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UTEP

UTEP 10 at Arizona 31

ARIZ
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:34 · DJ Williams run for 9 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 18 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +1.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:35: Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 12 — UTEP win probability +1.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:23: Michael Wiley run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +5.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 8:59: Tyler Loop 38 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +2.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:42: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +3.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 12:20ARIZ 4th & 5 at UTEP 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:30UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:37UTEP 4th & 4 at ARIZ 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:17UTEP 4th & 7 at ARIZ 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:03ARIZ 4th & 6 at UTEP 28, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:13UTEP 4th & 4 at ARIZ 7, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:26UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:34UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:59ARIZ 4th & 9 at UTEP 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:00UTEP 4th & 19 at UTEP 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−2.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:22UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:49ARIZ 4th & 8 at UTEP 41, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:18UTEP 4th & 10 at ARIZ 37, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:53ARIZ 4th & 4 at ARIZ 43, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 14:53ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:23ARIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:42ARIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:19ARIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:32UTEP Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:3592% → 91%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
91.8%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+15
91.7%
UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Tevita Tafuna) to the ARIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
91.6%
WILEY, Michael rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the UTE48 (NEAL, James), clock 13:58. PENALTY ARI Holding on MORGAN, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the ARI47 to the ARI37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+4
91.5%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 16
OWN 41
0
91.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+11
91.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 11 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
91.2%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:469% → 10%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
91.1%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 9Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+14
91.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Zach Fryar for 14 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
90.8%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
90.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 4 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+11
90.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
90.1%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-5
89.9%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 16
OWN 33
0
89.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+15
90.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 15 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
89.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:3690% → 89%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
89.7%
Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 14Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 4
OWN 14
0
89.6%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the ARIZ 14Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+6
89.2%
Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
89.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
89.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 7 yds Tetairoa McMillan fumbled, recovered by UTEP Tyrice Knight for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0612% → 12%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
88.4%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
88.1%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-3
87.8%
Mike Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
87.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 38 yds, downed at the ARIZ 8Similar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-13
88.3%
(02:31) QB Keeper DE LAURA, Jayden rush up the middle for a gain of 13 yards to the ARI21 (BROUSSARD, McKel), clock 02:24. PENALTY ARI Holding on MOE, Wendell enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the ARI8 to the ARI4 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:0988% → 90%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+28
88.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 28 yds to the ARIZ 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
88.1%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
88.3%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+28
87.8%
Jayden de Laura run for 28 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
88.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
88.4%
Michael Wiley run for 17 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
90.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 18 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:3511% → 11%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.5%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
89.1%
Deion Hankins run for 14 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-13
88.6%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Jacob Manu for a loss of 13 yards to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 23
OWN 35
+16
89.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 16 yds to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
88.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
89.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:1089% → 89%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
89.2%
Rayshon Luke run for 14 yds to the ARIZ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
89.3%
Rayshon Luke run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+37
89.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 37 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
90.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
89.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
89.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+45
89.2%
Tyler Loop 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:0211% → 14%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
88.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Zach Fryar for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
88.9%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+51
88.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 51 yds to the ARIZ 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
87.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 12Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
86.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+5
87.6%
(05:50) HARDISON, Gavin pass short to the left complete for 8 yards to FRANKLIN, Mike caught at the ARI9 and advanced to the ARI4 (DAVIS, Tacario), clock 05:42. PENALTY ARI Offsides on UIAGALELEI, Ta'ita'i enforced 5 yards from the ARI12 to the ARI7 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
87.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
86.2%
Buzz Flabiano 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:4586% → 92%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
86.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the ARIZ 35Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
86.6%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
86.6%
Jayden de Laura run for 15 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
87.0%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
86.7%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+6
86.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 6 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
86.7%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+21
86.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 21 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
86.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 8 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
91.9%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:569% → 8%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.3%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+20
90.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jostein Clarke for 20 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
90.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
90.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
90.2%
UTEP Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Gavin Hardison) to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
91.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:2191% → 91%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
91.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 16 yds to the ARIZ 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
91.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 3 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+13
91.0%
Michael Wiley run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
91.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
91.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 10 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2310% → 10%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.9%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Tyler Manoa for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+11
90.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 11 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 4:3390% → 93%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.3%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 29Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
90.3%
DJ Williams run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
90.7%
DJ Williams run for 14 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
91.0%
UTEP Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Tevita Tafuna) to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
91.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 4 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
90.9%
Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-5
90.7%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Tyrice Knight for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
92.7%
Tyler Loop 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:598% → 8%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.2%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+20
91.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
50
+1
91.0%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
91.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-10
91.4%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (Zuri Henry) to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 19
OWN 41
0
92.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 19
OWN 41
0
92.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 3:1494% → 98%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+59
93.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 59 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
94.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 7 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-5
94.4%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Maurice Westmoreland for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+15
94.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 15 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
94.5%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:172% → 2%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:2798% → 99%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
98.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
98.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Rayshon Luke for 15 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.7%
Arizona Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jayden de Laura) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 17
50
+6
98.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+3
99.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Jayden de Laura punt for 31 yds, downed at the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:501% → 1%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
98.6%
Mike Franklin run for 5 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
98.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+6
98.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 6 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
98.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+9
98.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 8 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+8
98.9%
Mike Franklin run for 8 yds to the UTEP 26 Mike Franklin fumbled, recovered by ARIZ Gunner MaldonadoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:2599% → 100%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
99.3%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+26
99.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 26 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 4 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
99.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 38 yds to the ARIZ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-2
99.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 39Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
99.9%
Noah Fifita sacked by Bryton Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+10
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
Arizona Penalty, False Start (Wendell Moe) to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kevin Green Jr. for 5 yds to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:070% → 1%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kevin Hurley run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Arizona Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jacob Kongaika) to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Ezell Jolly run for 4 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Kevin Hurley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+10
99.9%
Kevin Hurley pass complete to Emari White for 10 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
99.9%
Kevin Hurley pass complete to Ezell Jolly for 20 yds to the ARIZ 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.2%
Kevin Hurley pass complete to Javoni Gardere for 25 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
DJ Williams run for 4 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
99.8%
DJ Williams run for 5 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+9
99.8%
DJ Williams run for 9 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:23
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q3 2:42
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
+3.8
FG · Q3 8:59
Tyler Loop 38 yd FG GOOD
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com