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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 17 at Kentucky 28

UK
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:17 · Wilson Berry punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKU 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Pregame prior+40.0Home team on offense−5.4Garbage-time factor−1.8Score differential−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:42: Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +6.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:41: Patrick Nations 21 yd FG GOOD — EKU win probability +6.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:04: Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 9 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK) — EKU win probability +14.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:57: Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the UK 42 — UK win probability +7.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:08: Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +8.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:18UK 4th & 6 at UK 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:30UK 4th & 9 at EKU 33, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:40EKU 4th & 9 at UK 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:37UK 4th & 6 at UK 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:17UK 4th & 8 at UK 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:40EKU 4th & 5 at UK 31, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:30UK 4th & 10 at UK 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:48EKU 4th & 12 at EKU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:41EKU 4th & 4 at UK 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.4%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−6.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:47EKU 4th & 10 at EKU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:11EKU 4th & 14 at EKU 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:46EKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:42UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:47UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:47UK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:04EKU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:08UK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
98.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds to the UK 38Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-5
98.6%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 33Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
98.5%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
98.5%
Eastern Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:322% → 2%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+2
98.5%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+6
98.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jackson Hensley for 6 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+11
98.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 11 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
98.5%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the UK 14Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
98.5%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
98.1%
Parker McKinney run for 14 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3DOWNS
13 plays · 25 yds · 6:1698% → 97%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
98.1%
DAVIS, Ray rush to the right for a gain of 21 yards to the EKU49 (CHEELEY, Nic). PENALTY UKY Holding on KATTUS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the UKY30 to the UKY20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+1
98.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 1 yd to the UK 21Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 19
OWN 21
+20
98.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 20 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
98.1%
Ray Davis run for 13 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.2%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the EKU 43Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
98.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 3 yds to the EKU 40Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+6
98.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 6 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.2%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the EKU 33Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
98.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
98.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 9
OPP 33
-12
96.9%
Devin Leary sacked by Albert Nunes for a loss of 12 yards to the EKU 45Similar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
96.8%
Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:503% → 4%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 5
50
+9
96.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Joshua Carter for 9 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
96.8%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the UK 38Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-2
96.8%
Joshua Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 40Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
96.8%
Parker McKinney run for no gain to the UK 40Similar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
96.0%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 3:0396% → 95%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
96.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 6 yds to the UK 13Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+15
96.1%
JuTahn McClain run for 15 yds to the UK 28 JuTahn McClain fumbled, recovered by UK JuTahn McClain for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
95.6%
JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the UK 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-1
95.6%
JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+3
95.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 3 yds to the UK 32Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
94.9%
Wilson Berry punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:445% → 6%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
95.0%
Braedon Sloan run for 9 yds to the EKU 22Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+2
94.5%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EKU 24 Braedon Sloan fumbled, recovered by UK Alex Afari Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:0695% → 94%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
95.3%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the EKU 23Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
95.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 6 yds to the EKU 17Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-10
95.1%
Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the EKU 27Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
94.0%
Devin Leary pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:477% → 7%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.4%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
93.4%
Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.8%
Parker McKinney pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:4393% → 91%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 11
OWN 4
0
93.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+6
93.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 6 yds to the UK 10Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+7
93.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 7 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
93.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 18 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
91.5%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
91.6%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
91.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
90.8%
Wilson Berry punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:379% → 12%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
91.1%
Joshua Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKU 11Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+13
91.2%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jackson Hensley for 13 yds to the EKU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+40
90.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Bryant Johnson for 40 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
90.1%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
90.2%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
90.1%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+48
88.5%
Patrick Nations 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1089% → 88%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
89.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 16 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
90.1%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
90.0%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
89.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
87.9%
Wilson Berry punt for 50 yds, downed at the EKU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:4212% → 15%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
88.1%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 6Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+6
88.3%
Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 12Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+10
88.3%
Parker McKinney run for 10 yds to the EKU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
85.1%
Parker McKinney sacked by Trevin Wallace for a loss of 7 yards to the EKU 15Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 17
OWN 15
+6
85.4%
Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 21Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 11
OWN 21
-1
85.7%
Parker McKinney run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKU 20Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
85.3%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
1 play · 24 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
92.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:4210% → 11%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.1%
Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the EKU 30Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+4
88.9%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 5:1910% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the EKU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
89.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 6 yds to the EKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
89.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 3 yds to the EKU 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+20
89.1%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 20 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
88.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 4 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+28
88.6%
Braedon Sloan run for 28 yds to the UK 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
88.3%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the UK 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
88.3%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the UK 4Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.7%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
82.2%
Patrick Nations 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:5484% → 91%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
84.0%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 29Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+11
84.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 11 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
84.5%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+25
83.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 25 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+26
86.7%
Barion Brown run for 26 yds to the EKU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
86.7%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the EKU 6Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.7%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.7%
Tayvion Robinson 6 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0011% → 12%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.8%
Parker McKinney run for 2 yds to the EKU 27Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
88.6%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 30Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
88.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Bryant Johnson for 13 yds to the EKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
87.5%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
87.9%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
88.5%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
88.1%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 2:0089% → 95%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
88.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 14Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+15
88.4%
Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on EVANS, Cornelius enforced (Cornelius Evans) to the EKU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
90.6%
JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the EKU 13Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
95.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:436% → 23%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.2%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the EKU 31Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+39
94.0%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Joshua Carter for 39 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
91.8%
Parker McKinney run for 6 yds to the UK 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+4
91.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 4 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
91.5%
MCKINNEY, Parker pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HORN, Jaycob broken up by PHILLIPS, Andru at the UKY0. PENALTY UKY Offsides on WALKER, Deone enforced 5 yards from the UKY20 to the UKY15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+1
91.5%
Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the UK 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
91.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 3 yds to the UK 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
92.2%
Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the UK 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
77.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 9 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 3:4985% → 95%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
84.7%
Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the UK 42Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
86.2%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
86.2%
Barion Brown run for 8 yds to the EKU 46Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+14
86.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 14 yds to the EKU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
87.3%
Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the EKU 24Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+24
95.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:576% → 4%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 14 yds to the EKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
93.3%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 42Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
93.2%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 45Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-10
94.5%
Parker McKinney sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 10 yards to the EKU 35Similar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
95.7%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 48 yds · 5:1196% → 98%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
95.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
96.2%
Ray Davis run for 9 yds to the EKU 38Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
96.3%
JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the EKU 38Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-5
96.2%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Justice Dingle II) to the EKU 43Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+9
96.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 9 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
96.3%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Marques Cox) to the EKU 39Similar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+3
96.1%
Ramon Jefferson run for 3 yds to the EKU 36Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+16
96.2%
Ramon Jefferson run for 16 yds to the EKU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
97.5%
Ramon Jefferson run for 4 yds to the EKU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:04
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 9 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q4 8:08
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+8
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:57
Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the UK 42
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com