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Indiana State 7 at Indiana 41

IU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadINST aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreINST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:42 · Harry Traum punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Pregame prior+24.8Home team on offense+16.9Score differential+6.2Garbage-time factor+4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:04: Tayven Jackson run for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — IU win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:00: Maddix Blackwell 75 Yd Fumble Return (Stephen Ruiz Kick) — INST win probability +3.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:17: Chris Freeman 28 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +0.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:39: Christian Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK) — IU win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:50: Josh Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK) — IU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5INST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:22INST 4th & 12 at INST 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09INST 4th & 9 at INST 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:42INST 4th & 3 at INST 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:19INST 4th & 11 at INST 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:17IU 4th & 10 at IU 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:05INST 4th & 8 at IU 13, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:17IU 4th & 7 at INST 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:48IU 4th & 4 at IU 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:48IU 4th & 4 at IU 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:42INST 4th & 19 at IU 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:53INST 4th & 19 at INST 10, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:50INST 4th & 8 at INST 37, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:43IU 4th & 3 at INST 3, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:21INST 4th & 11 at INST 24, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5INST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:04IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:52IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:04IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:00INST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:39IU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:50IU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
INSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:324% → 4%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.3%
Evan Olaes pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.3%
Evan Olaes pass complete to Dakota Caton for 4 yds to the INST 29Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
96.1%
Evan Olaes sacked by Lanell Carr Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the INST 23Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
96.0%
Harry Traum punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:0896% → 96%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
96.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 10 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST down Indiana State Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Lucas Hunter) to the INST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 4 yds to the INST 44Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+19
95.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 19 yds to the INST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
96.0%
Jaylin Lucas run for 25 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:514% → 4%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.9%
Evan Olaes pass incomplete to Justin DinkaSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.9%
Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the INST 36Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
95.8%
Evan Olaes pass incomplete to Dakota CatonSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
95.8%
Harry Traum punt for 44 yds , Jaylin Lucas returns for no gain to the IU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:1296% → 96%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.8%
Tayven Jackson run for no gain to the IU 19Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+22
95.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Josh Henderson for 22 yds to the IU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to E.J. Williams Jr.Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+31
95.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 31 yds to the INST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
95.7%
Tayven Jackson run for 3 yds to the INST 25Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
96.0%
Jaylin Lucas run for 25 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:104% → 4%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.9%
(08:52) PENALTY ISU False Start (Vazquez IV,Jose) 5 yards from ISU25 to ISU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
95.9%
Evan Olaes run for 9 yds to the INST 29Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
95.9%
Tee Hodge run for 2 yds to the INST 31Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
95.8%
Tee Hodge run for 1 yd to the INST 32Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
95.8%
Anthony Beacom punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:3496% → 97%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
95.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 16 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
96.0%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Tayven pass complete deep right to Camper,Cam for 54 yards to the ISU01 (Edwards,Payton) PENALTY IND Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Carpenter,Zach) 5 yards from IND45 to IND40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+3
95.9%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the IU 43Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+10
95.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 10 yds to the INST 47Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+10
95.9%
Josh Henderson run for 10 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
95.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 21 yds to the INST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
95.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 6 yds to the INST 10Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+5
95.9%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Tayven pass incomplete short right to Camper,Cam PENALTY ISU Offside (Butler III,Kenny) 5 yards from ISU10 to ISU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q1 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.9%
Tayven Jackson run for 5 yds to the INST 10Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.7%
Tayven Jackson run for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.8%
Justin Dinka run for 4 yds to the INST 29Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
96.8%
Justin Dinka run for 8 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.8%
Evan Olaes pass incomplete to Dakota CatonSimilar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
96.8%
Tee Hodge run for 1 yd to the INST 36Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
96.9%
Evan Olaes pass incomplete to Zavion TaylorSimilar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
96.9%
Harry Traum punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:4397% → 97%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
96.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 24 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
96.9%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the IU 46Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-5
96.9%
PENALTY IND False Start (Camper,Cam) 5 yards from IND46 to IND41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 13
OWN 41
-10
97.1%
Indiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IU 32Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 22
OWN 32
+2
97.0%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 24
OWN 30
+14
97.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to James Bomba for 14 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
97.0%
James Evans punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 9INT
15 plays · 67 yds · 6:043% → 3%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
97.1%
Evan Olaes run for 11 yds to the INST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
97.0%
Dakota Caton run for 4 yds to the INST 35Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
97.1%
Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the INST 36Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+15
97.1%
Evan Olaes pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 15 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
97.0%
Tee Hodge run for 7 yds to the IU 42Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+3
96.9%
Evan Olaes run for 3 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
97.0%
(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Olaes,Evan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND36 (Moore,Louis; Lucas Jr.,Patrick) PENALTY IND Offside (Carter,Andre) 5 yards from IND39 to IND34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+8
96.9%
Korbin Allen run for 8 yds to the IU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
96.5%
Korbin Allen run for 11 yds to the IU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
96.5%
Korbin Allen run for 2 yds to the IU 13Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
96.5%
Tee Hodge run for no gain to the IU 13Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
96.6%
Evan Olaes run for no gain to the IU 13 Indiana State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gianini Belizaire) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 8
OPP 13
0
97.0%
Evan Olaes pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:5998% → 94%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the IU 24Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
97.9%
Christian Turner run for 8 yds to the IU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
97.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 6 yds to the IU 38Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
98.0%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the IU 40Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+20
98.0%
Josh Henderson run for 20 yds to the INST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
98.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Josh Henderson for 13 yds to the INST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Josh HendersonSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+75
95.2%
Maddix Blackwell 75 Yd Fumble Return (Stephen Ruiz Kick)Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
94.3%
PENALTY ISU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Perry,Jayden) 15 yards from ISU35 to ISU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 1:3695% → 96%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
95.1%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass incomplete short middle to McCulley,Donaven PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Edwards,Johnathan) 6 yards from IND48 to ISU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Bradley ArcherSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
95.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the INST 45Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+10
94.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 10 yds to the INST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
95.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 10 yds to the INST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
95.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cam Camper for 12 yds to the INST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
95.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to James Bomba for 2 yds to the INST 11Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
95.5%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the INST 10Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
95.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
95.9%
Chris Freeman 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.8%
E. Olaes takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:5296% → 95%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
95.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 7 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-5
95.8%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Tayven pass incomplete deep right to Cooper Jr.,Omar PENALTY IND Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Carpenter,Zach) 5 yards from IND34 to IND29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
95.7%
Tayven Jackson run for 2 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+2
95.4%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 2 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
95.3%
James Evans punt for 45 yds , Dakota Caton returns for no gain to the INST 22Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
95.3%
James Evans punt for 46 yds , Dakota Caton returns for no gain to the INST 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 4:585% → 4%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
95.5%
Tee Hodge run for 7 yds to the INST 43Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
95.4%
Evan Olaes pass complete to Dakota Caton for 2 yds to the INST 45Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
95.4%
Evan Olaes run for 3 yds to the INST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.4%
Justin Dinka run for no gain to the INST 48Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
95.5%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Olaes,Evan pass incomplete short middle to Caton,Dakota PENALTY IND Pass Interference (Pierre,Noah) 15 yards from ISU48 to IND37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
95.2%
Evan Olaes run for no gain to the IU 37Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
95.3%
Evan Olaes run for 5 yds to the IU 42Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+2
95.9%
Evan Olaes run for 2 yds to the IU 40Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 13
OPP 40
-6
96.0%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Hauser,Micah) 6 yards from IND40 to IND46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 19
OPP 46
0
95.9%
Harry Traum punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 5:5897% → 99%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
97.0%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the IU 11Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+1
97.0%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the IU 12Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+13
96.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 13 yds to the IU 25 for a 1ST down Indiana State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gianini Belizaire) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.1%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 3 yds to the IU 28Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
97.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 5 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
97.1%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
97.2%
Jaylin Lucas run for 14 yds to the INST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
97.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 8 yds to the INST 41Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
97.3%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the INST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
97.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 25 yds to the INST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
97.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Bradley Archer for 12 yds to the INST 1 for a 1ST down Indiana State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Gianini Belizaire) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
99.0%
Evan Olaes sacked by Andre Carter for a loss of 5 yards to the INST 14Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+6
99.0%
Evan Olaes run for 6 yds to the INST 20Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 20
-9
99.1%
Indiana State Penalty, Personal Foul (-9 Yards) to the INST 10Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 19
OWN 10
0
99.1%
Anthony Beacom punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Camden Jordan at the INST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:4899% → 100%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.2%
Tayven Jackson sacked by Jarin Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 46Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+7
99.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 7 yds to the INST 39Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+7
99.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 7 yds to the INST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
99.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Josh Henderson for 20 yds to the INST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.3%
Josh Henderson run for 6 yds to the INST 6Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
99.3%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the INST 3Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Gavin Screws pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Gavin Screws run for 2 yds to the INST 37Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Gavin Screws pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Anthony Beacom punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Camden Jordan at the IU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19FG
18 plays · 74 yds · 6:58100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the IU 26Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Trent Howland run for 6 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Trent Howland run for 8 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 11 yds to the INST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the INST 48Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+10
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 10 yds to the INST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 11 yds to the INST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the INST 23Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+2
100.0%
Trent Howland run for 2 yds to the INST 21Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+13
100.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 13 yds to the INST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Aaron SteinfeldtSimilar
Q4 3:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
100.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the INST 7Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
100.0%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass incomplete short right to Cooper Jr.,Omar broken up by Edwards,Johnathan PENALTY ISU Offside (Sampson,Braxton) 4 yards from ISU07 to ISU03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
100.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
100.0%
Nicolas Radicic 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
100.0%
Gavin Screws sacked by Race Stewart for a loss of 4 yards to the INST 21Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Korbin Allen run for 4 yds to the INST 25Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Korbin Allen run for 1 yd to the INST 24Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Anthony Beacom punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Camden Jordan at the IU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
David Holloman run for 1 yd to the IU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:00
Maddix Blackwell 75 Yd Fumble Return (Stephen Ruiz Kick)
-3
TD · Q3 1:39
Christian Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 2:04
Tayven Jackson run for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com