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AAMU

Alabama A&M 13 at Vanderbilt 47

VAN
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadAAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreAAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:17 · Austin McCready punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+20.9Home team on offense+18.6Score differential+6.7Garbage-time factor+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:50: Will Sheppard 3 Yd pass from AJ Swann (Jacob Borcila Kick) — VAN win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:18: AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 17 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — VAN win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:32: Xavier Lankford pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 62 yds for a TD (Victor Barbosa KICK) — AAMU win probability +3.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: AAMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:07: AJ Swann run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — VAN win probability +3.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:54: Sedrick Alexander run for 17 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — VAN win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4AAMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 6:05AAMU 4th & 4 at VAN 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:32VAN 4th & 5 at AAMU 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:02VAN 4th & 3 at AAMU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:28AAMU 4th & 5 at AAMU 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:44AAMU 4th & 20 at AAMU 24, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:00VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 25, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:13AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 26, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:12VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 36, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:01AAMU 4th & 9 at AAMU 23, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:17AAMU 4th & 8 at AAMU 18, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:17AAMU 4th & 12 at AAMU 23, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:49AAMU 4th & 23 at AAMU 27, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:43AAMU 4th & 1 at VAN 21, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:32AAMU 4th & 6 at VAN 12, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5AAMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 12:18VAN Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:32AAMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:07VAN Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:54VAN Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:32VAN Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:43VAN Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AAMUDrive 1FG
22 plays · 71 yds · 8:552% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.6%
Donovan Eaglin run for 3 yds to the AAMU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.6%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Bryson Clark for no gain to the AAMU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
97.6%
Xavier Lankford run for 10 yds to the AAMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
97.6%
Donovan Eaglin run for 8 yds to the AAMU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
97.6%
Donovan Eaglin run for 1 yd to the AAMU 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
97.6%
Xavier Lankford run for 2 yds to the AAMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.6%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
97.2%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+10
97.2%
Xavier Lankford run for 10 yds to the VAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
97.1%
Ryan Morrow run for 5 yds to the VAN 36Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
97.1%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+8
97.2%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Ryan Morrow for 8 yds to the VAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
97.1%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Bryson Clark for 11 yds to the VAN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
97.1%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Cameron Young for 5 yds to the VAN 12Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+3
96.4%
Cameron Young run for 3 yds to the VAN 9Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+2
96.5%
Xavier Lankford run for 2 yds to the VAN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
96.4%
Xavier Lankford run for 2 yds to the VAN 5Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.4%
Ryan Morrow run for no gain to the VAN 5Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
96.5%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Cameron Young for 1 yd to the VAN 4Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
96.0%
Victor Barbosa 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:2996% → 95%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
96.1%
Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the AAMU 45Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
96.1%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+11
96.1%
Patrick Smith run for 11 yds to the AAMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
96.2%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the AAMU 39Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+6
96.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the AAMU 33Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+25
96.1%
AJ Swann run for 25 yds to the AAMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
96.2%
Chase Gillespie run for 3 yds to the AAMU 5Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.2%
Chase Gillespie run for no gain to the AAMU 5Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.1%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
95.3%
Jacob Borcila 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.0%
Alabama A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AAMU 20Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
95.0%
Donovan Eaglin run for a loss of 2 yards to the AAMU 18Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
95.1%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2496% → 95%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.5%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
95.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 3 yds to the VAN 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+12
95.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 12 yds to the AAMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
95.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 2 yards to the AAMU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
95.3%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+9
95.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 9 yds to the AAMU 35Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
95.0%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:345% → 5%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
95.1%
Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the AAMU 37Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
95.1%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+3
95.2%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Donovan Eaglin for 3 yds to the AAMU 40Similar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
94.9%
Austin McCready punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:3895% → 96%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
50
0
94.9%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 10
50
+7
94.8%
Chase Gillespie run for 7 yds to the AAMU 43Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+5
94.8%
Chase Gillespie run for 5 yds to the AAMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.9%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-3
94.9%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the AAMU 41Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+23
94.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to London Humphreys for 23 yds to the AAMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
94.5%
Patrick Smith run for 12 yds to the AAMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.5%
SWANN, AJ pass to the right incomplete intended for SHEPPARD, Will broken up by DAWSON, Kaleb at the AAM0. PENALTY AAM Holding on DAWSON, Kaleb enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the AAM6 to the AAM3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.6%
Will Sheppard 3 Yd pass from AJ Swann (Jacob Borcila Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:355% → 5%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
95.5%
Ryan Morrow run for 4 yds to the AAMU 26Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1796% → 95%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.6%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
95.6%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the AAMU 22Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+12
95.4%
AJ Swann pass complete to Logan Kyle for 12 yds to the AAMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
95.6%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the AAMU 5Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
95.6%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the AAMU 4Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
95.2%
AJ Swann pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 4:105% → 5%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
95.2%
DJ Moffett run for 2 yds to the AAMU 10Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+10
95.1%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 10 yds to the AAMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to DJ Moffett for 3 yds to the AAMU 23Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
95.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 11 yds to the AAMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
94.9%
DJ Moffett run for a loss of 2 yards to the AAMU 32Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+1
95.1%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Darin Turner for 1 yd to the AAMU 33Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 11
OWN 33
-9
94.6%
Cornelious Brown IV sacked by Nate Clifton for a loss of 9 yards to the AAMU 24Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 20
OWN 24
0
94.8%
Austin McCready punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4494% → 94%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
94.2%
AJ Swann sacked by Jordan Mitchell for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 25Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
94.1%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 12
OWN 25
0
93.9%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Matthew Hayball punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Terrell Gardner at the AAMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:476% → 6%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
94.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cameron Young for 3 yds to the AAMU 26Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
94.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+5
94.2%
Ryan Morrow run for 5 yds to the AAMU 31Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 2
OWN 31
-5
94.0%
Alabama A&M Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the AAMU 26Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
94.4%
Austin McCready punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
94.4%
[NH] Kneel down by SWANN, AJ at VAN20 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.5%
Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Grayson Morgan) to the VAN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4293% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
93.4%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 14 yds to the VAN 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
93.8%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 15 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
94.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 23 yds to the AAMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
94.1%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the AAMU 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+6
94.1%
Jayden McGowan run for 6 yds to the AAMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
96.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 17 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:405% → 8%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
95.4%
Donovan Eaglin run for 11 yds to the AAMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
92.4%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 62 yds for a TD (Victor Barbosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:2093% → 92%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.2%
Chase Gillespie run for 10 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 36Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
93.3%
Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Grayson Morgan) to the VAN 31Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+5
93.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 36Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
93.0%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
92.4%
Matthew Hayball punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Terrell Gardner at the AAMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:118% → 7%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
92.3%
Donovan Eaglin run for a loss of 1 yard to the AAMU 9Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+3
92.5%
Xavier Lankford run for 3 yds to the AAMU 12Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+10
92.8%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Bryson Clark for 10 yds to the AAMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
92.3%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
92.4%
Donovan Eaglin run for 1 yd to the AAMU 23Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
92.7%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
93.2%
Austin McCready punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:5493% → 97%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
93.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 1 yd to the VAN 44Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+8
93.1%
Patrick Smith run for 8 yds to the AAMU 48Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
93.0%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the AAMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+27
93.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Justin Ball for 27 yds to the AAMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
93.4%
Alabama A&M Penalty, Offsides (Zareon Hayes) to the AAMU 13Similar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+9
93.4%
Patrick Smith run for 9 yds to the AAMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.4%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
93.4%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the AAMU 1Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
AJ Swann run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:464% → 4%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
96.1%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-1
96.1%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Cameron Young for a loss of 1 yard to the AAMU 15Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+3
96.2%
Xavier Lankford run for 3 yds to the AAMU 18Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
96.3%
Austin McCready punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:2397% → 99%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
97.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 21 yds to the AAMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
97.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 8 yds to the AAMU 23Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
97.2%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+6
97.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the AAMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for 17 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 2:371% → 1%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.1%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Ryan Morrow for a loss of 2 yards to the AAMU 23Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+30
99.1%
Ryan Morrow run for 40 yds to the VAN 37 Alabama A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Darin Turner) to the AAMU 25Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.1%
Alabama A&M Penalty, False Start (Darin Turner) to the AAMU 20Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
99.2%
Alabama A&M Penalty, False Start (Keenan Hambrick) to the AAMU 15Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+8
99.2%
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Levar Gumms for 8 yds to the AAMU 23Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.2%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.3%
punt blocked by Langston Patterson blocked by Langston PattersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:4599% → 100%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
99.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 10 yds to the AAMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 9 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
DJ Moffett run for 7 yds to the AAMU 32Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Xavier Lankford run for 8 yds to the AAMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Xavier Lankford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
DJ Moffett run for 1 yd to the AAMU 41Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-9
99.9%
Xavier Lankford sacked by Jeffrey Ugochukwu for a loss of 9 yards to the AAMU 32Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 18
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
Alabama A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AAMU 27Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 23
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Austin McCready punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
99.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 35 yds to the AAMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
99.9%
ALEXANDER, Sedrick rush to the left for a loss of 4 yards to the AAM11 (MORGAN, Demetrie;WILLIAMS, Tervae). PENALTY VAN Illegal Block in the Back on SHERRILL, Junior enforced 10 yards from the AAM7 to the AAM17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Kamrean Johnson for 17 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 24FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:110% → 0%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Tyshawn Tate for 6 yds to the AAMU 31Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+39
99.9%
Isaiah Nwokenkwo run for 39 yds to the VAN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
DJ Moffett run for 5 yds to the VAN 25Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Darin Turner for 4 yds to the VAN 21Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
99.9%
DJ Moffett run for 5 yds to the VAN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
DJ Moffett run for 2 yds to the VAN 14Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+2
100.0%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 2 yds to the VAN 12Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
99.9%
Victor Barbosa 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 55 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
Walter Taylor run for 5 yds to the VAN 34Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+20
100.0%
Junior Sherrill run for 20 yds to the AAMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
100.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 27 yds to the AAMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
100.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the AAMU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:07
AJ Swann run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q3 11:32
Xavier Lankford pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 62 yds for a TD (Victor Barbosa KICK)
-3
TD · Q3 12:18
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 17 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com