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DEL

Delaware 7 at Penn State 63

PSU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadDEL aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreDEL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:26 · Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 4 yds to the DEL 15 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+47.1Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.3Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:16: Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — DEL win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:05: Marcus Yarns run for 66 yds for a TD (Alex Schmoke KICK) — DEL win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:50: Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — PSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:36: Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — PSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:22: Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — PSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5DEL made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 14:09DEL 4th & 4 at DEL 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:26DEL 4th & 17 at DEL 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:26PSU 4th & 3 at DEL 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:49DEL 4th & 20 at DEL 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:30DEL 4th & 6 at DEL 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:44PSU 4th & 6 at PSU 46, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:14DEL 4th & 6 at DEL 11, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:41PSU 4th & 3 at DEL 24, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:27DEL 4th & 11 at DEL 24, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:10PSU 4th & 13 at PSU 36, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:49DEL 4th & 13 at PSU 29, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:49PSU 4th & 1 at DEL 22, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:08DEL 4th & 2 at DEL 33, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9DEL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:19PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:16PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:05DEL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:50PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:36PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:22PSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:48PSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:16PSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:43PSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:35PSU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DELDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Ryan O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
Marcus Yarns run for 6 yds to the DEL 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Ryan O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:09
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Ryan Kost punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:5099% → 99%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 8 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
99.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the DEL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.1%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the DEL 46Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.1%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+17
99.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 17 yds to the DEL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the DEL 24 Kaytron Allen fumbled, recovered by PSU Kaytron AllenSimilar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+6
99.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 6 yds to the DEL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the DEL 14Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+3
99.1%
Drew Allar run for 3 yds to the DEL 11Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+1
98.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 11 yds Penn State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the DEL 16Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+12
98.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 12 yds to the DEL 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the DEL 2Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:531% → 1%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Ryan O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Ryan O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.8%
Ryan O'Connor sacked by Jaylen Reed for a loss of 7 yards to the DEL 18Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
98.8%
Ryan Kost punt for 19 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 37 yds · 5:1099% → 99%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
98.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 9 yds to the DEL 28Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
98.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the DEL 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
98.8%
ALLEN, Kaytron rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the DEL25 (WARE, Nic). PENALTY PSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the DEL26 to the DEL36 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+7
98.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Malik McClain for 7 yds to the DEL 29Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+2
98.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 2 yds to the DEL 27Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+8
98.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 8 yds to the DEL 19Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+4
98.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 4 yds to the DEL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the DEL 9Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+5
98.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the DEL 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:111% → 2%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Marcus Yarns run for 3 yds to the DEL 28Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.6%
Ryan O'Connor pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 6 yds to the DEL 34Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
98.1%
Marcus Yarns run for 66 yds for a TD (Alex Schmoke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1598% → 98%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the PSU 34Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
98.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
98.1%
Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
98.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
98.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the DEL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
98.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 19 yds to the DEL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
98.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the DEL 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+18
98.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 18 yds to the DEL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:012% → 2%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
Kyron Cumby run for 3 yds to the DEL 28Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
98.2%
Zach Marker pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 4 yds to the DEL 32Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.2%
Zach Marker run for 2 yds to the DEL 34Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
98.2%
KOST, Ryan punt 59 yards to the PSU7, SAUNDERS, Kaden returned 6 yards to the PSU13 (COSTELLO, Kaelin;DAWSEY, Khalil). PENALTY PSU Offsides enforced 6 yards from the DEL34 to the DEL40 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-9
98.1%
Zach Marker run for a loss of 9 yards to the DEL 31 Zach Marker fumbled, recovered by DEL Zach MarkerSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 19
OWN 31
-1
98.2%
Kyron Cumby run for a loss of 1 yard to the DEL 30Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 20
OWN 30
0
98.2%
Zach Marker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
98.0%
Ryan Kost punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 8END OF HALF
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by O'CONNOR, Ryan at DEL23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 4:1398% → 99%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
98.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 31Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
98.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 7 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
98.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
98.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+7
98.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds to the DEL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
98.5%
Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the DEL 42Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+6
98.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the DEL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+26
98.5%
Delaware Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Pierce) to the DEL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
98.9%
Ryan O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
98.9%
Ryan O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+9
98.9%
Ryan O'Connor pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 9 yds to the DEL 18Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 1
OWN 18
-5
98.9%
Delaware Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jackson Taylor) to the DEL 13Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
98.9%
Ryan Kost punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4699% → 99%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 33Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+9
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 9 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Riley Thompson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jourdan Townsend at the DEL 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:251% → 1%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
98.9%
Marcus Yarns run for 1 yd to the DEL 8Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+3
98.9%
Marcus Yarns run for 3 yds to the DEL 11Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
98.9%
Ryan O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
98.9%
Ryan Kost punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:5299% → 100%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
99.1%
Drew Allar run for 13 yds to the DEL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 16 yds to the DEL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
99.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 15 yds to the DEL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for no gain to the DEL 5Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.0%
ALLAR, Drew pass short up the middle incomplete intended for WALLACE III, Harrison thrown to the DEL0. PENALTY DEL Pass Interference on DAWSEY, Khalil enforced 3 yards to the DEL2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:06100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+15
99.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 15 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.7%
Penn State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the PSU 39Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+3
99.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 42Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+15
99.7%
ALLAR, Drew pass to the left incomplete intended for LAMBERT-SMITH, KeAndre thrown to the PSU50. PENALTY DEL Roughing the Passer enforced 15 yards from the PSU42 to the DEL43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 8 yds to the DEL 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+12
99.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 12 yds to the DEL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
99.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 6 yds to the DEL 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+12
99.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 12 yds to the DEL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the DEL 4Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 3 yds to the DEL 1Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Drew Allar run for 1 yd for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Marcus Yarns run for 7 yds to the DEL 31 Marcus Yarns fumbled, recovered by PSU Kevin Winston Jr.Similar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.8%
Penn State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the DEL 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 15
OPP 36
-5
99.8%
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 5 yards to the DEL 41Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+10
99.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Dante Cephas for 10 yds to the DEL 31Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.8%
Beau Pribula run for 7 yds to the DEL 24Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+18
99.8%
Beau Pribula run for 18 yds to the DEL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jo'Nathan Silver run for 1 yd to the DEL 26Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Ryan O'Connor pass complete to Braden Brose for 6 yds to the DEL 32Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-8
99.9%
Ryan O'Connor sacked by Zane Durant for a loss of 8 yards to the DEL 24Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Ryan Kost punt for 46 yds , Kaden Saunders returns for no gain to the PSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 2 yds to the PSU 27Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the PSU 32Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 7 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
99.9%
Trey Potts run for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 36Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Riley Thompson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jourdan Townsend at the DEL 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 19INT TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:270% → 0%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Zach Marker pass complete to Ja'Carree Kelly for 5 yds to the DEL 25Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-26
99.9%
Dominic DeLuca 26 Yd Interception Return (Alex Felkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:540% → 0%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Saeed St. Flauer run for 3 yds to the DEL 28Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Saeed St. Flauer run for 2 yds to the DEL 30Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
MARKER, Zach pass to the left incomplete intended for COLLINS, James thrown to the DEL38. PENALTY PSU Holding enforced 9 yards from the DEL30 to the DEL39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Zach Marker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
99.9%
Jo'Nathan Silver run for 14 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
99.9%
Zach Marker sacked by Jameial Lyons for a loss of 4 yards to the DEL 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 49
-3
100.0%
Jo'Nathan Silver run for a loss of 3 yards to the DEL 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+28
100.0%
Zach Marker pass complete to JoJo Bermudez for 28 yds to the PSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Zach Marker run for 3 yds to the PSU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-1
99.9%
Jo'Nathan Silver run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 24Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 8
OPP 24
-5
100.0%
Zach Marker sacked by Zuriah Fisher for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 29Similar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+46
100.0%
Alex Schmoke 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:14100% → 100%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 15 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Delaware Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the PSU 49Similar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+20
100.0%
Trey Potts run for 20 yds to the DEL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
100.0%
Beau Pribula run for a loss of 3 yards to the DEL 34Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the DEL 30Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Cristian Driver for 8 yds to the DEL 22Similar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the DEL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
100.0%
Trey Potts run for 13 yds to the DEL 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Omari Evans for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
JoJo Bermudez run for 4 yds to the DEL 29Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Zach Marker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Jo'Nathan Silver run for 4 yds to the DEL 33Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Ryan Kost punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kaden Saunders at the PSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23END OF GAME
11 plays · 42 yds · 6:08100% → 100%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Tank Smith run for 4 yds to the PSU 36Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Tank Smith run for 3 yds to the PSU 39Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
Beau Pribula run for 5 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
100.0%
Tank Smith run for 9 yds to the DEL 47Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+6
100.0%
Tank Smith run for 6 yds to the DEL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
100.0%
Tank Smith run for 6 yds to the DEL 35Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
100.0%
Tank Smith run for 1 yd to the DEL 34Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+4
100.0%
Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the DEL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
100.0%
Tyler Holzworth run for 1 yd to the DEL 29Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+2
100.0%
Tyler Holzworth run for 2 yds to the DEL 27Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+1
100.0%
Tyler Holzworth run for 1 yd to the DEL 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:22
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 4:36
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 1:05
Marcus Yarns run for 66 yds for a TD (Alex Schmoke KICK)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com