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2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDSAFETYFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Austin Smith sacked by Kyler Baugh for a loss of 8 yards to the EMU 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:52: Jesus Gomez 20 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +2.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:57: Darius Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +2.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Jesus Gomez 37 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +3.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q3 7:31: Dragan Kesich 19 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +4.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:05: Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +7.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:42EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:11MINN 4th & 1 at EMU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:13EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:57MINN 4th & 6 at EMU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:52EMU 4th & 2 at MINN 2, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.9%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:31MINN 4th & 1 at EMU 1, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.4%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−9.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:10EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:30EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 3:57MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:05MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:1810% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
89.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 13 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
89.7%
Austin Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 35 Austin Smith fumbled, recovered by EMU Austin SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
89.7%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-1
89.2%
Austin Smith sacked by Kyler Baugh for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 34Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
89.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 49 yds, downed at the MINN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 79 yds · 6:3189% → 87%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
89.1%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+22
89.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 22 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
89.2%
Sean Tyler run for 11 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
89.2%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+2
89.3%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the EMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
89.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 1 yd to the EMU 26Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+4
89.3%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+11
89.2%
Sean Tyler run for 11 yds to the EMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
89.3%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the EMU 8Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+4
89.3%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the EMU 4Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+2
89.2%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the EMU 2Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-2
87.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5813% → 13%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+13
87.2%
Samson Evans run for 13 yds to the EMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
87.1%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+3
87.1%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the EMU 24Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
87.1%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
86.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:1687% → 86%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
86.8%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the MINN 40Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-2
86.9%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 38Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+12
86.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
50
0
87.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 10
50
+19
86.5%
Sean Tyler run for 19 yds to the EMU 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MINN for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
86.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 22 yds to the EMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
86.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 4 yds to the EMU 5Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
86.7%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 6Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
86.2%
Dragan Kesich 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:0514% → 18%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
86.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 7 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
86.1%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+29
85.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 29 yds to the MINN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
85.3%
Samson Evans run for 20 yds to the MINN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
84.1%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the MINN 6Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
83.8%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
84.3%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the MINN 2Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
82.1%
Jesus Gomez 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 6:5584% → 88%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
83.8%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 9Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+13
83.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 13 yds to the MINN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
83.9%
Darius Taylor run for 19 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
84.6%
Darius Taylor run for 7 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+15
84.9%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel thrown to the EMU28. PENALTY EMU Pass Interference on SMITH, Cameron enforced 15 yards to the EMU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
85.0%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
85.4%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
85.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the EMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
85.4%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the EMU 24Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
85.4%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the left incomplete intended for SPANN-FORD, Brevyn thrown to the EMU9. PENALTY EMU Pass Interference on SPARACIO, Joe enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the EMU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
85.4%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the EMU 4Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
85.4%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the EMU 2Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.8%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 3:5713% → 20%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.1%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
86.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
86.7%
run for 6 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.4%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
86.3%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+10
86.2%
SMITH, Austin sacked for a loss of 13 yards at the EMU30 (BAUGH, Kyler). PENALTY UMN Holding on GOUSBY, Aidan enforced 10 yards from the EMU43 to the UMN47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
84.5%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
85.1%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the MINN 45Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+9
84.8%
Austin Smith run for 9 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
84.0%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
84.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 7 yds to the MINN 29Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+10
83.5%
Samson Evans run for 10 yds to the MINN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+37
80.3%
Jesus Gomez 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8FG
16 plays · 74 yds · 7:2982% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.6%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Peyton Price) to the MINN 30Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
82.3%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
82.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
81.3%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
82.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Darius Taylor for 11 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
83.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Mikah Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+22
82.2%
Darius Taylor run for 22 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
83.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the EMU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
83.6%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the EMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
82.6%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the EMU 14Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
82.6%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the EMU 14Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+7
81.8%
Darius Taylor run for 7 yds to the EMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
82.6%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the EMU 3Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
82.6%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the EMU 3Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
81.7%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the EMU 1Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
86.5%
Dragan Kesich 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:2117% → 15%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
83.0%
Austin Smith sacked by Maverick Baranowski for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 26Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
84.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 5 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
84.4%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Peyton Price) to the EMU 26Similar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
84.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:0587% → 95%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
86.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 20 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
87.7%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SPANN-FORD, Brevyn thrown to the EMU16. PENALTY EMU Pass Interference on PEAVY, T.J. enforced 15 yards to the EMU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
87.9%
Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+5
87.9%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
87.6%
Darius Taylor run for 15 yds to the EMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.6%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the EMU 1Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:357% → 7%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
92.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 3 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
92.1%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
93.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 51 yds · 3:1095% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
95.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Darius Taylor for 2 yds to the MINN 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+4
95.1%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+10
95.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 10 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
95.3%
Darius Taylor run for 14 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
95.6%
Darius Taylor run for 21 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.1%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the EMU 30 Sean Tyler fumbled, recovered by EMU Justin JeffersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
93.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 5 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
92.8%
JB Mitchell III run for 1 yd to the EMU 36Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-5
93.0%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (Peyton Price) to the EMU 31Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-9
93.7%
Austin Smith sacked by Tre'Von Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the EMU 22Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 18
OWN 22
-5
93.8%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, False Start (Josh McCarty) to the EMU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:4598% → 98%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the MINN 35Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.9%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 36Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
98.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15INT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:443% → 2%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
97.3%
QB Keeper SMITH, Austin rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the UMN40 (WILLIAMS, Devon). PENALTY EMU Holding on KNUE, Tanner enforced 10 yards from the UMN43 to the EMU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 20
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 20
OWN 47
0
97.5%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 20
OWN 47
0
97.7%
Austin Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16FG
15 plays · 45 yds · 8:1498% → 99%
Q4 8:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.9%
Team SafetySimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
98.5%
Darius Taylor run for 9 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+11
98.6%
Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the EMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
98.6%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the EMU 24Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
98.9%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+9
98.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 9 yds to the EMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.2%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+8
99.2%
Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the EMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.2%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the EMU 1Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.3%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 2Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:291% → 1%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
98.6%
Austin Smith sacked by Kyler Baugh for a loss of 8 yards to the EMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:05
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
+7.5
FG · Q3 7:31
Dragan Kesich 19 yd FG GOOD
+4.8
FG · Q2 0:00
Jesus Gomez 37 yd FG GOOD
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com