Try the model
KENT

Kent State 6 at Arkansas 28

ARK
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Razorback Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the KENT 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:24: Andrew Glass 48 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:29: Andrew Glass 38 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +0.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: Defense has -2 timeouts left).
  3. TD · Q2 2:20: KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:50: Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:16: KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 9 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:37KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:37KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:16ARK 4th & 4 at ARK 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24KENT 4th & 16 at ARK 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:20ARK 4th & 10 at ARK 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:21KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:17ARK 4th & 22 at ARK 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:29KENT 4th & 13 at ARK 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:18KENT 4th & 7 at ARK 48, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:18KENT 4th & 7 at ARK 48, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:07ARK 4th & 1 at ARK 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:18KENT 4th & 26 at ARK 48, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:10KENT 4th & 19 at KENT 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00ARK 4th & 2 at KENT 44, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.9
    27% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:05KENT 4th & 1 at ARK 1, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:12ARK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:20ARK Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:50ARK Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:16ARK Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:231% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.2%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 8 yds to the KENT 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
99.2%
Gavin Garcia run for 8 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.2%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the KENT 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.2%
Michael Alaimo run for 2 yds to the KENT 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-5
99.2%
Michael Alaimo sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 38Similar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+8
99.0%
Josh Smith punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 8 yds to the ARK 29Similar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+8
99.0%
Josh Smith punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 8 yds to the ARK 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:2199% → 99%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.0%
AJ Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 34Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+1
99.0%
AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 35Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
99.0%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon WilsonSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.0%
AJ Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 34Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+1
99.0%
AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 35Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
99.0%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon WilsonSimilar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Max Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 6:521% → 2%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
98.9%
Michael Alaimo run for no gain to the KENT 19Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+22
98.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 22 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 4 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
98.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 1
50
+2
98.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
98.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 11 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
98.9%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 13 yds to the ARK 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
98.9%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Obidegwu,Jimto) 5 yards from ARK24 to ARK29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+1
98.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the ARK 28Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+5
98.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the ARK 23Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-7
98.9%
Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 30Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-7
98.9%
Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 30Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 16
OPP 30
+48
98.1%
Andrew Glass 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 1:5598% → 98%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
98.0%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds to the ARK 22Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+2
98.0%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 2 yds to the ARK 24Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+8
98.0%
KJ Jefferson run for 8 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.7%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
97.6%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaaSimilar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
97.6%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon WilsonSimilar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
97.5%
Max Fletcher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-25
98.1%
Antonio Grier 25 Yd Interception Return (Cam Little Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:512% → 2%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the KENT 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.9%
Michael Alaimo run for 2 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
97.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.9%
Josh Smith punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 2:0498% → 97%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
97.8%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the ARK 35Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+2
97.7%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the ARK 37Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-7
97.7%
KJ Jefferson sacked by Matt Harmon for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 30Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 17
OWN 30
-5
97.6%
PENALTY ARK Delay Of Game 5 yards from ARK30 to ARK25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Max Fletcher punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8FG
17 plays · 52 yds · 5:483% → 4%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+15
97.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Garcia,Gavin rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KSU26 (Gregory,Eric) PENALTY ARK Personal Foul (Jeffcoat,Trajan) 15 yards from KSU28 to KSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
97.3%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 47Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
97.3%
Gavin Garcia run for 10 yds to the ARK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
97.3%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 12 yds to the ARK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
97.2%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
97.2%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the ARK 27Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+10
97.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Alaimo,Michael pass complete short left to McCray,Chrishon for 8 yards to the ARK19, out of bounds at ARK19 PENALTY ARK Holding (Grier,Antonio) 10 yards from ARK27 to ARK17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
97.2%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the ARK 14Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-6
97.2%
Michael Alaimo sacked by John Morgan III for a loss of 6 yards to the ARK 20Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
97.3%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the ARK 20Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
97.2%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the ARK 14Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-6
97.2%
Michael Alaimo sacked by John Morgan III for a loss of 6 yards to the ARK 20Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
97.3%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the ARK 20Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 13
OPP 20
+38
96.4%
Andrew Glass 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0996% → 98%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.4%
AJ Green run for 9 yds to the ARK 34Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+23
96.6%
AJ Green run for 23 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
96.8%
AJ Green run for 2 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
96.6%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Luke HaszSimilar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+36
96.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 36 yds to the KENT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
96.8%
AJ Green run for 4 yds to the KENT 5Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
96.8%
AJ Green run for 4 yds to the KENT 1Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
96.7%
PENALTY ARK Delay Of Game 4 yards from KSU01 to KSU05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.6%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 2:023% → 3%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 30Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
97.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+15
97.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 15 yds to the KENT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
96.8%
Michael Alaimo sacked by Jaheim Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 44Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+8
97.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 8 yds to the ARK 48Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
96.9%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
97.2%
Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 14Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
97.2%
Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:1897% → 96%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
97.2%
AJ Green run for 9 yds to the ARK 23Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
97.2%
AJ Green run for 9 yds to the ARK 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+3
96.2%
KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the ARK 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5397% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.5%
AJ Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for no gain to the ARK 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
96.4%
KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the ARK 34Similar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds to the ARK 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -16 yds · 0:495% → 4%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
94.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the ARK 33Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
94.9%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
95.5%
Kent State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Michael Alaimo) to the ARK 48Similar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 26
OPP 48
0
95.8%
Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14TD
15 plays · 91 yds · 6:2896% → 97%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
95.6%
KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the ARK 9Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
95.5%
Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ARK 13Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+9
95.2%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 9 yds to the ARK 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
95.4%
Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the ARK 25Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
95.4%
KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the ARK 30Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+18
95.4%
KJ Jefferson run for 18 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
95.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 31 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
96.1%
Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the KENT 20Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+3
96.1%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 3 yds to the KENT 17Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+12
95.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 12 yds to the KENT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
96.1%
KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the KENT 1Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.2%
Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:404% → 3%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCraySimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
96.6%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 13 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
96.1%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 16 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.8%
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the ARK 46Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
95.9%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the ARK 44Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-11
96.0%
Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the KENT 45Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
96.6%
Josh Smith punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16TD
18 plays · 73 yds · 7:5498% → 100%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
98.2%
KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the ARK 34Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+4
98.1%
Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.3%
KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the ARK 40Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
98.2%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to AJ Green for 7 yds to the ARK 47Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
98.8%
AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-8
98.9%
KJ Jefferson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 40
+7
98.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 7 yds to the ARK 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+9
98.8%
KJ Jefferson run for 9 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+3
98.8%
KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
98.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds to the KENT 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
98.9%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+10
98.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 10 yds to the KENT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
98.9%
AJ Green run for 3 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+14
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,KJ pass incomplete deep right to TeSlaa,Isaac PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Nicholl,Rocco) 14 yards from KSU26 to KSU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
98.9%
AJ Green run for 3 yds to the KENT 9Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 9 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:111% → 1%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 6 yds to the KENT 31Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
99.5%
Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 30Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+33
99.5%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 33 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the ARK 38Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+36
99.5%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 36 yds to the ARK 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the ARK 1Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the ARK 1Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Michael Alaimo run for no gain to the ARK 1Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+4
99.5%
Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the ARK 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18END OF GAME
13 plays · 61 yds · 6:05100% → 100%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
99.9%
AJ Green run for 8 yds to the ARK 13Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+5
99.9%
AJ Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.8%
AJ Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 22Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the ARK 25Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+19
99.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ARK 29 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Personal Foul (Bryce Sheppert) to the ARK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 7 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 9 yds to the KENT 35Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 5 yds to the KENT 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the KENT 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:50
Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Little KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 2:20
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)
+1
FG · Q2 6:29
Andrew Glass 38 yd FG GOOD
-0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com