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South Carolina 14 at Georgia 24

UGA
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NH] Kneel down by BECK, Carson at USC39 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. MISSED FG · Q2 3:27: Peyton Woodring 28 yd FG MISSED — SC win probability +4.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:00: Dakereon Joyner run for 2 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +10.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:20: Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +8.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q3 7:40: Dillon Bell run for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +6.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:10: Cash Jones run for 13 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +8.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 2:02UGA 4th & 9 at SC 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:46SC 4th & 14 at SC 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:34UGA 4th & 3 at SC 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:30SC 4th & 1 at SC 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:30UGA 4th & 1 at SC 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−1.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:27UGA 4th & 10 at SC 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:00SC 4th & 14 at SC 4, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−3.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:00UGA 4th & 1 at SC 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−2.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−8.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:30SC 4th & 20 at UGA 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−1.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:45UGA 4th & 12 at SC 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−9.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:59SC 4th & 10 at SC 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−2.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:43SC 4th & 15 at SC 46, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:59UGA 4th & 4 at SC 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:33UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:33SC 4th & 8 at SC 15, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:56SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:00SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:20UGA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:40UGA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:10UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:045% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
94.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 5 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+17
94.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 17 yds to the UGA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
94.6%
Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd to the UGA 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+15
94.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 15 yds to the UGA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for no gain to the UGA 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
94.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 9 yds to the UGA 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+7
94.6%
Mario Anderson run for 7 yds to the UGA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
94.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for no gain to the UGA 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
94.6%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UGA 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 16
-1
94.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 17Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 16
OPP 17
+17
92.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 17 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
18 plays · 62 yds · 7:5493% → 91%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
93.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 8 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
93.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 11 yds to the UGA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
93.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 8 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-3
93.2%
Kendall Milton run for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 47Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+11
93.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 11 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-6
93.2%
Carson Beck sacked by T.J. Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the SC 42Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 16
OPP 42
+8
93.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 8 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+10
93.2%
BECK, Carson pass to the left incomplete intended for ROSEMY-JACKSAINT, Marcus thrown to the USC21. PENALTY USC Holding on SMITH, DQ enforced 10 yards from the USC34 to the USC24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
93.2%
Kendall Milton run for 8 yds to the SC 16Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+1
93.2%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the SC 15Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+1
90.5%
Carson Beck run for 1 yd to the SC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
90.7%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
90.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the SC 13Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+5
90.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 5 yds to the SC 8Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 4
OPP 8
-5
90.2%
Georgia Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the SC 13Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
90.5%
Peyton Woodring 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:1610% → 10%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.2%
Xavier Legette run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 24Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
90.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 13 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
90.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Nazir Stackhouse for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-1
89.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
89.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
89.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 32 yds, downed at the UGA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1289% → 89%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
89.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 8 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
89.8%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the UGA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
89.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to C.J. Smith for 7 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
89.0%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
88.6%
Brett Thorson punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:0412% → 14%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
88.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 9Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+11
88.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 11 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+10
88.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 10 yds to the SC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
88.0%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+7
88.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 7 yds to the SC 39Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
86.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6MISSED FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 6:0386% → 81%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
86.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 12 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.4%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+21
86.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 21 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
87.5%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
87.5%
Dillon Bell run for 6 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
87.4%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the SC 40Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+7
86.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 7 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
87.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the SC 30Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+10
87.9%
South Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Stone Blanton) to the SC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
87.9%
Kendall Milton run for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 13Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
87.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
87.2%
Georgia Penalty, False Start (Brock Bowers) to the SC 18Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+8
86.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 8 yds to the SC 10Similar
Q2 3:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
82.4%
Peyton Woodring 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
81.4%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (O'Mega Blake) to the SC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:2719% → 35%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+9
81.5%
Spencer Rattler run for 9 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
81.0%
JOYNER, Dakereon rush up the middle for no gain to the USC24 (DUMAS-JOHNSON, Jamon). PENALTY UGA Face mask on BRINSON, Warren enforced 15 yards from the USC24 to the USC39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+35
80.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 35 yds to the UGA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
79.3%
Spencer Rattler run for 11 yds to the UGA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
74.9%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UGA 20Similar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+18
75.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 18 yds to the UGA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.1%
Dakereon Joyner run for 2 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8END OF HALF
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:5668% → 68%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
68.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 5 yds to the UGA 20Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
67.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 4 yds to the UGA 24Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+6
67.1%
Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
67.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 11 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
68.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 5 yds to the UGA 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-6
67.5%
Carson Beck sacked by Stone Blanton for a loss of 6 yards to the UGA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4068% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 5 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
68.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+36
68.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 36 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
71.3%
Kendall Milton run for 15 yds to the SC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
71.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the SC 7Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
79.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1624% → 24%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
75.7%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 8Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-4
75.9%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 4Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 14
OWN 4
0
76.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 14
OWN 4
0
76.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the SC 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:2077% → 85%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
77.4%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
77.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 12 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
77.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
78.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+6
77.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 6 yds to the SC 28Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+3
76.2%
Carson Beck run for 3 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
78.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 8 yds to the SC 17Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+14
78.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 14 yds to the SC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.3%
Dillon Bell run for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:1018% → 19%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
81.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 23 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
79.3%
Dakereon Joyner run for 7 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+11
78.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 11 yds to the UGA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
78.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
78.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 3 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-8
79.3%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the UGA 39Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 15
OPP 39
-5
82.3%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay Of Game (Debo Williams) to the UGA 44Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 20
OPP 44
0
80.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 33 yds, downed at the UGA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:4581% → 79%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
80.6%
Roderick Robinson II run for 1 yd to the UGA 12Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+7
80.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 7 yds to the UGA 19Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+5
79.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 5 yds to the UGA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
80.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 4 yds to the UGA 28Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
81.0%
Brock Bowers run for 1 yd to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+16
80.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 16 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+32
82.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 32 yds to the SC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
82.0%
Cash Jones run for 7 yds to the SC 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
81.9%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the SC 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 16
-4
80.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the SC 10 Georgia Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tate Ratledge) to the SC 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
80.1%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
79.4%
Peyton Woodring 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4622% → 20%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.5%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 25Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
78.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
80.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:4981% → 92%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
81.3%
Dillon Bell run for 8 yds to the UGA 47Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
82.5%
Dillon Bell run for 4 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
82.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
82.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
82.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
83.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 7 yds to the SC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
83.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 13 yds to the SC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
91.9%
Cash Jones run for 13 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:278% → 6%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
92.1%
Spencer Rattler run for 13 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
90.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 13 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
89.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
90.2%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Nick Gargiulo) to the SC 46Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
92.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 15
OWN 46
0
93.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
93.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4494% → 95%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
94.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 5 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
94.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-2
95.2%
Dillon Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 40Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
94.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18INT
11 plays · 39 yds · 1:584% → 4%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
95.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
95.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+13
96.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 13 yds to the SC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
95.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
95.8%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Sidney Fugar) to the SC 15Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+41
95.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 41 yds to the UGA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
94.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-10
94.4%
RATTLER, Spencer pass to the left complete for 22 yards to SIMON, Joshua caught at the UGA37 and advanced to the UGA22 (DUMAS-JOHNSON, Jamon), out of bounds. PENALTY USC Holding on MOORE, Jakai enforced 10 yards from the UGA44 to the USC46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 20
OWN 46
0
95.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 20
OWN 46
0
95.6%
Spencer Rattler pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:2895% → 97%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
94.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 17 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
95.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the UGA 44Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
96.0%
Dillon Bell run for 2 yds to the UGA 46Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
96.0%
Dillon Bell run for 2 yds to the UGA 48Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-5
95.7%
Georgia Penalty, False Start (Earnest Greene III) to the UGA 43Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
96.6%
Brett Thorson punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:153% → 3%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
97.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
97.0%
RATTLER, Spencer pass short to the left complete for 10 yards to JOYNER, Dakereon caught at the USC14 and advanced to the USC23 (STARKS, Malaki). PENALTY USC Holding declined USC Chop Block on FUGAR, Sidney enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the USC13 to the USC7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 16
OWN 7
0
97.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 16
OWN 7
+8
97.3%
Spencer Rattler run for 8 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 8
OWN 15
+9
97.2%
Spencer Rattler run for 9 yds to the SC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.9%
Spencer Rattler pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.1%
[NH] Kneel down by BECK, Carson at USC39 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:00
Dakereon Joyner run for 2 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-10.1
TD · Q3 12:20
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q4 9:10
Cash Jones run for 13 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com