Try the model
WIS

Wisconsin 22 at Washington State 31

WSU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:57 · Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DT Sheffield at the WSU 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Home team on offense+1.6Pregame prior−2.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:10: Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:08: Brennan Jackson 2 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:15: Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +13.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:25: Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WIS win probability +22.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:30: Nakia Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +17.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:13WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:32WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:36WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:07WIS 4th & 14 at WSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:17WIS 4th & 6 at WSU 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:14WSU 4th & 15 at WIS 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:49WSU 4th & 21 at WIS 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−1.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    62.8%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21WIS 4th & 8 at WSU 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−2.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−7.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:54WIS 4th & 7 at WSU 42, down 15
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    22.9%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:15WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 7, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:33WSU 4th & 9 at WIS 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:02WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 24, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−4.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:57WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 48, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:45WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 3, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−12.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:34WIS 4th & 6 at WSU 46, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−1.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 14:10WSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:08WSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:15WIS Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:25WIS Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    44.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:30WSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:2339% → 40%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
39.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 12 yds to the WSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
39.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 19Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 13
OWN 19
0
39.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+12
39.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 12 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+3
39.6%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
39.9%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
40.0%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the WSU 36Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
40.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
40.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2460% → 59%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
40.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 4 yds to the WIS 19Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-1
40.5%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 18Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+3
40.9%
Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds to the WIS 21Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
41.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DT Sheffield at the WSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:5241% → 45%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
41.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-5
41.7%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WSU 39Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+6
41.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 6 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+8
42.1%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 8 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
45.4%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Cooper MathersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:2546% → 47%
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+38
45.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 38 yds to the WIS 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
46.9%
Cameron Ward run for 7 yds to the WIS 2Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
47.1%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 4Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
47.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-15
47.3%
Washington State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the WSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FG
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:2755% → 53%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
45.1%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 35Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+14
45.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 14 yds to the WIS 49Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+1
45.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
50
+10
45.4%
Tanner Mordecai run for 10 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
45.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
45.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+6
46.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 6 yds to the WSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
46.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
46.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WSU 25Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-6
47.4%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Kyle Thornton for a loss of 6 yards to the WSU 31Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+49
47.0%
Nathanial Vakos 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 1:3146% → 55%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
46.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 18 yds to the WSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
46.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 7 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+22
47.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 22 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
48.3%
Lincoln Victor pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 39 yds to the WIS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:3346% → 46%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
53.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 3 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
54.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 7 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
54.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for no gain to the WIS 39Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+41
55.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 41 yds to the WSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
54.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
54.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 4 yds to the WSU 16Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
55.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to C.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
54.1%
Nathanial Vakos 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:5955% → 60%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 9 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
55.8%
Cameron Ward run for 3 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
56.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Andre Dollar for 17 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
58.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 22 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
58.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
59.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-5
57.8%
Cameron Ward sacked by James Thompson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the WIS 29Similar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+46
59.5%
Dean Janikowski 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0239% → 39%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
60.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
61.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 6 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
61.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-7
61.5%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the WIS 33 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, recovered by WSU Brennan Jackson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:4165% → 64%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
64.6%
DT Sheffield run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 36Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+2
65.4%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 11
OPP 34
-10
65.3%
Cameron Ward sacked by Jake Chaney for a loss of 10 yards to the WIS 44Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 21
OPP 44
0
64.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 38 yds, downed at the WIS 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:2532% → 24%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
67.8%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the WIS 11Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
67.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+2
76.0%
Brennan Jackson 2 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 1:3225% → 31%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
75.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 11 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
75.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 10 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+27
75.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 27 yds to the WSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
72.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 14 yds to the WSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
72.2%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WSU 18Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+7
73.7%
Tanner Mordecai run for 7 yds to the WSU 11Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
72.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
72.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
69.2%
Nathanial Vakos 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
74.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 4:0126% → 23%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the WIS 26Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
74.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 17 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
73.6%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 38Similar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+10
75.0%
Washington State Penalty, Delay of Game (10 Yards) to the WIS 48Similar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 5
OWN 48
+4
72.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
72.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
73.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
73.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Tucker AshcraftSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
74.9%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
75.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for no gain to the WSU 42Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
77.0%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, downed at the WSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3280% → 79%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
79.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
80.0%
Cameron Ward run for 6 yds to the WSU 7Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
79.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 4
OWN 7
+12
78.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 40 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 12 yds to the WSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:4425% → 34%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
75.4%
Mordecai, Tanner pass complete to Green, Bryson for 20 yards to the WASHST15, PENALTY WISCONSIN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the WASHST40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+12
77.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 3
OPP 28
-1
75.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 29Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+13
77.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 13 yds to the WSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
76.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the WSU 7Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+5
77.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 5 yds to the WSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
80.1%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the WSU 2Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:2676% → 80%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
76.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 11 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
78.8%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
80.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 5 yds to the WSU 47Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
80.3%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
81.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to DT Sheffield for 7 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
82.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-1
81.8%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 43Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-5
80.8%
Washington State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WIS 48Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
80.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4522% → 49%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
77.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 7 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
77.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+41
77.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 41 yds to the WSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
73.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 10 yds to the WSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
50.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0860% → 58%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.4%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the WSU 27Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
61.2%
Cameron Ward sacked by Maema Njongmeta for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 24Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
58.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
57.9%
Nick Haberer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:4843% → 40%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
57.1%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the WIS 41Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
54.2%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
55.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
57.0%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
56.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
60.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DT Sheffield at the WSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:4264% → 61%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
63.7%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 10Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-9
63.5%
Cameron Ward sacked by James Thompson Jr. and C.J. Goetz for a loss of 9 yards to the WSU 1Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 20
OWN 1
+4
61.7%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WSU 5Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 16
OWN 5
-2
61.2%
Washington State Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-2 Yards) to the WSU 3Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 18
OWN 3
+11
61.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds , Chimere Dike returns for 11 yds to the WSU 14 Wisconsin Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2044% → 44%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
55.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
56.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the WSU 43 Chez Mellusi fumbled, recovered by WSU Jackson LataimuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:3969% → 93%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
68.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
69.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-2
68.5%
Cameron Ward run for 3 yds to the WIS 48 Washington State Penalty, Assisting the Runner (-5 Yards) to the WSU 47Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+8
68.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
70.8%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the WIS 49Similar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 14
OPP 49
+2
69.5%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+23
69.6%
Cameron Ward run for 23 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
73.3%
John Mateer run for 9 yds to the WIS 15Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
77.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+14
75.8%
Cameron Ward run for 14 yds to the WIS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.1%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:538% → 9%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 6 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
91.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
50
0
90.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
50
+4
90.1%
Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the WSU 46Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
90.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
91.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25END OF GAME
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:5795% → 97%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
94.5%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
94.7%
Cameron Ward run for 1 yd to the WSU 49Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+9
96.1%
Nakia Watson run for 9 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
96.4%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
96.5%
Cameron Ward run for 1 yd to the WIS 36Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
96.6%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the WIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 31Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 11
OPP 31
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:25
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-22.8
TD · Q4 5:30
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
+17.3
TD · Q3 6:15
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com