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IOWA

Iowa 20 at Iowa State 13

ISU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:36 · (00:36) Kneel down by MCNAMARA, Cade at ISU40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:31.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:29: Sebastian Castro 30 Yd Interception Return (Drew Stevens Kick) — IOWA win probability +14.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:04: Chase Contreraz 42 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +2.1 pts (now 23%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:57: Drew Stevens 34 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +2.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:18: Chase Contreraz 46 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +1.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:53: Timeout Iowa, clock 02:53 — IOWA win probability +17.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:44ISU 4th & 7 at IOWA 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:56IOWA 4th & 8 at ISU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:25ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:59ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:57IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:07ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:46IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 9, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:44ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:04ISU 4th & 4 at IOWA 24, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%−0.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:57IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:51ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:57IOWA 4th & 2 at ISU 16, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%−1.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−9.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:36ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:57IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 10, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:18ISU 4th & 10 at IOWA 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−5.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:00IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:53ISU 4th & 9 at IOWA 16, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−8.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:54IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 34, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−1.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:23ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.0%−5.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:39IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:29IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1MISSED FG
16 plays · 57 yds · 6:1643% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the ISU 31Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
43.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the ISU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
43.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
43.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the ISU 38Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+7
43.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
43.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
43.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 8 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+15
44.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 15 yds to the IOWA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
44.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
44.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the IOWA 25Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+4
44.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Easton Dean for 4 yds to the IOWA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
45.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the IOWA 18Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
45.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
45.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
44.8%
Chase Contreraz 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2FG
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:4456% → 56%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
44.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 8 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
44.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 29Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+59
44.5%
Jaziun Patterson run for 59 yds to the ISU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
43.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the ISU 10Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
43.6%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
43.9%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
44.1%
Drew Stevens 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3143% → 42%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
42.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
42.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
43.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 5 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-4
43.4%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 41Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
42.4%
Tyler Perkins punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:4057% → 60%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
42.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 4 yds to the IOWA 24Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
42.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Hayden Large for 2 yds to the IOWA 26Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+14
42.8%
(01:52) MCNAMARA, Cade pass to the left incomplete intended for RAGAINI, Nico broken up by PURCHASE, Myles at the IOW40, clock 01:47. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on PURCHASE, Myles enforced 14 yards to the IOW40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
41.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
41.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+35
41.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 35 yds to the ISU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
39.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 11 yds to the ISU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
39.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the ISU 4Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
40.5%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4037% → 36%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.4%
Abu Sama III run for 5 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
37.5%
Abu Sama III run for 6 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
37.5%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 37Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
36.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
36.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for no gain to the ISU 37Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
35.6%
Tyler Perkins punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:5460% → 60%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
40.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the IOWA 18Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
40.3%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 15
OWN 18
0
40.1%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 15
OWN 18
0
40.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4238% → 37%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
37.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 7 yds to the ISU 38Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
38.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
37.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
36.7%
Tyler Perkins punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:1362% → 55%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
38.0%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
48.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 12Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 10
OWN 12
-3
47.3%
Cade McNamara sacked by Beau Freyler for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 9Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 13
OWN 9
0
45.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4936% → 35%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
36.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the ISU 37Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
36.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
35.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
34.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:1156% → 54%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
43.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 15 yds to the IOWA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.4%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
44.7%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 36Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
45.8%
Cade McNamara pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11INT TD
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:5035% → 21%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
35.0%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 24Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 15
OWN 24
-30
20.6%
Sebastian Castro 30 Yd Interception Return (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:2521% → 23%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the ISU 28Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
21.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the ISU 29Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
21.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 12 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
24.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
23.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+14
23.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 14 yds to the IOWA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
24.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds to the IOWA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
25.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
25.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the IOWA 25Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+1
21.7%
Rocco Becht run for 1 yd to the IOWA 24Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
22.7%
Chase Contreraz 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0376% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
24.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 24Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
24.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Leshon Williams for 2 yds to the IOWA 26Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
24.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nico Ragaini for no gain to the IOWA 26Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
23.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0124% → 22%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
24.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the ISU 31Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
23.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the ISU 35Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+11
23.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 11 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
24.6%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 45Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
23.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+3
23.1%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
22.3%
Tyler Perkins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:4881% → 90%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
18.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Seth Anderson for 14 yds to the IOWA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
18.2%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 30Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
18.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 8 yds to the IOWA 38Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+23
16.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 23 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
15.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the ISU 37Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+7
14.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Diante Vines for 7 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+6
14.4%
Jaziun Patterson run for 6 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
13.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 5 yds to the ISU 19Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+3
13.2%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the ISU 16Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 2
OPP 16
0
12.5%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+34
10.4%
Drew Stevens 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:209% → 8%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
8.9%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 23Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
8.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 7 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
7.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
7.7%
Tyler Perkins punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2592% → 92%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
8.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 9Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 14
OWN 9
0
7.6%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+1
7.8%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 10Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 13
OWN 10
0
7.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:308% → 8%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
8.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 10 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
7.5%
Abu Sama III run for 7 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+3
6.7%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
7.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the IOWA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
6.7%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
6.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
6.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:18
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
7.6%
Chase Contreraz 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:1392% → 94%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
7.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 18Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
7.6%
Jaziun Patterson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+7
7.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 7 yds to the IOWA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
6.4%
Jaziun Patterson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-3
6.0%
Jaziun Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 32Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
5.9%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
5.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 6:595% → 23%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
5.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
5.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the ISU 25Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+12
4.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
3.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
4.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
4.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 14 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
3.9%
Abu Sama III run for 9 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+1
4.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
3.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 6 yds to the IOWA 22Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
3.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 5 yds to the IOWA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
2.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the IOWA 15Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-10
2.6%
(03:34) BECHT, Rocco pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to NOEL, Jaylin caught at the IOW11 and advanced to the IOW11, End of Play, clock 03:29. PENALTY ISU Holding on SIMMONS, Darrell enforced 10 yards from the IOW15 to the IOW25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 18
OPP 25
0
2.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 18
OPP 25
+9
2.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the IOWA 16Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+16
23.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 16 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:5993% → 96%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 26Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
6.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
6.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 34Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
4.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2420% → 19%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
19.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
18.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
20.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-2
18.6%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:4097% → 97%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
3.0%
(01:16) Kneel down by MCNAMARA, Cade at ISU39 (team loss of 1), clock 01:08.Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
3.0%
(00:36) Kneel down by MCNAMARA, Cade at ISU40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:31.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:53
Timeout Iowa, clock 02:53
-17
TD · Q2 4:29
Sebastian Castro 30 Yd Interception Return (Drew Stevens Kick)
-14.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com