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UTEP

UTEP 7 at Northwestern 38

NU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:30 · Hunter Renner punt for 54 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.3Pregame prior+7.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:08: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Zach Fryar for 4 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +1.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 24 — NU win probability +9.5 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:19: Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +14.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:03: Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +9.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:51: Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 85 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +7.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 3:22UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:30NU 4th & 10 at NU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:27UTEP 4th & 2 at NU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.8%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:03NU 4th & 10 at NU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:55NU 4th & 12 at NU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:12UTEP 4th & 19 at UTEP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−2.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:00NU 4th & 1 at NU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:17UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:45UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:32UTEP 4th & 1 at NU 9, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    -1.8%−3.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:09UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:53NU 4th & 1 at UTEP 22, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:44UTEP 4th & 1 at NU 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:08UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:46NU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:19NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:03NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:51NU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:07NU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:5241% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
59.5%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+11
59.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 11 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
59.5%
Deion Hankins run for 12 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
59.5%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+16
59.5%
Gavin Hardison run for 16 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+25
59.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 25 yds to the NU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
59.5%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the NU 4Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Zach Fryar for 4 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:2258% → 60%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
58.2%
Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+7
58.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 7 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
58.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 5 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
58.6%
A.J. Henning run for 17 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
58.7%
Cam Porter run for 9 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+3
58.7%
Ben Bryant run for 3 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
58.7%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
60.4%
Jack Lausch run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:2441% → 40%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.3%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
59.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 1 yd to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
59.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Zach Fryar for 7 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
59.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 3 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+12
59.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
50
-3
58.6%
Mike Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 13
OWN 47
0
59.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 13
OWN 47
0
59.3%
HARDISON, Gavin pass deep to the left complete for 18 yards to BALLARD, Jeremiah caught at the NU35 and advanced to the NU35, out of bounds. PENALTY TEP Illegal Touch-Pass on BALLARD, Jeremiah enforced 0 yards from the TEP47 to the TEP47, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
59.7%
punt for 32 yds, downed at the NU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5259% → 59%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
59.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the NU 26Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
59.6%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 26Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+9
59.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 9 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.6%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
59.5%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
58.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
58.7%
Hunter Renner punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:0341% → 42%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
58.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+18
58.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 18 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
58.4%
Deion Hankins run for 12 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
57.3%
Mike Franklin run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
57.3%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+5
57.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 5 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
57.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, downed at the NU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 46 yds · 3:2459% → 59%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
59.4%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
59.3%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 6Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+43
58.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 43 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
61.1%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-6
61.3%
Ben Bryant sacked by Josiah Allen and Tyrice Knight for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 45Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+4
59.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
59.0%
punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyrin Smith at the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:1642% → 44%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
57.2%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
57.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
58.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
56.3%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:5261% → 58%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
60.6%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-2
61.7%
Jack Lausch run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 42Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-6
60.2%
Ben Bryant sacked by Maurice Westmoreland for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 36Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
58.1%
Hunter Renner punt for 36 yds, downed at the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 1 yds · 3:4344% → 43%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
56.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
55.1%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+1
55.4%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
55.4%
BURGESS JR., Torrance rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the TEP44 (HOLLIS JR., Garnett;PEARSON, Reginald). PENALTY TEP Holding on KLEIN, Elijah enforced 10 yards from the TEP38 to the TEP28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+4
56.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+6
55.9%
Mike Franklin run for 6 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-9
55.3%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Anto Saka for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 19
OWN 29
0
57.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0559% → 58%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
59.1%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
58.6%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+9
57.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 9 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
58.2%
Hunter Renner punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:5645% → 51%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+36
55.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 36 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
51.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 9 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+44
49.3%
Buzz Flabiano 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
58.8%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 6:3659% → 78%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
59.4%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+8
60.1%
Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
59.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 1 yd to the NU 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
60.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 3 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+12
59.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
62.5%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
62.6%
A.J. Henning run for 7 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
62.7%
Ben Bryant run for 7 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+3
63.3%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
63.3%
Cam Porter run for 9 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+1
63.3%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
63.3%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
77.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14INT
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:4928% → 27%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
72.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
72.7%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:2779% → 88%
Q3 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
79.0%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.0%
Ben Bryant run for no gain to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.2%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4115% → 14%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
84.6%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the left incomplete dropped by LOPEZ, Julian thrown to the TEP26; QB hurried by HUBBARD, Aidan. PENALTY NU Roughing the Passer on HUBBARD, Aidan enforced 15 yards from the TEP28 to the TEP43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
84.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-4
84.3%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+8
85.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Mike Franklin for 8 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
86.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 88 yds · 1:2689% → 97%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
88.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the NU 16Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 6
OWN 16
-1
89.0%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 15Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+85
96.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 85 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:134% → 2%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
96.3%
Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+3
96.3%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-3
96.4%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Xander Mueller for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+21
96.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 21 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
97.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 16 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.5%
HARDISON, Gavin pass deep to the right complete for 30 yards to SMITH, Tyrin caught at the NU0 and advanced to the NU0, End of Play. PENALTY TEP Illegal Touch-Pass on SMITH, Tyrin enforced 0 yards from the NU30 to the NU30, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
97.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 12 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
97.1%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the NU 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-2
97.1%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Rod Heard II for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+7
97.7%
Mike Franklin run for 7 yds to the NU 9Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 1
OPP 9
-1
98.2%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 5:2598% → 100%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
98.3%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 12Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+7
98.3%
Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 19Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
98.3%
Ryan Hilinski run for 2 yds to the NU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.3%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+46
98.3%
Jack Lausch run for 46 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
98.5%
Cam Porter run for 16 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
98.5%
A.J. Henning run for 7 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
A.J. Henning run for 4 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Ezell Jolly run for 3 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Ezell Jolly run for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Ezell Jolly run for no gain to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-1
99.9%
Ezell Jolly run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Lawson Albright for 6 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+40
99.9%
Jack Olsen 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22INT
13 plays · 37 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Jake McNamara pass complete to Marcus Vinson for 8 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Jake McNamara run for 6 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.9%
Jake McNamara pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 15 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jake McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jake McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.9%
Jake McNamara run for 9 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
99.9%
Jake McNamara run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 32Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 11
OPP 32
-5
100.0%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 37Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+3
100.0%
Jake McNamara run for 3 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 13
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Jake McNamara pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
100.0%
Jake Arthurs run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 14Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
Jake Arthurs run for 4 yds to the NU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:19
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)
+14.3
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00
run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 24
+9.5
TD · Q3 6:03
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com