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BGSU

Bowling Green 6 at Michigan 31

MICH
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:11 · (00:11) [SG] Kneel down by DENEGAL, Jayden at MIC18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:09.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:49: Hayden Timosciek pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 2 yds to the BGSU 36 — BGSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:15: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 33 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:44: Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:12: James Turner 42 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:28: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 50 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:38BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:36BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:13BGSU 4th & 2 at MICH 18, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:39BGSU 4th & 1 at MICH 24, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:03BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:37MICH 4th & 20 at MICH 35, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:04MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 32, up 8
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:12MICH 4th & 8 at BGSU 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:04BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:10BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:14BGSU 4th & 8 at MICH 48, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:58MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 26, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:09BGSU 4th & 8 at MICH 18, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:44MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:15MICH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:44MICH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:28MICH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
99.3%
Camden Orth pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 30 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.3%
Camden Orth pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 4 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
99.2%
Camden Orth pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 2 yds to the MICH 39Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-12
99.2%
Camden Orth run for a loss of 12 yards to the BGSU 49 Camden Orth fumbled, recovered by BGSU Camden OrthSimilar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
99.1%
Sami Sir punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:5299% → 99%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+54
99.1%
Blake Corum run for 54 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 11 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
99.1%
J.J. McCarthy run for 8 yds to the BGSU 4Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:081% → 1%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Camden Orth pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 1 yd to the BGSU 26Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
99.0%
Camden Orth sacked by Mike Sainristil for a loss of 7 yards to the BGSU 19Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-5
99.0%
Bowling Green Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Forward Pass on ORTH, Camden enforced (-5 Yards) to the BGSU 21Similar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Sami Sir punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4INT
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:4499% → 99%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
99.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 13 yds to the BGSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
98.9%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the BGSU 29Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+10
98.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 10 yds to the BGSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
98.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 9 yds to the BGSU 10Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+1
98.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the BGSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the BGSU 5Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:351% → 2%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.7%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 20Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+33
98.6%
Camden Orth pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 33 yds to the MICH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
98.5%
Camden Orth sacked by Cam Goode for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 45Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+3
98.4%
Camden Orth pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 3 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+15
98.4%
Camden Orth pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 15 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.2%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
98.2%
Ta'ron Keith run for 11 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.0%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
98.1%
Camden Orth run for 5 yds to the MICH 21Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+3
98.1%
Camden Orth pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 3 yds to the MICH 18Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+36
97.9%
Alan Anaya 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6FG
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:172% → 3%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
97.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the MICH 30Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+6
97.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MICH 24Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
97.7%
Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim run for no gain to the MICH 24Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+42
97.2%
Alan Anaya 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:2798% → 97%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
97.5%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 39Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+8
97.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 8 yds to the MICH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
97.4%
Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+6
97.3%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:463% → 3%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
96.7%
Hayden Timosciek pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 2 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-10
96.5%
(08:16) STEWART, Terion rush to the left for no gain to the BGS36 (SAINRISTIL, Mike), clock 08:10. PENALTY BGS Holding on STEWART, Kameren enforced 10 yards from the BGS36 to the BGS26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 18
OWN 26
0
96.6%
Hayden Timosciek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 18
OWN 26
+7
96.7%
Ta'ron Keith run for 7 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
96.6%
Sami Sir punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:3697% → 98%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
96.7%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the MICH 39Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
96.7%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
96.5%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
96.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 22 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 33 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:093% → 3%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Hayden Timosciek run for 2 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
97.5%
Hayden Timosciek pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 8 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
97.4%
Hayden Timosciek run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 34Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+7
97.3%
Hayden Timosciek pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 7 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
96.8%
Hayden Timosciek pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:1497% → 96%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
97.0%
Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
97.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-13
96.9%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Darren Anders for a loss of 13 yards to the MICH 35Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
96.4%
Tommy Doman punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
96.8%
(00:23) [NH] Kneel down by TIMOSCIEK, Hayden at BGS17 (team loss of 1), clock 00:20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4997% → 96%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
96.6%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 26Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
96.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 2 yds to the MICH 28Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+4
96.2%
J.J. McCarthy run for 4 yds to the MICH 32Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
96.0%
Tommy Doman punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
95.9%
Hayden Timosciek pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.8%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:513% → 2%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Hayden Timosciek run for no gain to the BGSU 25Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.4%
Hayden Timosciek sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 26Similar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
97.8%
(11:53) MCCARTHY, J.J. scrambles to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the BGS20 (HARDAMON, Demetrius), clock 11:46. PENALTY MIC Holding on BARNER, AJ enforced 10 yards from the BGS26 to the BGS36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2598% → 99%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 20
OPP 36
0
97.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+6
97.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+6
97.6%
Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the BGSU 24Similar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+42
98.5%
James Turner 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:022% → 2%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.2%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 24Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
98.2%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BGSU 29Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Sami Sir punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 1:2999% → 100%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
98.6%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the MICH 47Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
98.6%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 50 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:161% → 1%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BGSU 26Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
99.4%
Jamal Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 24Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+2
99.5%
Hayden Timosciek pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 2 yds to the BGSU 26Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Sami Sir punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.7%
Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the MICH 45Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.7%
Alex Orji run for 3 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
99.7%
Alex Orji run for 8 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.7%
Semaj Morgan run for 4 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 6:300% → 0%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
PaSean Wimberly run for no gain to the BGSU 20Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.6%
PaSean Wimberly run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 19Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+12
99.6%
PaSean Wimberly run for 12 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.6%
PaSean Wimberly run for 7 yds to the BGSU 38Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Jamal Johnson run for no gain to the BGSU 38Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+12
99.6%
Hayden Timosciek pass complete to Finn Hogan for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.7%
Nick Mosley run for 2 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Hayden Timosciek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Nick Mosley run for no gain to the MICH 48Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Sami Sir punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Cole Cabana run for 5 yds to the MICH 25Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Cole Cabana run for 1 yd to the MICH 26Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Leon Franklin run for no gain to the MICH 26Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Tommy Doman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 6:440% → 0%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
PaSean Wimberly run for 2 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
PaSean Wimberly run for 7 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
99.8%
Jamal Johnson run for 3 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
Hayden Timosciek pass complete to Jhaylin Embry for 2 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
Nick Mosley run for 8 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
99.8%
Nick Mosley run for 23 yds to the MICH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
99.7%
PaSean Wimberly run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 21Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+5
99.7%
PaSean Wimberly run for 5 yds to the MICH 16Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-2
99.8%
PaSean Wimberly run for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 18Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
99.8%
Alan Anaya 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
(00:11) [SG] Kneel down by DENEGAL, Jayden at MIC18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:09.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:44
Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 4:15
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 33 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+1
TD · Q3 6:28
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 50 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com