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UNT

North Texas 39 at Florida International 46

FIU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:07 · Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior−11.6Home team on offense−1.8Garbage-time factor−0.7Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:37: Kejon Owens run for 47 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +28.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:18: Damon Ward 10 Yd pass from Chandler Rogers (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — UNT win probability +24.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 10:03: Chandler Rogers 23 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — UNT win probability +34.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:00: Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the FIU 24 — UNT win probability +25.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:09: Kejon Owens 6 Yd Run (Keyone Jenkins Run for Two-Point Conversion) — FIU win probability +48.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:57UNT 4th & 4 at FIU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    73.2%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:34FIU 4th & 2 at UNT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.1%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:44UNT 4th & 9 at FIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:28UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:50FIU 4th & 6 at UNT 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:44FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:08UNT 4th & 15 at FIU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:07FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:15FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:49UNT 4th & 2 at FIU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−2.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−4.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:13UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 28, down 4
    Close callPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:51FIU 4th & 2 at UNT 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.7%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−2.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−15.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:00UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 23, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:14UNT 4th & 5 at FIU 9, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−5.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:12FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 26, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 13:47FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:12UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:37FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:02FIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:18UNT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    32.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:03UNT Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    58.5%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:09FIU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    73.6%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
28.3%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
28.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the UNT 28Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+14
28.3%
Stone Earle pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 14 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:5769% → 69%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
30.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 25 Ikaika Ragsdale fumbled, recovered by UNT Ikaika RagsdaleSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+16
30.8%
Stone Earle pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 16 yds to the UNT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.4%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
30.6%
Stone Earle pass complete to Roderic Burns for no gain to the UNT 41Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-3
31.4%
Stone Earle sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UNT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3Uncategorized
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
32.5%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
32.7%
Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the UNT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:5871% → 69%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
28.7%
Stone Earle pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 6 yds to the UNT 48Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+9
28.7%
Isaiah Johnson run for 9 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
28.7%
Stone Earle pass complete to Kaylon Horton for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 44Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+7
29.1%
Stone Earle run for 7 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
29.1%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Ja'Mori Maclin, broken up by Larry PrestonSimilar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+12
29.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 12 yds to the FIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
29.3%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Roderic Burns, broken up by Donovan ManuelSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
29.7%
Stone Earle pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 25 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
30.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 38 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
30.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 9 yds to the UNT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 9:3932% → 36%
Q1 9:39
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+28
31.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 28 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
32.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 7 yds to the UNT 31Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
32.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+1
32.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the UNT 30Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+3
32.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the UNT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
32.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the UNT 21Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
35.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 38 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 5:23
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+5
33.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the UNT 16 Shomari Lawrence fumbled, recovered by UNT Phil HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:5267% → 67%
Q1 4:36
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+25
33.3%
Stone Earle run for 25 yds to the UNT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
32.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
31.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
32.0%
Stone Earle pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 13 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
31.7%
pass incomplete to Ja'Mori MaclinSimilar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
32.1%
Stone Earle pass complete to Blair Conwright for 1 yd to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
32.5%
pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
32.8%
Noah Rauschenberg 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:4433% → 33%
Q1 0:35
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+8
32.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 8 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
33.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds , Roderic Burns returns for no gain to the UNT 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
33.2%
Stone Earle pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
33.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the UNT 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
35.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 13:4763% → 53%
Q2 13:47
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-40
37.5%
Hezekiah Masses 40 Yd Interception Return (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
47.4%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the UNT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 13:1562% → 52%
Q2 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-15
37.8%
Stone Earle pass intercepted for a 1ST down Florida International Penalty, personal foul (Travonte O'Neal) to the UNT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-13
36.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the UNT 46 North Texas Penalty, personal foul (Blair Conwright) to the UNT 31Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 23
OWN 31
+4
38.4%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the UNT 35Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+5
39.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the UNT 40Similar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
40.4%
Sawyer Evans punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
47.7%
Stone Earle pass complete to Landon Sides for 5 yds to the UNT 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 9:4543% → 58%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
42.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 14 yds to the UNT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
43.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 17 yds to the UNT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
43.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the UNT 12Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-1
43.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 13Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
42.2%
pass incomplete to Ross FournetSimilar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
49.4%
Chase Gabriel 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
55.7%
pass incomplete to Jackson McDonaldSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
55.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 11 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
55.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
57.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 13 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 4:1266% → 64%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
34.5%
Oscar Adaway III 6 Yd Run (Noah Rauschenberg Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
37.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the UNT 43Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
39.5%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the UNT 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
38.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 11 yds to the UNT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+8
36.9%
Stone Earle run for 8 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+34
36.4%
Stone Earle run for 34 yds to the FIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:4440% → 42%
Q2 2:44
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
39.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
42.9%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+3
42.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Artez Hooker for 3 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
42.0%
pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17FG
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:0864% → 68%
Q2 1:08
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+49
35.7%
Noah Rauschenberg 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
32.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Roderic Burns for 17 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
31.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
31.0%
Stone Earle pass incomplete to Roderic Burns, broken up by CJ ChristianSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 23
-8
32.3%
Stone Earle sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:3539% → 38%
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-10
39.2%
Florida International Penalty, Offensive holding (Phillip Houston) to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 16
OWN 33
0
36.3%
pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+10
35.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 10 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
35.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
38.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 6 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
37.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 4 yds to the FIU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1138% → 36%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
38.0%
pass incomplete to Shomari LawrenceSimilar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
36.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 2 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
35.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3840% → 42%
Q3 12:09
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+7
40.4%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the UNT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
42.3%
Kejon Owens run for 21 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 9:26
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
32.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 8 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22DOWNS
2 plays · 29 yds · 5:4964% → 66%
Q3 5:49
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
35.9%
Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
33.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the FIU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
1 play · 66 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q3 4:37
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+47
62.5%
Kejon Owens run for 47 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24PUNT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:5341% → 40%
Q3 4:06
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+4
58.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UNT 28Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
60.3%
Adam Jacklin punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:4963% → 83%
Q3 1:51
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+2
62.9%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the UNT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
82.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:4218% → 45%
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+4
81.6%
Chandler Rogers run for 14 yds to the UNT 30 North Texas Penalty, Offensive holding (Landon Sides) to the UNT 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+3
81.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the UNT 23Similar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 3
OWN 23
+59
82.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Damon Ward for 59 yds to the FIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
76.4%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 19Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+11
77.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for 11 yds to the FIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
76.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 10Similar
Q4 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
79.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
54.7%
Damon Ward 10 Yd pass from Chandler Rogers (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 28TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 10:0363% → 91%
Q4 10:03
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+23
37.0%
Chandler Rogers 23 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
35.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jordan SmartSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
9.5%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the FIU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 29TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 7:0989% → 93%
Q4 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
88.7%
Kejon Owens 6 Yd Run (Keyone Jenkins Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
91.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 27 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+2
92.5%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the UNT 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 30DOWNS
4 plays · 53 yds · 4:1411% → 9%
Q4 4:14
4TH & 5
OPP 9
0
88.8%
pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
90.9%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:4794% → 95%
Q4 1:47
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+4
94.3%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
94.7%
Similar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
94.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 28 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
94.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:09
Kejon Owens 6 Yd Run (Keyone Jenkins Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+48.3
TD · Q4 10:03
Chandler Rogers 23 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-34.3
TD · Q3 4:37
Kejon Owens run for 47 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
+28.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com