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TA&M

Texas A&M 33 at Miami 48

MIA
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:56 · Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 20 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 176Home team on offense+27.5Score differential+9.8Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Pregame prior−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:06: Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 52 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +9.3 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 0:13: Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 11 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +11.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:55: Randy Bond kickoff for 63 yds , Brashard Smith return for 98 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +16.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:29: Conner Weigman pass complete to Earnest Crownover for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TA&M win probability +14.2 pts (now 36%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:37: Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 3 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +14.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:27MIA 4th & 9 at MIA 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:29MIA 4th & 3 at MIA 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:25TA&M 4th & 2 at MIA 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:20TA&M 4th & 12 at MIA 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:28TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:59MIA 4th & 14 at TA&M 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:57TA&M 4th & 8 at MIA 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:07TA&M 4th & 6 at MIA 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−7.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:39MIA 4th & 4 at TA&M 16, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−9.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:34MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 38, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−2.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:08TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 27, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:28MIA 4th & 4 at TA&M 32, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:02TA&M 4th & 9 at MIA 9, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:56TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 27, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:44TA&M 4th & 10 at MIA 10, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 12:30TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:08MIA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:11TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:06MIA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:13MIA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:55MIA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:29TA&M Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:37MIA Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:02TA&M Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:37MIA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1846% → 46%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
45.5%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the MIA 13Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-1
45.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 12Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
45.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Xavier RestrepoSimilar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 9
OWN 12
0
45.7%
Dylan Joyce punt blocked by Jahdae Walker blocked by Jahdae WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:3054% → 55%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
45.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 9 yds to the MIA 6Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+5
45.7%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the MIA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.9%
Conner Weigman run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4145% → 45%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 5 yds to the MIA 30Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
45.1%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 34Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-10
45.1%
Parrish Jr., Henry rush for 6 yards to the MIAMI40, PENALTY MIAMI holding (Mauigoa, Francis) 10 yards to the MIAMI24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
44.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 8 yds to the MIA 32Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
44.7%
Dylan Joyce punt for 51 yds, downed at the TA&M 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4FG
17 plays · 76 yds · 5:0455% → 57%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
44.8%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 12Similar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+15
44.8%
Miami Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TA&M 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
44.7%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
44.5%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TA&M 35Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+24
44.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Rueben Owens for 24 yds to the MIA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
43.4%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
43.8%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Rueben OwensSimilar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+10
44.3%
Weigman, Conner pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMI holding (Mauigoa, Francisco) 10 yards to the MIAMI31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
44.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 2 yds to the MIA 29Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+14
43.4%
Amari Daniels run for 14 yds to the MIA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
43.4%
Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the MIA 8Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 3
OPP 8
-2
43.3%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 10Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+3
43.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 3 yds to the MIA 7Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+24
42.7%
Randy Bond 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0843% → 49%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.4%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for no gain to the MIA 25Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
43.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 11 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+48
43.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 48 yds to the TA&M 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
44.7%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the TA&M 14Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+11
43.6%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 11 yds to the TA&M 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
43.8%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for no gain to the TA&M 3Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
49.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 3 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6FUMBLE
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:4053% → 53%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 5 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
46.8%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
47.0%
Conner Weigman run for 11 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
45.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jake Johnson for 10 yds to the MIA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
45.2%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jake JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
45.4%
Rueben Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 48Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 11
OPP 48
-1
45.9%
Conner Weigman run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 49Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 12
OPP 49
+2
47.5%
Nik Constantinou punt for 42 yds , Jacolby George returns for 2 yds to the MIA 9 Jacolby George fumbled, recovered by TA&M Edgerrin CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0455% → 61%
Q2 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
44.6%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jake JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
38.8%
Amari Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5340% → 49%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.1%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 29Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
40.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Colbie YoungSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
39.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 16 yds to the MIA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
40.1%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 48Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+52
49.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 52 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2553% → 54%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
46.8%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
47.3%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+7
47.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 7 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
46.5%
Nik Constantinou punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 5:1847% → 45%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIA 30Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+23
47.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 23 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
49.2%
Van Dyke, Tyler pass incomplete to Young, Colbie, PENALTY MIAMI holding (Mauigoa, Francis) 10 yards to the MIAMI43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+4
47.0%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 47Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+5
47.0%
Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (McKinnley Jackson) to the TA&M 48Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
49.0%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the TA&M 48Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+15
47.3%
Van Dyke, Tyler pass incomplete to George, Jacolby, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (DeBerry, Josh) 15 yards to the TEXASAM33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
50.9%
Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Shemar Stewart for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+8
47.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 8 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-8
49.0%
Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Shemar Turner for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 37 Tyler Van Dyke fumbled, forced by Shemar Turner, recovered by MIA Javion Cohen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 14
OPP 37
+54
44.9%
Andres Borregales 54 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 2:5356% → 58%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
44.5%
Rueben Owens run for 1 yd to the TA&M 38Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
44.2%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+23
45.0%
Conner Weigman run for 13 yds to the MIA 49 for a 1ST down Miami Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MIA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
42.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 9 yds to the MIA 30Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
40.0%
Rueben Owens run for 3 yds to the MIA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
40.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
40.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Max Wright) to the MIA 32Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+6
41.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jake Johnson for 6 yds to the MIA 26Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+1
40.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Rueben Owens for 1 yd to the MIA 25Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
42.0%
Randy Bond 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:4043% → 62%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Henry Parrish Jr.Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
42.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 18 yds to the MIA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
45.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+32
43.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 32 yds to the TA&M 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
47.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 19 yds to the TA&M 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 0
OPP 6
-5
50.4%
Miami Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 11Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
62.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 11 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
61.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 5:4843% → 45%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
56.7%
Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+12
54.9%
Amari Daniels run for 12 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
54.2%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
55.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 4 yds to the MIA 47Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+9
54.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 9 yds to the MIA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
54.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 9 yds to the MIA 29Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+4
52.7%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the MIA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
52.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Rueben Owens for 10 yds to the MIA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
53.9%
Rueben Owens run for no gain to the MIA 15Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
55.0%
Conner Weigman run for 5 yds to the MIA 10Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
56.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 4 yds to the MIA 6Similar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-5
60.6%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Trey Zuhn III) to the MIA 11Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
55.0%
Randy Bond 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:3729% → 30%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
70.6%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TA&M 21Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-1
70.9%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 20Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+15
72.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 15 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-28
70.4%
Conner Weigman pass intercepted Kamren Kinchens return for 28 yds to the TA&M 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2177% → 80%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
76.9%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 24Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 12
OPP 24
0
79.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Jacolby GeorgeSimilar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+8
77.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 8 yds to the TA&M 16Similar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
79.5%
Andres Borregales 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0020% → 36%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
79.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 16 yds to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
79.0%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+9
79.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 9 yds to the MIA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
79.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Max Wright for 18 yds to the MIA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
78.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 9 yds to the MIA 19Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
78.4%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the MIA 19Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+19
64.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Earnest Crownover for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:4668% → 67%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
68.3%
Ajay Allen run for 13 yds to the MIA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
70.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Xavier RestrepoSimilar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
69.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
68.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Tyler HarrellSimilar
Q3 1:34
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+2
66.5%
Dylan Joyce punt for 45 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 2 yds to the TA&M 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:2730% → 33%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
69.7%
Weigman, Conner pass incomplete to Thomas, Noah, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (Brown, Davonte) 15 yards to the TEXASAM34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
68.5%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
68.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jake Johnson for 6 yds to the TA&M 43Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-12
67.1%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 12 yards to the TA&M 31 Amari Daniels fumbled, forced by Jaden Davis, recovered by MIA Kamren KinchensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:1874% → 92%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
73.7%
Ajay Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 32Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+5
73.9%
Ajay Allen run for 5 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+24
73.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 24 yds to the TA&M 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
77.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Xavier RestrepoSimilar
Q4 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 3 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2110% → 8%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.6%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TA&M 25Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
91.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
91.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MIA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:1293% → 97%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
92.7%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the MIA 24Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+20
92.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Cam McCormick for 20 yds to the MIA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
94.1%
Ajay Allen run for 3 yds to the MIA 47Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+15
94.2%
Van Dyke, Tyler pass incomplete to Young, Colbie, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (DeBerry, Josh) 15 yards to the TEXASAM38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
94.4%
Ajay Allen run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-10
94.6%
Parrish Jr., Henry rush for 3 yards to the TEXASAM33, PENALTY MIAMI holding (Mauigoa, Francis) 10 yards to the TEXASAM46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+6
94.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 6 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+8
95.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Colbie Young for 8 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+50
96.5%
Andres Borregales 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 1:264% → 10%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.8%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Mark Nabou Jr.) to the TA&M 20Similar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+44
95.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 44 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
95.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 12 yds to the MIA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
94.7%
Weigman, Conner pass incomplete to Thomas, Noah, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (Brown, Davonte) 14 yards to the MIAMI9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q4 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.7%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Rueben OwensSimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.9%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.6%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q4 5:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
87.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 9 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+15
90.2%
Miami Penalty, Roughing Passer (Wesley Bissainthe) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:1493% → 98%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
92.9%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 13 yds to the MIA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
93.4%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIA 30Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+6
93.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 6 yds to the MIA 36Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+64
98.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 64 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26INT
15 plays · 65 yds · 1:433% → 3%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.5%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+20
97.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 20 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Amari DanielsSimilar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+13
97.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
97.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 2 yds to the MIA 38Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
97.2%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+28
97.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 28 yds to the MIA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.7%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.7%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Amari DanielsSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.2%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 0:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
97.4%
Conner Weigman pass intercepted Te'Cory Couch return for 2 yds to the MIA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
98.6%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:55
Randy Bond kickoff for 63 yds , Brashard Smith return for 98 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+16.9
TD · Q4 12:37
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 3 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q3 2:29
Conner Weigman pass complete to Earnest Crownover for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com