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ILL

Illinois 23 at Kansas 34

KU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2023 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:43 · Hugh Robertson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Home team on offense+5.5Pregame prior+13.7Score differential+2.0Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:07: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — KU win probability +5.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:41: Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tip Reiman for 4 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +10.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:05: Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — KU win probability +9.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:35: Luke Altmyer run for 72 yds for a TD (J. McCray Run For Two-point Conversion) — ILL win probability +5.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:08: Luke Altmyer 6 Yd Run (Reggie Love III Pass to Luke Altmyer for Two-Point Conversion) — ILL win probability +6.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:41ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:42ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:43ILL 4th & 2 at ILL 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:37KU 4th & 18 at KU 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−2.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:53ILL 4th & 12 at KU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:14KU 4th & 8 at ILL 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:48ILL 4th & 4 at KU 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:46KU 4th & 8 at ILL 13, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:33KU 4th & 3 at ILL 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:16ILL 4th & 16 at ILL 26, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ILL made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 9:20KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:07KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:41ILL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:05KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:35ILL Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:08ILL Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 6:3566% → 68%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
66.1%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the KU 6Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+5
65.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 5 yds to the KU 11Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+25
65.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 25 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
66.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the KU 42Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
67.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 2 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+12
67.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
68.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the ILL 43Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+16
67.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 16 yds to the ILL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
68.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Doug Emilien for 9 yds to the ILL 18Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+13
68.4%
Devin Neal run for 13 yds to the ILL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.4%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0731% → 31%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
69.1%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the ILL 28Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+7
69.1%
Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the ILL 35Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
69.0%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
69.0%
Hugh Robertson punt for 45 yds , Trevor Wilson returns for no gain to the KU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:0169% → 71%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
69.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 10 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
68.9%
Quentin Skinner run for 2 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+22
68.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 22 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
69.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the ILL 45Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
69.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the ILL 42 Devin Neal fumbled, recovered by KU Doug EmilienSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+19
69.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 19 yds to the ILL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
69.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Torry LocklinSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
69.2%
Devin Neal run for 7 yds to the ILL 16Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+12
69.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 8 yds to the ILL 8 for a 1ST down Illinois Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (Ryan Meed) to the ILL 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Torry Locklin for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:3230% → 29%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.2%
Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the ILL 27Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
70.2%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
70.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Griffin Moore for 15 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
70.0%
(08:29) PENALTY ILL False Start 5 yards from ILL42 to ILL37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
70.4%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+8
70.5%
Josh McCray run for 8 yds to the ILL 45Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-1
70.3%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Patrick Joyner Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 44Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
70.9%
Hugh Robertson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 6:3071% → 78%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
70.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
70.7%
Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the KU 16Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+15
70.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 15 yds to the KU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
71.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 11 yds to the KU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
71.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the KU 47Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
72.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+13
71.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 13 yds to the ILL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
72.3%
Devin Neal run for 12 yds to the ILL 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
72.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the ILL 30Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+14
72.4%
Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (Alec Bryant) to the ILL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
72.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the ILL 6Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+1
72.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the ILL 5Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
77.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1724% → 23%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.8%
Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the ILL 32Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
75.5%
Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
75.7%
Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the ILL 43Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
75.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 3 yds to the ILL 46Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
75.9%
Griffin Moore run for 1 yd to the ILL 45Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
76.8%
Hugh Robertson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:5978% → 78%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
78.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Doug EmilienSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-8
78.4%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 8 yards to the KU 9Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 18
OWN 9
0
78.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 18
OWN 9
0
77.7%
Damon Greaves punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the KU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8Uncategorized
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3924% → 22%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
76.3%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 1 yd to the KU 45Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-6
76.5%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Jereme Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the ILL 49Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 15
OWN 49
0
77.8%
Illinois Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
78.4%
Hugh Robertson punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:219% → 22%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.8%
Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the ILL 30Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
90.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Griffin Moore for 9 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
90.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 12 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
90.6%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Griffin Moore for 10 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+29
89.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 29 yds to the KU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
88.9%
Luke Altmyer run for 6 yds to the KU 4Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
77.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tip Reiman for 4 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:2982% → 93%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
82.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 10 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+48
82.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 48 yds to the ILL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
83.2%
Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass incomplete short right to Skinner,Quentin, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Strain,Tyler) 15 yards from ILL17 to ILL02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the ILL 1Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
L. Altmyer takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:2993% → 94%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+43
93.4%
Devin Neal run for 43 yds to the ILL 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
94.0%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the ILL 24Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
94.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
94.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
94.0%
(13:14) PENALTY ILL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Randolph Jr.,Keith) 15 yards from KAN35 to KAN50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
93.6%
Seth Keller 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:186% → 5%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
93.7%
Josh McCray run for 11 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mello Dotson) to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
93.4%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Austin Booker for a loss of 6 yards to the ILL 45Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+2
94.2%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the ILL 47Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+10
94.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 10 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+2
95.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 2 yds to the KU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:5996% → 96%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
95.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+23
95.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 23 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
96.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 5 yds to the ILL 28Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+13
96.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 13 yds Lawrence Arnold fumbled, recovered by ILL Clayton BushSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:344% → 4%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
95.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 14 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Isaiah WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.8%
Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the ILL 42Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+10
95.9%
Reggie Love III run for 10 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
95.9%
Luke Altmyer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:0597% → 100%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
50
+16
96.5%
Devin Neal run for 16 yds to the ILL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
97.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 19 yds to the ILL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
97.2%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the ILL 14Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+1
97.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the ILL 13Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+3
97.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Doug Emilien for 13 yds Kansas Penalty, Illegal Block (Mason Fairchild) to the ILL 17Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+4
97.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the ILL 13Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
99.6%
Seth Keller 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:590% → 7%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 7 yds to the ILL 32Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.6%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 4 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.7%
Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the ILL 35Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-7
99.7%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Austin Booker for a loss of 7 yards to the ILL 28Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 18
OWN 28
+72
94.5%
Luke Altmyer run for 72 yds for a TD (J. McCray Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
Q3 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.0%
Altmyer,Luke pass attempt failed PENALTY KAN Targeting (Booker,Austin) 2 yards from KAN03 to KAN01. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field has been overturned. Targeting was confirmed and player disqualified (OVERTURNED PLAY: #9 L.Altmyer pass attempt failed. #9 L.Altmyer injured on the play).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:2397% → 98%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+28
96.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 28 yds to the KU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
97.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KU 47Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
97.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 3
50
+19
97.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 19 yds to the ILL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.0%
Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the ILL 31Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
98.0%
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:474% → 11%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.1%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Tip ReimanSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
96.3%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Jereme Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 18Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+20
96.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 20 yds to the ILL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.2%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Reggie Love IIISimilar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
96.3%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
50
+9
96.3%
Luke Altmyer run for 9 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
96.2%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Reggie Love III for 4 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
96.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 21 yds to the KU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
96.0%
Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the KU 11Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 5
OPP 11
-5
96.1%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke rush right for 0 yards to the KAN11 (Joyner Jr.,Patrick) PENALTY ILL Illegal Formation 5 yards from KAN11 to KAN16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
96.1%
Kansas Penalty, Targeting (7 Yards) to the KU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.4%
Luke Altmyer 6 Yd Run (Reggie Love III Pass to Luke Altmyer for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:2493% → 95%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
92.9%
Devin Neal run for 16 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
93.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+12
94.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 12 yds to the ILL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-7
94.9%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 7 yards to the ILL 47Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 17
OPP 47
+16
94.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 16 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
95.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the ILL 33Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+1
95.0%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the ILL 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:285% → 5%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
94.9%
Luke Altmyer sacked by JB Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the ILL 26Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 16
OWN 26
0
95.6%
Luke Altmyer run for no gain to the ILL 26Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 16
OWN 26
0
96.0%
Illinois Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+22
96.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Griffin Moore for 22 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.0%
Luke Altmyer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:5297% → 98%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
97.3%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the KU 32Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+8
97.2%
Dylan McDuffie run for 8 yds to the KU 40Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+6
97.4%
Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
97.5%
J. Daniels takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-1
97.6%
J. Daniels takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:41
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tip Reiman for 4 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)
-10.9
TD · Q2 0:05
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)
+9.8
TD · Q4 8:08
Luke Altmyer 6 Yd Run (Reggie Love III Pass to Luke Altmyer for Two-Point Conversion)
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com