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WMU

Western Michigan 10 at Iowa 41

IOWA
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.9IOWA 85.0%Palmer Domschke 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 7 · Q2 4:45
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:45 · Palmer Domschke 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+33.3Home team on offense−3.6Score differential−2.0Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:40: Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 64 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +1.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:26: Cade McNamara pass complete to Diante Vines for 3 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +2.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:29: Cade McNamara pass complete to Leshon Williams for 25 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +6.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:02: Kamari Moulton 3 Yd Run (Erick All Pass to Cade McNamara for Two-Point Conversion) — IOWA win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:10: Kamari Moulton 1 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick) — IOWA win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:01WMU 4th & 21 at WMU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:42IOWA 4th & 18 at WMU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:28IOWA 4th & 3 at WMU 23, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:16WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:45WMU 4th & 8 at IOWA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:46IOWA 4th & 10 at WMU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:44WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−2.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:10WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:47WMU 4th & 11 at WMU 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:17IOWA 4th & 18 at WMU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:07WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:12IOWA 4th & 26 at IOWA 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:39WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:20IOWA 4th & 12 at WMU 13, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:15WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 33, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:30IOWA 4th & 2 at WMU 2, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:40WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:26IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:29IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:02IOWA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:10IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:30IOWA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:5196% → 96%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
95.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 44Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
95.8%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+9
95.7%
Kaleb Brown run for 9 yds to the WMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.6%
Cade McNamara pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
95.5%
(13:02) BOURGUET, Treyson pass to the right complete for 6 yards to GALLOWAY, Jehlani caught at the WMU30 and advanced to the WMU30 (SCHULTE, Quinn), clock 12:57. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on BUCKLEY, Jalen enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the WMU12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:385% → 5%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 22
OWN 12
+1
95.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 13Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 21
OWN 13
0
95.4%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 21
OWN 13
0
95.4%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 21
OWN 13
0
95.4%
Carson Voss punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 4:0995% → 94%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
95.4%
Jaziun Patterson run for 6 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
95.2%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the WMU 48Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+8
95.1%
Cade McNamara run for 8 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
95.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Diante Vines for 4 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
94.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the WMU 33Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-15
94.7%
Cade McNamara sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 15 yards to the WMU 48Similar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
94.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds, downed at the WMU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 1:496% → 7%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+29
94.3%
Treyson Bourguet run for 29 yds to the WMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
94.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 35Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
93.9%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 1 yd to the WMU 36Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+64
92.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 64 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 4:0593% → 91%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
92.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Steven Stilianos for 8 yds to the IOWA 41Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+11
93.1%
Leshon Williams run for 11 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
93.2%
Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the WMU 41Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+11
93.2%
Leshon Williams run for 11 yds to the WMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
93.3%
Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the WMU 22Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 2
OPP 22
-1
93.3%
Kaleb Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 23Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
93.2%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
91.1%
Drew Stevens 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 5:129% → 12%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
90.7%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 23Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
90.8%
Jack Salopek run for 8 yds to the WMU 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+2
89.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
89.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMU 35Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
89.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the WMU 41Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+14
88.7%
Jack Salopek run for 14 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
88.2%
Jack Salopek run for 1 yd to the IOWA 44Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-5
87.9%
Western Michigan Penalty, False Start (Ted Kushi) to the IOWA 49Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 14
OPP 49
0
88.0%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Austin Hence for no gain to the IOWA 49Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 14
OPP 49
-2
87.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for a loss of 2 yards to the WMU 49Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
87.7%
Carson Voss punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:3388% → 91%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
87.7%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+53
87.8%
Leshon Williams run for 53 yds to the WMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
88.0%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the WMU 5Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
87.6%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the WMU 3Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Diante Vines for 3 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:3911% → 15%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
89.0%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Blake Bosma for 43 yds to the IOWA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
87.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-1
86.6%
Jalen Buckley run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 31Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+9
86.7%
Treyson Bourguet run for 9 yds to the IOWA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
85.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 11 yds to the IOWA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
85.7%
Treyson Bourguet run for 1 yd to the IOWA 10Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
85.3%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+1
85.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the IOWA 9Similar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
85.0%
Palmer Domschke 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5986% → 84%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.5%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+28
85.1%
Leshon Williams run for 28 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
86.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for no gain to the WMU 45Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
85.8%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
84.6%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
83.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds, downed at the WMU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5416% → 16%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
83.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
83.8%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 1Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
83.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
84.3%
Carson Voss punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
90.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Leshon Williams for 25 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · -2 yds · 0:1911% → 11%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
88.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 33Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
88.6%
Western Michigan Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMU 28Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
89.1%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
89.4%
(01:16) VOSS, Carson punt 44 yards to the IOW28, returned by DEJEAN, Cooper. (KONE, Bilhal), clock 01:10. PENALTY Before the snap, WMU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the WMU28 to the WMU23. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
89.5%
Carson Voss punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:2489% → 89%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.4%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
88.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Seth Anderson for 13 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
89.7%
(00:53) MCNAMARA, Cade pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VINES, Diante thrown to the WMU8, clock 00:47. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on BUSSELL, Dashon enforced 15 yards to the WMU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.8%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
89.8%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
89.3%
Cade McNamara pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
88.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:1312% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Kenneth Womack for no gain to the WMU 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
87.8%
Treyson Bourguet sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 24Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
87.7%
Carson Voss punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 3:3088% → 86%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
50
+2
88.1%
Kamari Moulton run for 2 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
88.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 10 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
88.2%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the WMU 38Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
88.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Leshon Williams for 2 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-10
87.8%
Cade McNamara sacked by Isaiah Green for a loss of 10 yards to the WMU 46Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
85.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:1114% → 14%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-13
85.9%
Treyson Bourguet sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the WMU 9Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 23
OWN 9
+6
86.2%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 6 yds to the WMU 15Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 17
OWN 15
-5
86.3%
Western Michigan Penalty, False Start (Jalen Buckley) to the WMU 10Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 22
OWN 10
+5
86.2%
Treyson Bourguet run for 5 yds to the WMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 3:1492% → 95%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
91.6%
Leshon Williams run for 18 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
91.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 10 yds to the WMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
92.4%
Kamari Moulton run for 18 yds to the WMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
92.4%
Kamari Moulton run for 2 yds to the WMU 5Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
92.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 2 yds to the WMU 3Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.4%
Kamari Moulton 3 Yd Run (Erick All Pass to Cade McNamara for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:136% → 6%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
BOURGUET, Treyson pass short up the middle incomplete dropped by WOMACK, Kenneth thrown to the WMU28; QB hurried by HIGGINS, Jay. PENALTY WMU Personal Foul enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the WMU25 to the WMU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
94.3%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
94.4%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+4
94.5%
Treyson Bourguet run for 4 yds to the WMU 17 Treyson Bourguet fumbled, recovered by IOWA Jeremiah PittmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:2196% → 99%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
95.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 4 yds to the WMU 13Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+12
95.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 12 yds to the WMU 1 Kamari Moulton fumbled, recovered by IOWA Steven Stilianos for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Kamari Moulton 1 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:022% → 1%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
98.9%
(14:59) BOURGUET, Treyson pass deep to the left complete for 60 yards to GALLOWAY, Jehlani caught at the IOW29 and advanced to the IOW0, TOUCHDOWN WMU, score nullified by penalty, clock 14:52 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY WMU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WEST, Addison enforced 5 yards from the WMU40 to the WMU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
99.0%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
99.0%
Carson Voss punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:4299% → 99%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+34
99.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 34 yds to the WMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.1%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for no gain to the WMU 39Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-9
99.1%
Cade McNamara sacked by Mason Nelson for a loss of 9 yards to the WMU 48Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 19
OPP 48
-7
99.1%
Cade McNamara sacked by Joshua Nobles for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 45Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 26
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.1%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the WMU 23Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+2
99.2%
Treyson Bourguet run for 2 yds to the WMU 25Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Carson Voss punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 4:1199% → 99%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.1%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 9 yds to the IOWA 40Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+7
99.2%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 7 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.2%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 7 yds to the WMU 46Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
99.3%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 5 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+30
99.3%
Seth Anderson run for 30 yds to the WMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.3%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the WMU 8Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
99.4%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-5
99.4%
Iowa Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JONES, Logan enforced (-5 Yards) to the WMU 13Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+31
99.3%
Drew Stevens 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMU 30Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 33Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Treyson Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.5%
Max White run for 3 yds to the WMU 30Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+21
99.5%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Steven Stilianos for 21 yds to the WMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
99.6%
Max White run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMU 11Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
99.6%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 9 yds to the WMU 2Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.6%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Max White 2 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:29
Cade McNamara pass complete to Leshon Williams for 25 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
+6
TD · Q3 2:10
Kamari Moulton 1 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)
+3.1
TD · Q2 8:26
Cade McNamara pass complete to Diante Vines for 3 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com