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Northwestern 7 at Rutgers 24

RUTG
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2023 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NHSG] Kneel down by WIMSATT, Gavin at RUT19 (team loss of 6), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. PUNT · Q1 6:38: Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds for a touchback — NU win probability +6.3 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:42: Jai Patel 32 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +4.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:33: Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 41 — RUTG win probability +4.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:21: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Max Patterson for 5 yds to the NU 23 — RUTG win probability +3.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:05: Kyle Monangai run for 15 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +5.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 10NU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00RUTG 4th & 5 at NU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:39RUTG 4th & 1 at NU 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−1.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:38NU 4th & 10 at RUTG 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:37NU 4th & 10 at RUTG 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:29NU 4th & 8 at NU 38, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:42RUTG 4th & 4 at NU 14, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:33NU 4th & 5 at RUTG 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:54RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:09RUTG 4th & 12 at NU 20, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:15NU 4th & 8 at NU 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:21RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:19NU 4th & 13 at NU 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:38NU 4th & 12 at NU 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:27RUTG 4th & 2 at NU 48, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:46RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 49, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:13NU 4th & 8 at NU 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:32RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 48, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:46NU 4th & 1 at RUTG 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:04RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:05RUTG Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:19NU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:5666% → 69%
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+17
66.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 17 yds to the NU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
66.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
66.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 7 yds to the NU 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+4
66.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the NU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
66.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
66.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 8 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
66.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+9
66.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 9 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+8
66.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
66.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 5 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
66.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for no gain to the NU 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
66.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
66.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the RUTG 34Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
66.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
66.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
68.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 11 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 8:1272% → 78%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
71.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 23Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+19
72.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Chris Long for 19 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
72.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 9 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+1
72.9%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 1 yd to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
72.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
72.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 4 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
72.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+4
72.3%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
73.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 37Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+13
72.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 13 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
73.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
76.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for no gain to the NU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+12
75.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 12 yds to the NU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
76.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the NU 9Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
77.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the NU 6Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
77.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 6 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 5:0129% → 26%
Q1 6:38
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
71.4%
Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
73.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 6 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+26
73.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 26 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.1%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
73.4%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
73.7%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
73.9%
Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5724% → 21%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.6%
A.J. Henning run for 7 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
75.2%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
75.4%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the NU 37Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
75.5%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 38Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
75.6%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+7
76.9%
Hunter Renner pass complete to Rod Heard II for 7 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
79.0%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LONG, Chris thrown to the NU25. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on HOLLIS JR., Garnett enforced 15 yards to the NU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 3:4779% → 84%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
79.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+8
79.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the NU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
79.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the NU 18Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+1
79.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 1 yd to the NU 17Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+3
78.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the NU 14Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
83.7%
Jai Patel 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:0919% → 17%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 2 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
81.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 15 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
80.9%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 37Similar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
81.5%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+11
81.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jacob Gill for 11 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+6
80.4%
Ben Bryant run for 6 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
80.1%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 49Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+9
81.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 9 yds to the RUTG 40Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-1
80.3%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 41Similar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
82.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3987% → 87%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
87.0%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 41Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
86.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+4
86.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
86.9%
Flynn Appleby punt for 43 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:3816% → 15%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
84.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 10 yds to the NU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
84.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Marshall Lang for 9 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-2
83.4%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 29Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
84.6%
Ben Bryant pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 8 yds · 1:1289% → 86%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 8
OPP 28
+5
88.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Max Patterson for 5 yds to the NU 23Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
88.5%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the NU 23Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+5
88.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 5 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
88.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-2
87.6%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 20Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 12
OPP 20
0
87.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+38
86.4%
Jai Patel 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0915% → 15%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
85.3%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4515% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.4%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
85.4%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
85.7%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.5%
Hunter Renner punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5486% → 88%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
86.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
86.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+11
85.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 11 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
86.4%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for no gain to the RUTG 37Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
85.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the RUTG 37Similar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
87.7%
Flynn Appleby punt for 38 yds, downed at the NU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:0212% → 11%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
88.0%
A.J. Henning run for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 19Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+9
88.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 9 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
88.3%
Ben Bryant sacked by Shaquan Loyal for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 22Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
89.3%
Hunter Renner punt for 38 yds, downed at the RUTG 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 5:1492% → 98%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
91.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 20 yds to the NU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
91.7%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
91.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
91.5%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the NU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
91.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 5 yds to the NU 23Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
91.7%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the NU 21Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+3
91.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
91.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the NU 15Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
97.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 15 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:273% → 3%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
97.0%
Ben Bryant sacked by Tyreem Powell for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 19Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+4
97.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 23Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
97.1%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
97.4%
Hunter Renner punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1198% → 98%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
97.8%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 4
50
+2
97.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for no gain to the NU 48Similar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
98.0%
Flynn Appleby punt for 38 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:452% → 2%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.1%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
98.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 2 yds to the NU 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+15
98.2%
Ben Bryant run for 15 yds to the NU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
98.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 8 yds to the NU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+6
98.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.3%
Ben Bryant pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
98.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 4 yds to the RUTG 46Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
98.5%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 1 yd to the RUTG 47Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+2
98.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 2 yds to the RUTG 49Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
98.6%
Flynn Appleby punt for 34 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
98.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 5 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-10
98.6%
BRYANT, Ben pass up the middle complete for 3 yards to JOHNSON, Cam to the NU25 (LONGERBEAM, Robert). PENALTY NU Holding on WRATHER, Ben enforced 10 yards from the NU22 to the NU12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+7
98.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 7 yds to the NU 19Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
98.8%
Hunter Renner punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:4199% → 99%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
98.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Chris Long for 9 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+6
98.8%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 6 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.8%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
98.8%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 1 yd to the NU 47Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
98.8%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the NU 47Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 5
OPP 47
-5
98.7%
Rutgers Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the RUTG 48Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
99.1%
Flynn Appleby punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:471% → 1%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
99.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 8 yds to the NU 16Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+4
99.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
99.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 17 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 7 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
99.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Donnie Gray for 4 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-16
99.2%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 16 yards to the NU 32Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 26
OWN 32
-6
99.3%
Ben Bryant sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 26Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 32
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Hunter Renner punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22TD
16 plays · 45 yds · 2:261% → 2%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds to the RUTG 38Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
99.2%
Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the RUTG 36Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
99.2%
Caleb Komolafe run for 5 yds to the RUTG 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jack Kennedy for 5 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
99.2%
Brendan Sullivan run for 4 yds to the RUTG 22Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
99.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+5
99.5%
Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the RUTG 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
99.5%
SULLIVAN, Brendan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON II, Calvin thrown to the RUT0. PENALTY RUT Pass Interference on LONGERBEAM, Robert enforced 15 yards to the RUT2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the RUTG 1Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the RUTG 1Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Caleb Komolafe for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by WIMSATT, Gavin at RUT19 (team loss of 6), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q1 6:38
Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds for a touchback
-6.3
TD · Q3 4:05
Kyle Monangai run for 15 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+5.8
FG · Q2 7:42
Jai Patel 32 yd FG GOOD
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com