Try the model
UIW

Incarnate Word 14 at UTEP 28

UTEP
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Sun Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUIW aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUIW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:55 · Ben D'Aquila punt for 40 yds, downed at the UTEP 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+6.5Home team on offense+7.3Garbage-time factor+1.0Score differential+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:42: Tre Siggers run for 5 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK) — UIW win probability +6.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:52: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jostein Clarke for 13 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +7.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:40: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 24 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +12.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:31: UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Keenan Stewart) to the UIW 48 for a 1ST down — UIW win probability +6.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:47: Mike Franklin run for 3 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +8.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UIW made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 14:06UIW 4th & 15 at UIW 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:10UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:41UIW 4th & 11 at UTEP 40, tied
    Close callWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    31.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35UIW 4th & 2 at UTEP 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:11UTEP 4th & 4 at UIW 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:18UIW 4th & 23 at UTEP 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    38.3%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:50UIW 4th & 5 at UTEP 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:52UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:55UIW 4th & 7 at UTEP 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:39UIW 4th & 8 at UIW 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UIW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:46UIW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:52UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:42UIW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:52UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:40UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:47UTEP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UIWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5426% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.8%
Dekalon Taylor run for no gain to the UIW 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
73.8%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
73.8%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
73.8%
D'AQUILA, Ben punt 37 yards to the TEP38, returned by SMITH, Tyrin.. PENALTY Before the snap, UIW False Start enforced 5 yards from the UIW25 to the UIW20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:06
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
73.7%
Ben D'Aquila punt for 66 yds, downed at the UTEP 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:5674% → 73%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
73.7%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 1
OWN 23
-5
73.7%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 6
OWN 18
-5
73.7%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Steven Parker for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 13Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
73.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
73.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 3TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:2427% → 29%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
73.0%
Jarrell Wiley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+2
73.0%
Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+7
73.1%
Jarrell Wiley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
71.3%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 34 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5472% → 73%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.7%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
71.8%
Deion Hankins run for 13 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
72.0%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 14
OWN 39
+8
71.8%
Mike Franklin run for 8 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
72.1%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 3
50
+6
72.1%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UIW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
72.2%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the UIW 40Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+40
72.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 40 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 5DOWNS
16 plays · 74 yds · 5:0628% → 30%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
71.9%
UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the UIW 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
71.8%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the UIW 36Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+10
71.7%
Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 10 yds to the UIW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
71.3%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 15 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
71.2%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+5
71.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 5 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
71.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-10
71.6%
SIGGERS, Tre rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the TEP29 (THOMPSON, Bryton). PENALTY UIW Holding enforced 10 yards from the TEP30 to the TEP40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 11
OPP 40
+25
72.1%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 25 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
71.0%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
71.0%
Zach Calzada run for 9 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
71.2%
CARTER , Timothy rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the TEP3 (NEAL, James). PENALTY TEP Personal Foul enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the TEP6 to the TEP3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
71.0%
Timothy Carter run for 1 yd to the UTEP 2Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.0%
Timothy Carter run for no gain to the UTEP 2Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.2%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
69.7%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:2471% → 71%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+13
70.9%
Deion Hankins run for 13 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
70.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Julian Lopez for 4 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+11
70.6%
Deion Hankins run for 11 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+15
70.7%
Incarnate Word Penalty, Personal Foul (John Mathis) to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
71.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
71.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 6 yds to the UIW 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
71.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
70.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 41 yds, downed at the UIW 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 7TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 2:2931% → 41%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
69.4%
Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the UIW 17Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 1
OWN 17
0
69.0%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+5
69.6%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the UIW 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
69.1%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the UIW 27Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+7
68.7%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the UIW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+61
67.8%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 61 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.6%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 5:4361% → 71%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
61.4%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
61.4%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+7
60.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 7 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
61.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 11 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
63.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 8 yds to the UIW 48Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+6
63.8%
Mike Franklin run for 6 yds to the UIW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
63.9%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UIW 39Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+4
63.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 4 yds to the UIW 35Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+9
63.8%
Incarnate Word Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (9 Yards) to the UIW 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
70.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jostein Clarke for 13 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:2835% → 36%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
64.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Tre Siggers for 1 yd to the UIW 22Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
65.1%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the UIW 22Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+15
65.9%
UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Amier Boyd-Matthews) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
50
+2
62.2%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
62.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+18
63.0%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Tre Siggers for 18 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
61.3%
CALZADA, Zach pass to the left complete for 6 yards to CAMPBELL, Jaelin caught at the TEP24 and advanced to the TEP24 (RICHARDSON, Torey;KNIGHT, Tyrice). PENALTY UIW Holding enforced 10 yards from the TEP30 to the TEP40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 20
OPP 40
0
62.8%
Jarrell Wiley run for no gain to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 20
OPP 40
-3
63.3%
Jarrell Wiley run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 23
OPP 43
0
64.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 23
OPP 43
0
63.8%
Ben D'Aquila punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
66.2%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 8:2067% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.0%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
67.4%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
67.4%
Gavin Hardison run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
69.1%
HARDISON, Gavin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for AKHARAIYI, Kelly broken up by PAUL, Tiji at the UIW21. PENALTY UIW Offsides on WILLIAMS, Mister enforced 5 yards from the TEP39 to the TEP44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+7
69.6%
Mike Franklin run for 7 yds to the UIW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
69.8%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+5
68.0%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UIW 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
69.4%
FRANKLIN, Mike rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the UIW45 (TUAYEMIE, James), out of bounds. PENALTY TEP Holding on MAYERS, Justin enforced 10 yards from the UIW49 to the TEP41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+11
67.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Deion Hankins for 11 yds to the UIW 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+12
68.5%
Gavin Hardison run for 12 yds to the UIW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
69.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 5 yds to the UIW 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
70.5%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the UIW 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+2
69.5%
Gavin Hardison run for 2 yds to the UIW 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
70.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 1 yd to the UIW 24Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
83.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 24 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:4123% → 23%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
76.6%
UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Keenan Stewart) to the UIW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
74.4%
Jaelin Campbell run for 5 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
73.8%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
74.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
77.3%
Ben D'Aquila punt for 36 yds, downed at the UTEP 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5880% → 79%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
80.4%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
80.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+1
79.3%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
78.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5726% → 21%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
74.5%
Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
74.5%
Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-1
75.0%
Zach Calzada run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 44 Zach Calzada fumbled, recovered by UIWSimilar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
78.9%
Ben D'Aquila punt for 40 yds, downed at the UTEP 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
13 plays · 96 yds · 7:0884% → 96%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+19
83.5%
Deion Hankins run for 19 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
85.2%
Mike Franklin run for 8 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
85.9%
Mike Franklin run for 3 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
85.4%
run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+12
85.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 12 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
86.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 6 yds to the UIW 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
87.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the UIW 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
86.4%
BURGESS JR., Torrance rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UIW41 (CHAMBERS, Mason). PENALTY UIW Offsides on CHAMBERS, Mason enforced 5 yards from the UIW43 to the UIW38 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
87.0%
Mike Franklin run for 6 yds to the UIW 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+12
87.3%
Deion Hankins run for 12 yds to the UIW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
87.3%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UIW 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+16
87.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 16 yds to the UIW 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.0%
Mike Franklin run for 3 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 16INT
21 plays · 60 yds · 5:587% → 5%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.2%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the UIW 24Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
93.2%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+8
93.3%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 8 yds to the UIW 32Similar
Q4 8:42
4TH & 2
OWN 32
+9
92.9%
CALZADA, Zach pass up the middle incomplete intended for HARDY, CJ thrown to the UIW40; QB hurried by KNIGHT, Tyrice. PENALTY TEP Pass Interference on RICHARDSON, Torey enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the UIW41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
93.2%
Zach Calzada sacked by Tyrice Knight for a loss of 4 yards to the UIW 37Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
93.9%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+6
94.0%
Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 6 yds to the UIW 43Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+8
93.6%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 8 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
92.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 6 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+15
92.4%
CALZADA, Zach pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PEREZ, Marquez thrown to the TEP10; QB hurried by BROUSSARD, McKel. PENALTY TEP Pass Interference on RICHARDSON, Torey enforced 15 yards to the TEP28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
91.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+3
91.9%
Zach Calzada run for 3 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 3
OPP 21
-5
94.0%
Incarnate Word Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+10
94.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 10 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
93.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 13 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
93.6%
Incarnate Word Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
94.2%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
94.7%
Zach Calzada pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17END OF GAME
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:3799% → 99%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.1%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+20
99.1%
run for 20 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.2%
run for 4 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
99.3%
Mike Franklin run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 3
50
+17
99.3%
Deion Hankins run for 17 yds to the UIW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.3%
[SG] Kneel down by HARDISON, Gavin at UIW34 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
99.4%
[SG] Kneel down by HARDISON, Gavin at UIW35 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:40
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 24 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
+12.5
TD · Q4 8:47
Mike Franklin run for 3 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q2 4:52
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jostein Clarke for 13 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com