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NEB

Nebraska 14 at Colorado 36

COLO
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 4 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:35: Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 30 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK) — COLO win probability +10.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Jace Feely 32 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +5.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:50: Jeff Sims run for 57 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +11.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:49: Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK) — COLO win probability +12.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:20: Jace Feely 30 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +5.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 5:31COLO 4th & 14 at NEB 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:57NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:46COLO 4th & 5 at NEB 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:06COLO 4th & 18 at NEB 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:54NEB 4th & 7 at COLO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:38COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:20COLO 4th & 4 at NEB 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:49NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:00COLO 4th & 3 at NEB 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:05NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:20COLO 4th & 11 at NEB 11, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−7.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:57NEB 4th & 9 at COLO 45, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:16NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 45, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 2:35COLO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:50NEB Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:49COLO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:45COLO Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:54COLO Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:00NEB Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:5143% → 43%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
56.7%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
56.7%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+17
56.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 17 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
56.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 48Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+21
56.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 21 yds to the COLO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
56.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 33Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+2
56.5%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 2 yds to the COLO 31Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-4
56.6%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 4 yards to the COLO 35 Jeff Sims fumbled, recovered by COLO Arden WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
16 plays · 30 yds · 4:5057% → 59%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
57.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 4 yds to the COLO 39Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
57.6%
Dylan Edwards run for no gain to the COLO 39Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
57.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 9 yds to the COLO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
57.7%
Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the COLO 34Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 24
OWN 34
+14
57.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 14 yds to the COLO 48Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+11
57.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 11 yds to the NEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
57.8%
Dylan Edwards run for 5 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
57.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
57.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+5
57.5%
Nebraska Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
58.0%
Colorado Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Shedeur Sanders) to the NEB 43Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 14
OPP 35
0
57.2%
Mark Vassett punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 23
OPP 44
+14
59.0%
Shedeur Sanders run for 14 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-5
59.4%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (Jack Bailey) to the NEB 35Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 14
OPP 35
0
58.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3442% → 42%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
57.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
57.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
57.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 3 yds to the NEB 26Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
58.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1159% → 59%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
59.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 5 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
59.6%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-3
59.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 48Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
59.0%
Mark Vassett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:2542% → 42%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
57.7%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 6 yds to the NEB 13Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+9
57.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 9 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
57.2%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-5
57.1%
Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Ethan Piper) to the NEB 20Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
57.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+7
58.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
58.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4860% → 58%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
59.7%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Cameron Lenhardt for a loss of 3 yards to the COLO 40Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+10
58.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 3
50
+15
59.7%
Nebraska Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nash Hutmacher) to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
60.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-6
60.6%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Cameron Lenhardt for a loss of 6 yards to the NEB 41Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 16
OPP 41
-2
58.8%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Nick Henrich for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 43Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 18
OPP 43
0
58.3%
Mark Vassett punt for 34 yds, downed at the NEB 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7MISSED FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 5:1242% → 45%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+26
58.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 26 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.8%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for no gain to the NEB 35Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
57.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 18 yds to the COLO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
55.0%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the COLO 43Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+13
55.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 13 yds to the COLO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
54.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the COLO 24Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 4
OPP 24
-1
54.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLO 25Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 5
OPP 25
-2
54.8%
Luke Lindenmeyer run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 27 Luke Lindenmeyer fumbled, recovered by NEB Luke LindenmeyerSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
54.6%
Tristan Alvano 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1660% → 58%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
59.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the COLO 27Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
59.2%
Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the COLO 28Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
58.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
57.8%
Mark Vassett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
55.7%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 19 Jeff Sims fumbled, recovered by COLO Jordan DomineckSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1263% → 64%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
62.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 6 yds to the NEB 13Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
62.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
61.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for no gain to the NEB 13Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
63.5%
Jace Feely 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3737% → 35%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 5 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
62.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 28Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
64.0%
Nebraska Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nash Hutmacher) to the NEB 23Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
64.8%
Jeff Sims pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
74.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 30 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:4626% → 25%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
73.8%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 9 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
73.3%
Nebraska Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) to the NEB 37Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-7
74.0%
Jeff Sims sacked by Leonard Payne Jr. and Taijh Alston for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 30Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+8
75.4%
Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
75.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 25 yds, downed at the COLO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:4974% → 82%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
74.2%
Shedeur Sanders run for 2 yds to the COLO 39Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+22
74.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 22 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
75.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the NEB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
75.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 10 yds to the NEB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
76.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Sy'veon Wilkerson for 4 yds to the NEB 13Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+32
82.2%
Jace Feely 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 41 yds · 3:0080% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
79.5%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 9 yards to the COLO 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+4
79.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 4 yds to the COLO 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+40
78.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 40 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
80.7%
Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
80.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 5 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-2
80.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 33Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-1
81.7%
Jimmy Horn Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 2:1021% → 33%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
79.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+13
79.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Marcus Washington for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
50
-7
78.2%
Jeff Sims sacked by Taijh Alston for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 43Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+57
67.2%
Jeff Sims run for 57 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0170% → 85%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the COLO 28Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
69.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 9 yds to the COLO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
70.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
70.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+41
69.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 41 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
73.0%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (Tar'Varish Dawson) to the NEB 27Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+7
72.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+8
73.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 8 yds to the NEB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
73.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the NEB 12Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
73.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
85.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:4416% → 15%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
83.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 12 yards to the NEB 13Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+6
84.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the NEB 19Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
84.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
85.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:4587% → 92%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
86.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 7 yds to the COLO 41Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-5
87.6%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (Travis Hunter) to the COLO 36Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+34
87.0%
Dylan Edwards run for 34 yds to the NEB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
87.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 19 yds to the NEB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
87.7%
Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the NEB 7Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+5
87.7%
SANDERS, Shedeur pass up the middle incomplete intended for HUNTER, Travis thrown to the NEB0. PENALTY NEB Pass Interference on HARTZOG, Malcolm enforced 5 yards to the NEB2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
87.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.7%
Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 1 yd to the NEB 1Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
87.2%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Riley Van Poppel and Luke Reimer for a loss of 10 yards to the NEB 11Similar
Q3 1:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+30
92.3%
Jace Feely 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:2610% → 10%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.5%
Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Marcus Washington) to the NEB 20Similar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+17
90.6%
Jeff Sims run for 17 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
90.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 16 yds to the COLO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
90.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 15 fumbled, recovered by COLO Bishop Thomas for a 1ST down , return for no gain to the NEB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0993% → 99%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the COLO 35Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
93.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the COLO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
93.7%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (Jack Bailey) to the COLO 42Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+2
93.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the COLO 44Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 44
-15
93.4%
Colorado Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Landon Bebee) to the COLO 41Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+17
93.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 17 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
93.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 7 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+14
93.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 14 yds to the NEB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
93.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 13 yds to the NEB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.7%
Tar'Varish Dawson 8 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:481% → 1%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
98.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.6%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
98.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+10
98.6%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 10 yds to the COLO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the COLO 45Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Chubba Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
98.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 3:0399% → 100%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.0%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the COLO 48Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
99.0%
Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the COLO 49Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+39
99.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 39 yds to the NEB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
99.0%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jimari Butler for a loss of 10 yards to the NEB 22Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+16
99.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 16 yds to the NEB 6Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 36Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 9 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25FUMBLE
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 6 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Ryan Staub pass complete to Willie Gaines for 3 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 5 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Ryan Staub pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-12
99.9%
Ryan Staub sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the NEB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:520% → 1%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
100.0%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 3
50
+44
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 44 yds to the COLO 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the COLO 5Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the COLO 4Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 4 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:49
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK)
+12.1
TD · Q3 9:50
Jeff Sims run for 57 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
-11
TD · Q2 2:35
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 30 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK)
+10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com