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LOU

Louisville 21 at Indiana 14

IU
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Lucas Oil Stadium
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:33 · Brock Travelstead 38 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior−23.3Home team on offense−0.6Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:52: Jawhar Jordan run for 25 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +9.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:46: Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 30 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — IU win probability +7.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:55: Josh Henderson run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — IU win probability +19.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:55: Jawhar Jordan run for 8 yds to the LOU 33 — LOU win probability +9.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:37: Jack Plummer run for 13 yds to the LOU 14 for a 1ST down — LOU win probability +11.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:04IU 4th & 9 at LOU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    28.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:33LOU 4th & 9 at IU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:17IU 4th & 6 at IU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:20IU 4th & 24 at IU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:34IU 4th & 3 at IU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:19LOU 4th & 9 at LOU 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:47IU 4th & 3 at LOU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:24LOU 4th & 19 at LOU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−3.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:18IU 4th & 2 at IU 22, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:34LOU 4th & 5 at IU 40, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−1.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:39IU 4th & 1 at LOU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    20.1%−10.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−22.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:34LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:44LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:52LOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:46IU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:55IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:5524% → 26%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
23.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 7 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
24.2%
Jaylin Lucas run for 11 yds to the IU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
24.6%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 3
50
+1
25.0%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the LOU 49Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
25.3%
(12:37) JACKSON, Tayven pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CAMPER, Cam thrown to the LOU20, clock 12:33. PENALTY LOU Offsides on TELL, Dezmond enforced 5 yards from the LOU49 to the LOU44 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
25.4%
Tayven Jackson run for no gain to the LOU 44Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
25.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+1
25.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the LOU 43Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
25.8%
James Evans punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman at the LOU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:2674% → 72%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
25.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the LOU 15Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+3
26.1%
Jack Plummer run for 3 yds to the LOU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
26.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Josh Lifson for 13 yds to the LOU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
26.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 35Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
26.6%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+43
26.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 43 yds to the IU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
26.5%
Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the IU 18Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-3
26.7%
Jack Plummer sacked by Aaron Casey for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 21Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
27.3%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
27.8%
Brock Travelstead 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3INT
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:3928% → 30%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
28.0%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
28.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 6 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+24
28.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 24 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
29.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Bradley Archer for 14 yds to the LOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
30.3%
Kamryn Perry run for a loss of 4 yards to the LOU 39Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+2
30.1%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 2 yds to the LOU 37Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 12
OPP 37
0
30.2%
Tayven Jackson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:1470% → 74%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
29.6%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+85
25.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 85 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:1626% → 26%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the IU 28Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
25.8%
Tayven Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 27Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
25.4%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Josh Henderson for 18 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
26.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
26.5%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the IU 48Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+1
26.7%
Tayven Jackson run for 1 yd to the IU 49Similar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
26.2%
James Evans punt for 29 yds, downed at the LOU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 6:2574% → 82%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
25.8%
Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the LOU 24Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
25.7%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+13
26.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 13 yds to the LOU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
25.1%
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce run for 5 yds to the LOU 42Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
24.8%
Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the LOU 44Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+6
25.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
50
+5
24.6%
Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+17
24.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 17 yds to the IU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
24.2%
Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the IU 25Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+7
24.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 7 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
24.0%
Maurice Turner run for 6 yds to the IU 12Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+10
24.0%
Maurice Turner run for 10 yds to the IU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
18.1%
Maurice Turner run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 3:2420% → 19%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
19.5%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
19.8%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
19.7%
Tayven Jackson run for 2 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-13
19.8%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the IU 23 fumbled, recovered by IU Tayven JacksonSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 23
OWN 23
-3
19.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Christian Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 20Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 26
OWN 20
+2
18.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 2 yds to the IU 22Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 24
OWN 22
0
18.6%
James Evans punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:1782% → 92%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
18.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the LOU 36Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
18.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the LOU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
17.6%
Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the LOU 48Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
17.3%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+18
17.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 18 yds to the IU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
16.9%
Jack Plummer run for 9 yds to the IU 25Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+25
7.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 25 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1712% → 12%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
11.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 10 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
12.0%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
12.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 38Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+4
11.7%
Tayven Jackson run for 4 yds to the IU 42Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
12.1%
James Evans punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
7.6%
(00:24) Kneel down by PLUMMER, Jack at LOU17 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:1313% → 21%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
12.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 21 yds to the LOU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
12.9%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the LOU 30 Josh Henderson fumbled, recovered by IU Josh HendersonSimilar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+30
20.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 30 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 2:2984% → 83%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the LOU 30Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
15.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the LOU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
15.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the LOU 39Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
14.8%
Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the LOU 43Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-10
14.3%
(11:37) PLUMMER, Jack pass deep to the left complete for 57 yards to THRASH, Jamari caught at the IND25 and advanced to the IND0, TOUCHDOWN LOU, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:26 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY LOU Holding on TYLER III, Willie enforced 10 yards from the LOU43 to the LOU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+5
15.4%
Indiana Penalty, Offsides (Andre Carter) to the LOU 38Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
14.2%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
15.1%
Brock Travelstead punt for 18 ydsSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
17.4%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (Kahlil Benson) to the IU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2817% → 17%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
16.5%
Tayven Jackson run for no gain to the IU 39Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
16.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+12
16.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Josh Henderson for 12 yds to the LOU 49Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
16.6%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:1088% → 88%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
12.3%
Jack Plummer run for 6 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
11.9%
Maurice Turner run for no gain to the IU 45Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
11.9%
Jack Plummer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15TD
15 plays · 97 yds · 7:2614% → 33%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
14.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 6 yds to the IU 9Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 9
-2
13.9%
Tayven Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 7Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+6
13.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 6 yds to the IU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
13.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to James Bomba for 15 yds to the IU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
13.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the IU 29Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+22
13.4%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 22 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
14.5%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
14.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 7 yds to the LOU 42Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+5
14.4%
Louisville Penalty, Offsides (Jared Dawson) to the LOU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
14.4%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Bradley Archer for 24 yds to the LOU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
14.9%
Indiana Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the LOU 18Similar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+5
14.5%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the LOU 13Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
14.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+11
13.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 11 yds to the LOU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
32.9%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:3176% → 77%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.6%
Jawhar Jordan run for 8 yds to the LOU 33Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
22.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
21.9%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
22.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Kevin Coleman for 5 yds to the LOU 42Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+12
19.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 12 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
18.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the IU 41Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
18.0%
Louisville Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jack Plummer) to the LOU 49Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 15
OWN 49
-4
20.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for a loss of 4 yards to the LOU 45Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
23.0%
Brock Travelstead punt for 41 yds, downed at the IU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5424% → 22%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
23.5%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
23.5%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+8
22.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 8 yds to the IU 22Similar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
21.5%
James Evans punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman at the LOU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3681% → 82%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
19.1%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the LOU 45Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+10
18.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 10 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
16.4%
Kevin Coleman run for a loss of 8 yards to the LOU 47Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+13
17.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 13 yds to the IU 40Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
15.8%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
17.9%
Brock Travelstead punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 89 yds · 3:4822% → 24%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
22.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 7 yds to the IU 17Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+12
22.2%
Josh Henderson run for 12 yds to the IU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+41
22.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 41 yds to the LOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
27.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 10 yds to the LOU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
27.8%
(06:19) JACKSON, Tayven pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CAMPER, Cam thrown to the LOU0, clock 06:15. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on DUCK, Storm enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the LOU5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
27.8%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (Carter Smith) to the LOU 10Similar
Q4 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
27.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the LOU 7Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
27.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 8Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
24.7%
Tayven Jackson run for 7 yds to the LOU 1Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.8%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the LOU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20END OF GAME
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:0988% → 95%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+13
12.5%
Jack Plummer run for 13 yds to the LOU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
12.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 15 yds to the LOU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
9.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the LOU 30Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
9.4%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+5
10.5%
Jack Plummer run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Louisville Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Renato Brown) to the LOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
5.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the LOU 38Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
4.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the LOU 41Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+4
5.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
4.9%
(00:28) Kneel down by PLUMMER, Jack at LOU44 (team loss of 1), clock 00:15.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:55
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+19.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:37
Jack Plummer run for 13 yds to the LOU 14 for a 1ST down
-11.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:55
Jawhar Jordan run for 8 yds to the LOU 33
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com