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NIU

Northern Illinois 11 at Nebraska 35

NEB
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Trevin Luben run for 18 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:08: Jake Seibert 30 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +1.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:15: Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 16 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +7.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Kanon Woodill kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — NIU win probability +2.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:00: Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +8.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:19: Heinrich Haarberg run for 20 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 12:56NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:07NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:07NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:08NIU 4th & 13 at NEB 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:55NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 24, up 4
    Close callPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:52NIU 4th & 12 at NIU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:23NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:16NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:04NEB 4th & 6 at NIU 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:29NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:22NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:39NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:02NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:08NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:37NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 41, up 11
    Close callPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:10NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:52NIU 4th & 11 at NIU 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:23NIU 4th & 3 at NEB 39, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:39NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:15NEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:00NEB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:19NEB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:23NEB Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:04NIU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0423% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.6%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
76.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 6 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
76.6%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the NIU 30Similar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
76.3%
Tom Foley punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:1776% → 77%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
76.3%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 5
50
+26
76.3%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Marcus Washington for 26 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
76.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 9 yds to the NIU 15Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+1
76.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
76.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the NIU 10Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
77.3%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 10 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:3223% → 24%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Christion CarterSimilar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 5 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
76.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Christion Carter for 8 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
76.5%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
76.4%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 45Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
76.4%
Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the NIU 47Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
76.5%
Tom Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 12Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
76.5%
Tom Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:4677% → 77%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
76.8%
Tommi Hill run for 5 yds to the NEB 12Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 15
OWN 12
-7
76.7%
Heinrich Haarberg sacked by George Gumbs for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 5 Heinrich Haarberg fumbled, recovered by NIU Skyler Gill-Howard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5FG
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:1324% → 25%
Q1 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
75.6%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NEB 7Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
75.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 3 yds to the NEB 4Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
76.0%
Rocky Lombardi sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the NEB 13Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
75.0%
Jake Seibert 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0775% → 74%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
75.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEB 17Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+1
74.9%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEB 18Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+6
74.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 6 yds to the NEB 24Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
73.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0326% → 25%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
73.9%
Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
73.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-9
73.1%
Rocky Lombardi sacked by Jimari Butler for a loss of 9 yards to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
74.9%
Tom Foley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2974% → 73%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
74.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 14
OWN 28
0
74.0%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+5
73.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
73.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:0726% → 26%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
73.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 18 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
72.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper RutkiewiczSimilar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
73.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Antario BrownSimilar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
73.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+4
74.2%
Tom Foley punt for 53 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 4 yds to the NEB 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 5:1273% → 74%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
73.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 14 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
73.8%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+2
74.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
74.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEB 34Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+1
73.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 1 yd to the NEB 35Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+12
73.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Gabe Ervin Jr. for 12 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
75.1%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
74.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Joshua Fleeks for 4 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
74.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
73.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3527% → 26%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
73.2%
Brock Lampe run for 2 yds to the NIU 3Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
73.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper RutkiewiczSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+3
74.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 3 yds to the NIU 6Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
74.4%
Tom Foley punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 2:1476% → 83%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
75.9%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+16
76.1%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 16 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
76.0%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 1 yd to the NIU 16Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
83.1%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 16 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:5318% → 17%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
82.3%
Rocky Lombardi sacked by MJ Sherman for a loss of 9 yards to the NIU 26Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+1
83.0%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 27Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+15
83.2%
Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete deep right to Rutkiewicz,Kacper PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Hill,Tommi) 15 yards from NIU27 to NIU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
81.7%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
81.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
81.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
83.0%
Tom Foley punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4383% → 84%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
82.9%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the NEB 24Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
82.8%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
84.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
84.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:3916% → 15%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
84.1%
Rocky Lombardi run for 7 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
83.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper RutkiewiczSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+3
83.7%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
84.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 12 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5883% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the NEB 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
83.2%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
82.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Tommi HillSimilar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
82.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 42 yds , Kacper Rutkiewicz returns for no gain to the NIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5418% → 16%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
82.5%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 37Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
82.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Brock LampeSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
82.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis PattersonSimilar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
83.8%
Tom Foley punt for 50 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for no gain to the NEB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:3184% → 84%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
83.7%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the NEB 15Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+9
83.8%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the NEB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
83.9%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 10 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
84.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
84.7%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 41Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
84.0%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Gabe Ervin Jr.Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
84.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2716% → 15%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
83.7%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 24Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+2
83.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 2 yds to the NIU 26Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
84.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Christion CarterSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
85.2%
Tom Foley punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 7:1086% → 96%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
85.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 5 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-10
85.7%
Grant,Anthony rush left for 2 yards gain to the NEB31 (Byrd,JaVaughn) PENALTY NEB Holding (Scott,Ben) 10 yards from NEB29 to NEB19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
85.2%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 15
OWN 19
+20
84.5%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 20 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.2%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
86.0%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+8
85.7%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Gabe Ervin Jr. for 8 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
86.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
86.5%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for no gain to the NIU 47Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+18
85.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Alex Bullock for 33 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (Ben Scott) to the NIU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
86.6%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 14 yds to the NIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
86.5%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the NIU 9Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
88.1%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NIU 6Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
87.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NIU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:086% → 5%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Brock Lampe for 9 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
93.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis PattersonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
94.3%
Brock Lampe run for 2 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.3%
PENALTY NIU False Start (Tewes,Tristen) 5 yards from NIU36 to NIU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
94.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis PattersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+4
94.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 4 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
94.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
95.4%
Tom Foley punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 5:3397% → 100%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
96.7%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
96.8%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+13
96.9%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 13 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the NIU 48Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
97.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 47Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+11
97.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Marcus Washington for 11 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
97.7%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 12 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
97.7%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 20Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 20 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23INT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 3 yds to the NIU 16Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+7
99.6%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis PattersonSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Nebraska Penalty, Holding Personal Foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
99.8%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 10 yds to the NIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.8%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NIU 22Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
99.8%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 2 yds to the NIU 20Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+9
99.8%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Anthony Grant for 9 yds to the NIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Anthony Grant run for 11 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:190% → 0%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Kendrell Flowers run for 3 yds to the NIU 28Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Kendrell Flowers for 3 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
100.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 8 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Dane PardridgeSimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
100.0%
Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete short right to Pipkin,Keyshaun PENALTY NEB Roughing The Passer (Snodgrass,Garrett) 15 yards from NIU39 to NEB46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Kendrell Flowers run for 3 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Kendrell Flowers run for 4 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Keyshaun PipkinSimilar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+10
99.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 10 yds to the NEB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
99.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Billy Dozier for 17 yds to the NEB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
100.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Keyshaun Pipkin for 8 yds to the NEB 4Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Christion Carter 4 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Billy Dozier Pass to Billy Dozier for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
99.8%
Trevin Luben run for 18 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:00
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+8
TD · Q2 3:15
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 16 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+7.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Kanon Woodill kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com