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UNM

New Mexico 10 at Texas A&M 52

TA&M
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:10 · Aaron Rodriguez punt for 27 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 1 yd to the TA&M 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+47.1Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.5Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 35 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:32: Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 27 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +1.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:03: Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 34 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:30: Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:27: Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 9 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:10UNM 4th & 12 at TA&M 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:30UNM 4th & 18 at UNM 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:11TA&M 4th & 1 at UNM 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:32UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:43UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:18TA&M 4th & 16 at TA&M 19, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:56UNM 4th & 2 at TA&M 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:04UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 24, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:55TA&M 4th & 20 at TA&M 16, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:12UNM 4th & 14 at UNM 30, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:42UNM 4th & 16 at TA&M 38, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:10TA&M 4th & 4 at UNM 22, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:00TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:32UNM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:03TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:30TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:27TA&M Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:30TA&M Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:35TA&M Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 42 yds · 6:461% → 2%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.0%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 2 yds to the UNM 19Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+7
99.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 7 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
98.9%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
98.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 5 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-1
98.7%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 46Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+7
98.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 7 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
98.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 40Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-1
98.5%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 41Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. WashingtonSimilar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 12
OPP 41
+1
98.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 27 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 1 yd to the TA&M 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:1099% → 99%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
98.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 18Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+17
98.5%
Conner Weigman run for 17 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.4%
Weigman, Conner pass incomplete to Smith, Ainias, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Pola-Gates, Noa) 5 yards to the TEXASAM40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.4%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 43Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+19
98.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 4 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Noa Pola-Gates) to the UNM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
98.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 21 yds Evan Stewart fumbled, recovered by TA&M Bryce Foster for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
98.3%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the UNM 15Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
98.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 15 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 3:302% → 2%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 4 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
98.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 7 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
98.3%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the UNM 37Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-10
98.3%
Washington, Christian rush for 1 yard to the NEWMEXICO38, PENALTY NEWMEXICO holding (Matautia, Shancco) 10 yards to the NEWMEXICO27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+1
98.2%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd to the UNM 27Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 18
OWN 27
0
98.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Luke WysongSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+18
98.1%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 40 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (15 Yards) to the UNM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:3798% → 99%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.1%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
98.1%
Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the UNM 38Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
98.0%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the UNM 36Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
97.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
98.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 35 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 4:152% → 3%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
98.3%
Hixon, Jeremiah rush for loss of 7 yards to the NEWMEXICO5, PENALTY TEXASAM face mask (Stewart, Shemar) 15 yards to the NEWMEXICO27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
98.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 9 yds to the UNM 36Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+7
98.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 7 yds to the UNM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
98.1%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 40Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+22
98.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 22 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
98.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 11 yds to the TA&M 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
97.0%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 27 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:2397% → 98%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
97.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+15
97.4%
Weigman, Conner pass incomplete to Thomas, Noah, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Pola-Gates, Noa) 15 yards to the NEWMEXICO48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
97.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-4
97.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 47Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+14
97.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 14 yds to the UNM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
97.3%
Rueben Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 34Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+34
98.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 34 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:312% → 2%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. WashingtonSimilar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+44
97.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 42 yds to the TA&M 33 , Ainias Smith returns for 44 yds to the UNM 23 Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Martrell Harris Jr.) to the UNM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:0298% → 99%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+27
98.0%
Amari Daniels run for 27 yds to the UNM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
98.0%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the UNM 8Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+6
98.0%
Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the UNM 2Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9INT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Christian Washington run for no gain to the UNM 21Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-10
98.8%
Hopkins, Dylan rush for 7 yards to the NEWMEXICO28, PENALTY NEWMEXICO holding (James, CJ) 10 yards to the NEWMEXICO11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+3
98.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Christian Washington for 3 yds to the UNM 14Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 17
OWN 14
0
98.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted by Josh DeBerry return for no gain to the UNM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 2:0099% → 100%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
99.1%
Conner Weigman run for 14 yds to the UNM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
99.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 9 yds to the UNM 14Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+5
99.1%
Rueben Owens run for 5 yds to the UNM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.1%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jake JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 9 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 10 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.7%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 33Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+3
99.7%
Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the UNM 36Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-3
99.7%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 33Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+8
99.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 33 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 8 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
99.7%
Weigman, Conner pass complete to Thomas, Noah for 40 yards to the NEWMEXICO18, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Owens, Rueben) 10 yards to the TEXASAM32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+22
99.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 22 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
99.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 12 yds to the UNM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+48
99.7%
Randy Bond 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tavian CombsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.7%
Texas A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
99.7%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 23Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 5 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
99.6%
Conner Weigman sacked by Syaire Riley for a loss of 9 yards to the TA&M 19Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the UNM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FG
16 plays · 51 yds · 7:090% → 1%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 5 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+9
99.7%
Sherod White run for 9 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
99.7%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Josh DeBerry for a loss of 7 yards to the UNM 45Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
Sherod White run for 2 yds to the UNM 47Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+13
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 13 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 2 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the TA&M 35Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+20
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 5 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Shemar Turner) to the TA&M 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
99.8%
Hopkins, Dylan pass incomplete to Davis, Ryan, PENALTY TEXASAM unnecessary roughness (Chappell, Tyreek) 7 yards to the TEXASAM8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.Similar
Q3 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
99.8%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 11Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
99.9%
New Mexico Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 16Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+6
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 6 yds to the TA&M 10Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. WashingtonSimilar
Q3 6:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
99.4%
Luke Drzewiecki 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 11 yds to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.7%
Rueben Owens run for 3 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+9
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 9 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 27 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 4 yds to the UNM 16Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+8
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 8 yds to the UNM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Rueben Owens run for no gain to the UNM 8Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q3 2:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 8 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
99.9%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the UNM 8Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+4
100.0%
Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the UNM 12Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+6
100.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 6 yds to the UNM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the UNM 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
100.0%
Sherod White run for 1 yd to the UNM 24Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 50 yds , Ainias Smith returns for no gain to the TA&M 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-15
99.9%
Max Johnson sacked by Kyler Drake for a loss of 15 yards to the TA&M 11 Texas A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Max Johnson) to the TA&M 11Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 25
OWN 11
+5
99.9%
Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the TA&M 16Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 20
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 20
OWN 16
+49
99.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 49 yds , Luke Wysong returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
100.0%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Shemar Turner for a loss of 6 yards to the UNM 28Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Christian Washington for 2 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+25
100.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 30 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (15 Yards) to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:37100% → 100%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 42Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+9
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 9 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 46Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+15
99.9%
Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Thomas, Noah, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Pola-Gates, Noa) 15 yards to the NEWMEXICO39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
99.9%
Rueben Owens run for 14 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 11 yds to the UNM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the UNM 12Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 12 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
100.0%
Dorian Lewis run for 9 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+8
100.0%
Dorian Lewis run for 8 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+31
100.0%
DC Tabscott pass complete to Duece Jones for 16 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Roughing Passer (Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy) to the TA&M 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
100.0%
DC Tabscott pass incomplete to Caleb MedfordSimilar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-6
100.0%
Dorian Lewis run for a loss of 6 yards to the TA&M 38Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 16
OPP 38
0
100.0%
DC Tabscott pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 16
OPP 38
0
100.0%
DC Tabscott pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:32100% → 100%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+8
100.0%
Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Melin Ohrstrom, Theo, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Pola-Gates, Noa) 8 yards to the TEXASAM48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
100.0%
David Bailey run for 13 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the UNM 36Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+8
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 8 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
100.0%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+4
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 4 yds to the UNM 22Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
100.0%
Randy Bond 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Dorian Lewis run for 1 yd to the UNM 21Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
100.0%
Dorian Lewis run for 7 yds to the UNM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:30
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 10:32
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 27 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-1
TD · Q2 8:03
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 34 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com