, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:12WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 33, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:32OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:53OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:10WKU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:00OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:13OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:55OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:08OSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:37OSU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:26OSU Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2098% → 97%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
97.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 46Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+21
97.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 21 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
97.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+1
97.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 1 yd to the WKU 28Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
97.6%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q1 14:52
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+7
97.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the WKU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
97.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 21 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:503% → 3%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
97.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the WKU 12Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+10
97.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 10 yds to the WKU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.2%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi CorleySimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
97.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 2 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+9
97.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Blue Smith for 9 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
97.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 11 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
97.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 8 yds to the OSU 48Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
97.2%
Markese Stepp run for no gain to the OSU 48Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
97.2%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi CorleySimilar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
96.7%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5897% → 97%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
96.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the WKU 43Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
96.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the WKU 43Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
96.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
96.7%
Kyle McCord sacked by Hosea Wheeler for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 44 Kyle McCord fumbled, recovered by WKU Deante McCray , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 31 yds · 4:324% → 5%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.4%
Malachi Corley run for no gain to the WKU 44Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
96.4%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+17
96.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 17 yds to the OSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
96.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 11 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.0%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Blue SmithSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
96.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds to the OSU 21Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+1
96.1%
Markese Stepp run for 1 yd to the OSU 20Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 2
OPP 20
-11
96.1%
Austin Reed run for 4 yds to the OSU 16 for a 1ST down Western Kentucky Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Blue Smith) to the OSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
96.0%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi CorleySimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
96.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Elijah Young for 6 yds to the OSU 25Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 4
OPP 25
-5
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Austin pass complete short right to Barry,Moussa for 5 yards to the OSU20, End Of Play PENALTY WKU Illegal Touch-Pass (Barry,Moussa). NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
95.3%
Lucas Carneiro 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 5:0795% → 96%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
95.3%
Chip Trayanum run for 5 yds to the OSU 23Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+10
95.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 10 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
95.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
95.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+27
95.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 27 yds to the WKU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
95.4%
Ohio State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WKU 35Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 13
OPP 35
+3
95.4%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the WKU 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
95.4%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+18
95.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 18 yds to the WKU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
95.4%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the WKU 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+4
95.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the WKU 7Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
95.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:434% → 7%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
95.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Austin pass incomplete deep right to Hutchinson,K.D. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Hancock,Jordan) 15 yards from WKU27 to WKU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+34
95.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 34 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.1%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+18
95.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 18 yds to the OSU 6 Davion Ervin-Poindexter fumbled, recovered by WKU Wes Dorsey for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.1%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to River HelmsSimilar
Q2 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
95.1%
Austin Reed run for 4 yds to the OSU 2Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
95.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 75 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:404% → 4%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Western Kentucky Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Markese Stepp) to the WKU 25Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.7%
Markese Stepp run for 8 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
95.4%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Jimmy HolidaySimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
95.5%
Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the WKU 34Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.7%
Austin Reed run for 2 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.6%
Markese Stepp run for 5 yds to the WKU 41Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
95.3%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Jimmy HolidaySimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+1
95.5%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 40Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
95.6%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi CorleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
97.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 40 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:533% → 3%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 2 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.6%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Blue SmithSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+21
96.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Blue Smith for 21 yds Blue Smith fumbled, recovered by OSU Davison IgbinosunSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:2597% → 99%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
97.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the WKU 42Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+20
97.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 20 yds to the WKU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
97.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the WKU 15Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+15
98.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:273% → 5%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.9%
Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+30
96.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 30 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
95.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Markese Stepp for 2 yds to the OSU 40Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-2
95.1%
Austin Reed sacked by Tyleik Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 42Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
95.2%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
95.3%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:2099% → 100%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.0%
Kyle McCord run for 4 yds to the OSU 46Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+40
99.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 40 yds to the WKU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds to the WKU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:301% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
99.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 11 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.4%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
99.3%
Austin Reed run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
50
0
99.3%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi CorleySimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 4
50
0
99.5%
Tom Ellard punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 13Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+7
99.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 7 yds to the OSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.5%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Simmons,Josh) 5 yards from OSU20 to OSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+8
99.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds to the OSU 23Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for no gain to the OSU 23Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Jesse Mirco punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 6 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
99.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Markese Stepp for 3 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.5%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Tom Ellard punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 46 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
99.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 19 yds to the OSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
99.8%
PENALTY OSU Illegal Snap (Hinzman,Carson) 5 yards from OSU31 to OSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+28
99.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 28 yds Cade Stover fumbled, recovered by OSU Carnell Tate for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 3 yds to the WKU 43Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
99.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 1 yd to the WKU 42Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Carnell TateSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Jesse Mirco punt for 37 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19FUMBLE TD
1 play · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds Davion Ervin-Poindexter fumbled, recovered by OSU Tyleik Williams for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20INT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 6 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 4 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 5 yds to the WKU 44Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Markese Stepp run for no gain to the WKU 44Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
99.8%
Austin Reed run for 2 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Austin Reed pass intercepted by Steele Chambers, return for no gain to the OSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Chip Trayanum run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
50
0
99.9%
Devin Brown pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
50
+4
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
99.9%
Devin Brown pass complete to Carnell Tate for 12 yds to the WKU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Devin Brown pass complete to Carnell Tate for 28 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 3:190% → 0%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
L.T. Sanders run for 6 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Bronson Barron pass complete to Bronson Barron for 3 yds to the WKU 32Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKU 36Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-9
100.0%
Bronson Barron sacked by Mitchell Melton for a loss of 9 yards to the WKU 27Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Tom Ellard punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 8 yds to the OSU 45Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.9%
Devin Brown run for 1 yd to the WKU 49Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Devin Brown pass intercepted by Hosea Wheeler at the WKU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the OSU 49Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-58
100.0%
Jermaine Mathews Jr. 58 Yd Interception Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 9 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the WKU 32Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 1 yd to the WKU 33Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+18
100.0%
Tom Ellard punt for 49 yds to the OSU 36 , Jayden Ballard returns for 18 yds to the OSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 25 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the OSU 40Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
100.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
100.0%
Devin Brown run for 3 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the WKU 42Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:10
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
-1.7
TD · Q2 8:00
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 75 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 4:13
Chip Trayanum run for 40 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com