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PUR

Purdue 24 at Virginia Tech 17

VT
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.3VT 45.6%John Love 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 10 · Q2 2:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:51 · John Love 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Home team on offense−5.5Pregame prior+5.6Garbage-time factor−2.3Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:39: Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 21 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK) — PUR win probability +11.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:54: Grant Wells pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 30 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +5.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:10: Grant Wells pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 2 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +14.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:00: Hudson Card run for 2 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK) — PUR win probability +33.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:53: Grant Wells pass incomplete — VT win probability +10.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:27VT 4th & 18 at VT 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:31PUR 4th & 20 at PUR 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:14VT 4th & 6 at VT 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:03PUR 4th & 7 at VT 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:34VT 4th & 1 at VT 39, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:31PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:54VT 4th & 4 at PUR 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    34.0%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:18PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.3%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:51VT 4th & 15 at PUR 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:29PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:19PUR 4th & 7 at VT 37, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−0.8
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:05VT 4th & 22 at VT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−4.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:28PUR 4th & 2 at VT 47, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:28VT 4th & 9 at PUR 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:48PUR 4th & 8 at VT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:31VT 4th & 25 at VT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−7.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:05VT 4th & 25 at VT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−3.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:30PUR 4th & 8 at VT 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−0.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:23VT 4th & 10 at PUR 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−3.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:26PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:39PUR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:54VT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:10VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:00PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3440% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
60.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 8 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
60.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
60.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
60.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+9
60.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 9 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
60.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 27 yds to the VT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
60.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the VT 15Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
58.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 15 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5959% → 58%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.2%
(11:26) WELLS, Grant pass short to the right incomplete intended for LANE, Jaylin thrown to the VT29; QB hurried by ALLEN, Cam. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on ALLEN, Cam enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the VT32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
59.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 21 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
59.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 13
50
-5
59.2%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Illegal Snap on MOORE, Kaden enforced (-5 Yards) to the VT 45Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 18
OWN 45
0
59.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the VT 45Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 18
OWN 45
0
58.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 18
OWN 45
0
58.1%
Peter Moore punt for 51 yds, downed at the PUR 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:4442% → 44%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
58.3%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the PUR 9Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+2
58.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 2 yds to the PUR 11Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+9
58.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 9 yds to the PUR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
58.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 16 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
58.0%
Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
57.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 8 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
57.8%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
55.8%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the VT 49Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-5
55.8%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 46Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 12
OWN 46
-8
56.3%
Hudson Card sacked by Alan Tisdale for a loss of 8 yards to the PUR 38Similar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 20
OWN 38
0
56.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kyle Lowe at the VT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1756% → 55%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.2%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the VT 27Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
56.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 13 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
56.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jaylin Lane for no gain to the VT 40Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-5
57.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 5 yards to the VT 44 Bhayshul Tuten fumbled, recovered by VT Stephen GosnellSimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
56.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 9 yds to the VT 49Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
54.7%
Peter Moore punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:1146% → 49%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
54.3%
Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+14
54.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Dylan Downing for 14 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
53.6%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 9
50
+11
53.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 11 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
52.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
52.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the VT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
51.9%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+5
52.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the VT 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
52.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for no gain to the VT 26Similar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
51.4%
Ben Freehill 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
49.9%
Grant Wells pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:0750% → 61%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
50.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
39.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 21 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5542% → 41%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
42.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
42.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 5 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
43.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 2 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
41.0%
Peter Moore punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0363% → 64%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
37.2%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the PUR 11Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+4
37.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 15Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+2
37.7%
Hudson Card run for 2 yds to the PUR 17Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
35.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 50 yds, downed at the VT 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:3738% → 45%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
38.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 14 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
39.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 44Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+20
38.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 20 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
39.8%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
39.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 6 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
39.9%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the PUR 30Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+30
45.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 30 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3655% → 56%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 5 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
45.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 4 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
44.4%
Hudson Card run for no gain to the PUR 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:2747% → 46%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
47.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 15 yds to the PUR 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
46.7%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (Stephen Gosnell) to the PUR 24Similar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
46.2%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
45.9%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 15
OPP 24
0
44.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 15
OPP 24
+41
45.6%
John Love 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2256% → 56%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
44.1%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 21Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
44.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 8 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
42.4%
Hudson Card run for 1 yd to the PUR 30Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
43.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 1:0945% → 63%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
44.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 18 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST down Purdue Penalty, Roughing the Passer on M'BA, Jeffrey enforced (Jeffrey M'Ba) to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
48.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 13 yds to the PUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-7
49.7%
Grant Wells sacked by Isaiah Nichols for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 17
OPP 31
+6
47.8%
Grant Wells run for 6 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+20
47.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 20 yds to the PUR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
49.4%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
49.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 2 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3160% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
60.2%
Grant Wells pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1047% → 45%
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
53.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-3
51.9%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 37Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
53.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
55.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0460% → 57%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
59.8%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
59.7%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+22
58.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 22 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
62.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 43Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
62.1%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-13
60.1%
Grant Wells sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 13 yards to the VT 30Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 22
OWN 30
0
56.7%
Peter Moore punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:3744% → 45%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
55.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 27Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+18
56.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 18 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
53.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
54.4%
Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+4
53.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 4 yds to the VT 47Similar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
54.6%
Jack Ansell punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:0059% → 59%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
58.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 9 yds to the VT 17Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+3
59.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+39
59.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 39 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
63.4%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
63.2%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the PUR 40Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
62.3%
Grant Wells run for no gain to the PUR 40Similar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
59.1%
Peter Moore punt for 35 yds, downed at the PUR 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21MISSED FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:4044% → 46%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
56.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 10Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+9
55.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the PUR 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
55.2%
(04:46) CARD, Hudson pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BURKS, Deion thrown to the VT26, clock 04:28. PENALTY PUR Face mask on KALTENBERGER, Josh enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the PUR19 to the PUR10 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+9
55.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the PUR 19Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
55.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 10 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+36
54.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 36 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-8
49.5%
Hudson Card sacked by C.J. McCray and Keli Lawson for a loss of 8 yards to the VT 43Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+4
52.9%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+6
54.2%
Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the VT 33Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
54.3%
Ben Freehill 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1761% → 57%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
60.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+14
59.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 14 yds to the VT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
63.5%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the VT 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 29
0
59.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 25
OWN 29
0
57.7%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 25
OWN 29
0
57.0%
Peter Moore punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 6:3145% → 82%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
55.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 8 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+4
52.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
53.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
53.2%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the PUR 43Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+12
52.3%
Hudson Card run for 12 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
50.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the VT 40Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
50.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
51.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
48.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 22 yds to the VT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
48.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 3 yds to the VT 10Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-4
48.6%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 4 yards to the VT 14Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+12
50.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 12 yds to the VT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
17.7%
Hudson Card run for 2 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:4829% → 21%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
28.6%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
28.5%
Malachi Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 33Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-13
26.6%
Grant Wells sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 13 yards to the VT 20Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 25
OWN 20
0
21.0%
Peter Moore punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:3582% → 88%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
17.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
15.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+26
16.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 26 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
13.5%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the VT 36Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
13.4%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-2
13.5%
Hudson Card run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 34Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 3
OPP 34
-5
16.3%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 39Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
12.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 1:0719% → 16%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+26
18.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 26 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.5%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
20.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Tucker Holloway for 6 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+4
17.9%
DRONES, Kyron pass short up the middle incomplete intended for GOSNELL, Benji thrown to the VT45, clock 01:54. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on KANE, Sanoussi enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the VT45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
18.5%
Kyron Drones run for 13 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
21.1%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
19.8%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
17.6%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
15.5%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:1690% → 96%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
9.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.3%
(01:02) Kneel down by CARD, Hudson at VT37 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 12
OPP 37
0
4.6%
(01:00) Kneel down by CARD, Hudson at VT39 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+20
4.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 20 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 39
0
4.4%
[NH] Kneel down by CARD, Hudson at VT40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:00
Hudson Card run for 2 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)
-33.2
TD · Q2 0:10
Grant Wells pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 2 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
+14.1
TD · Q2 12:39
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 21 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)
-11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com