Try the model
VAN

Vanderbilt 20 at Wake Forest 36

WAKE
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:29 · Matthew Hayball punt for 48 yds, downed at the WAKE 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior+23.0Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:03: AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — VAN win probability +6.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:22: Tate Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +6.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:42: AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 10 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — VAN win probability +12.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 45%).
  4. TD · Q2 0:50: Brendon Harris 31 Yd Fumble Return (Matthew Dennis Kick) — WAKE win probability +11.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 12:36: Matthew Dennis 44 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +4.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:50WAKE 4th & 6 at VAN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:29VAN 4th & 5 at WAKE 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:56WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:05VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:36WAKE 4th & 7 at VAN 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:24VAN 4th & 1 at WAKE 1, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:54VAN 4th & 4 at midfield, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.5%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:24WAKE 4th & 2 at VAN 2, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:06VAN 4th & 13 at VAN 37, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 12:55WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:03VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:22WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:42VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:50WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:39WAKE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:08VAN Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:3024% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.6%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the VAN 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
75.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Justin Ball for 3 yds to the VAN 31Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
75.3%
AJ Swann pass intercepted by Malik Mustapha at the WFU 40, return for 50 yds to the VAN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4076% → 75%
Q1 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
75.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the VAN 6Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
75.5%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
75.4%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+25
75.4%
Matthew Dennis 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 4:2125% → 25%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
75.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 33Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
75.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
75.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VAN 41Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
75.2%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
75.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Justin Ball for 5 yds to the VAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
75.2%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
75.2%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
75.2%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the WAKE 49Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
74.7%
Matthew Hayball punt for 48 yds, downed at the WAKE 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:3374% → 74%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
74.4%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+4
74.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 5Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+14
73.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 14 yds to the WAKE 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
74.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 12 yds to the WAKE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
74.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the WAKE 37Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
74.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the WAKE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
74.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 46Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
74.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 2
50
+1
74.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the VAN 49Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-5
74.5%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 46Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
73.5%
Ivan Mora punt for 42 yds, Will Sheppard return for -2 yds to the VAN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:1126% → 26%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
74.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for no gain to the VAN 10Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
74.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds to the VAN 18Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+6
74.6%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VAN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
74.2%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-5
74.2%
Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Grayson Morgan) to the VAN 19Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
74.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the VAN 19Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 15
OWN 19
0
74.7%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
74.5%
Matthew Hayball punt for 63 yds, Taylor Morin return for 2 yds to the WFU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:1073% → 77%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
73.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 17 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
73.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 11 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
74.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 13 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
74.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the VAN 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+16
74.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 16 yds to the VAN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
74.5%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 10 yds to the VAN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
74.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the VAN 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
74.5%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.4%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:4622% → 30%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 2 yds to the VAN 27Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
77.9%
Patrick Smith run for 9 yds to the VAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+50
77.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 50 yds to the WAKE 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
76.0%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the WAKE 11Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
69.8%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 6:4172% → 82%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.0%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
72.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 8 yds to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
72.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 4 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
73.2%
Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-5
72.7%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 37Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
71.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 15 yds to the VAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
73.7%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-8
73.5%
Mitch Griffis sacked by CJ Taylor for a loss of 8 yards to the WAKE 44Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 18
OWN 44
+15
71.6%
GRIFFIS, Mitch pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MERRILL, Walker thrown to the VAN25. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on ANDERSON, BJ enforced 15 yards to the VAN41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
73.7%
Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the VAN 35Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
74.1%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the VAN 33Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+7
73.4%
Tate Carney run for 7 yds to the VAN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
74.6%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 11 yds to the VAN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
75.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Cameron Hite for 2 yds to the VAN 13Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
75.9%
Tate Carney run for 5 yds to the VAN 8Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+6
75.0%
GRIFFIS, Mitch pass to the right incomplete intended for BANKS, Jahmal thrown to the VAN0. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on ANDERSON, BJ enforced 6 yards to the VAN2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.1%
CARNEY, Tate rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the VAN1 (AGU, Darren;LEE, Devin). PENALTY Before the snap, VAN Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the VAN2 to the VAN1. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.2%
Tate Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:4019% → 32%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
81.1%
Logan Kyle run for 12 yds to the VAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+48
80.7%
AJ Swann pass complete to London Humphreys for 48 yds to the WAKE 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
68.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 10 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5272% → 83%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.0%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
71.6%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+31
82.7%
Brendon Harris 31 Yd Fumble Return (Matthew Dennis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:3418% → 19%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the VAN 31Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
81.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 6 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
81.5%
AJ Swann pass complete to Justin Ball for 2 yds to the VAN 39Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
80.9%
AJ Swann pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12MISSED FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0783% → 84%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
83.0%
Mitch Griffis run for 10 yds to the VAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
83.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the VAN 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+44
83.9%
Matthew Dennis 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:1881% → 86%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
81.1%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 19Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
80.9%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+18
80.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 18 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+34
81.6%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 34 yds to the VAN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
82.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the VAN 26Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
82.5%
Mitch Griffis run for no gain to the VAN 26Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
81.8%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
86.4%
Matthew Dennis 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:1215% → 14%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
85.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to London Humphreys for 18 yds to the VAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
84.5%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 14 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+40
83.7%
Patrick Smith run for 40 yds to the WAKE 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
82.5%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the WAKE 1Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.5%
AJ Swann run for no gain to the WAKE 1Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the WAKE 1Similar
Q3 9:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the WAKE 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15FUMBLE
9 plays · 98 yds · 4:3688% → 92%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
87.9%
Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the WAKE 4Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+4
87.9%
Mitch Griffis run for 4 yds to the WAKE 8Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+6
87.3%
Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the WAKE 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
88.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 1 yd to the WAKE 15Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+8
87.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 8 yds to the WAKE 23Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+1
87.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+74
88.1%
Tate Carney run for 74 yds to the VAN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
91.7%
Tate Carney run for 1 yd to the VAN 1 Tate Carney fumbled, recovered by VAN De'Rickey WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:5410% → 8%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
90.3%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+7
90.4%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 7 yds to the VAN 8Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+5
90.5%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 5 yds to the VAN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
89.8%
AJ Swann pass complete to Justin Ball for 7 yds to the VAN 20Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+10
89.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 10 yds to the VAN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
89.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 31Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+13
89.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 13 yds to the VAN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
88.8%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
89.0%
Patrick Smith run for 9 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-3
91.1%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 4
50
0
91.6%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:1594% → 98%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
50
+15
94.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 15 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
94.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the VAN 32Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-15
94.1%
Wake Forest Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the VAN 47Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 22
OPP 47
+17
93.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 17 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+6
94.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the VAN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
94.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the VAN 21Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-3
94.1%
Mitch Griffis sacked by CJ Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 24Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+24
98.2%
Ke'Shawn Williams 24 Yd pass from Mitch Griffis (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:313% → 6%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
96.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 21 yds to the VAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
96.4%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 10 yds to the WAKE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
96.3%
AJ Swann sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the WAKE 49Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+13
96.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to London Humphreys for 13 yds to the WAKE 36Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
96.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 6 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.0%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
93.9%
London Humphreys 30 Yd pass from AJ Swann (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 6:4495% → 98%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
95.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 17 yds to the WAKE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
95.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 11 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
95.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 14 yds to the VAN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
95.8%
Mitch Griffis run for 2 yds to the VAN 31Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+15
95.8%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Personal Foul (Trudell Berry) to the VAN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
95.8%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the VAN 14Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
95.8%
Tate Carney run for 5 yds to the VAN 9Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+4
95.7%
Mitch Griffis run for 4 yds to the VAN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
95.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the VAN 2Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.8%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the VAN 2Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.0%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the VAN 2Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
98.3%
Matthew Dennis 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:132% → 1%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
98.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 5 yds to the VAN 27Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
97.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to Logan Kyle for 4 yds to the VAN 31Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+9
97.8%
Patrick Smith run for 9 yds to the VAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.8%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-3
99.2%
AJ Swann sacked by Jacob Roberts for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 37Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
99.2%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
99.2%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:0699% → 99%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
98.8%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-2
98.9%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:42
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 10 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q2 0:50
Brendon Harris 31 Yd Fumble Return (Matthew Dennis Kick)
+11.1
TD · Q2 10:03
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com